The CAD to NZD exchange rate is currently range-bound, fluctuating close to 1.2579.
The key drivers include:
- Interest rate differential: The Bank of Canada has kept its rate steady at 2.25%, while expectations for future cuts from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand are creating pressure on the NZD.
- Oil prices: The CAD is impacted by oil, with current prices lingering around 61.50, below the recent average. This stalling may prevent any significant CAD gains.
- Economic indicators: Canada recently posted stronger-than-expected jobs growth, enhancing confidence in the CAD, while New Zealand's GDP growth concerns may weigh on the NZD.
In the near term, the CAD/NZD pair is likely to fluctuate within a stable range, given both currencies' recent trading patterns.
Upside risks include a rebound in oil prices, which could bolster the CAD, while downside risks stem from potential negative trade data from New Zealand that may weaken the NZD further.