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EUR to USD Forecasts – euro to US dollar

Latest EUR to USD forecasts including bank predictions, key market drivers and recent trends for EUR/USD. See where analysts expect the pair to move and the factors likely to influence it.

 

EUR to USD Forecast & Outlook

17 Jun 2026 • 00:26 GMT

EUR/USD 1.1610

📊 Forecast snapshot

  • Near-term bias: 🔴 Mild downside
  • Expected range: 1.1590 – 1.1800
  • Dominant driver: 🌍 Global risk sentiment
  • 3-month trend: 🟢 Uptrend

Currently, EUR/USD is trading close to 7-day highs near 1.1610, just below its 3-month average. The pair has been consolidating within its recent range, but risk sentiment remains risk-off, supported by safe-haven flows into USD. Near-term conditions suggest the euro may face pressure if risk aversion persists and USD demand stays elevated.

💸 Transfer implications

  • Expats: sending money to the US may face less favourable conditions if the pair declines.
  • Travellers: buying USD foreign cash or loading currency cards might find rates less advantageous.
  • Businesses: paying US dollar invoices could see a weaker euro making conversions slightly more costly.

🧭 Key drivers

  • Rate gap: US Federal Reserve's ongoing policy stance keeps US yields relatively attractive, supporting USD.
  • Risk/commodities: Market risk-off sentiment favors USD as a safe-haven, pressured by geopolitical tensions.
  • Global factors: Elevated geopolitical tensions continue boosting safe-haven demand, affecting EUR/USD dynamics.

⚠️ What could change it

  • Upside risk: A steadier risk environment and easing safe-haven flows could support EUR/USD recovery.
  • Downside risk: Unexpected US dollar strength due to more aggressive Fed tightening or worsening geopolitical tensions.

BER suggests shopping around for the lowest margin provider may help reduce overall transfer costs, as exchange conditions remain sensitive to risk sentiment and global market moves.

 

USDEUR Bank Forecasts to end of the year

By the end of the year, major bank forecasts suggest a generally weakening US dollar against the euro, with J.P. Morgan Global Research expecting the EUR/USD to reach 1.20. This view is shaped by anticipated U.S. economic growth moderation and supportive fiscal policies in Germany. Despite mixed geopolitical and economic signals, such as ongoing inflation pressures and geopolitical tensions, the overall outlook leans towards a softer dollar and a stronger euro.

Big bank views

  • J.P. Morgan Global Research forecasts EUR/USD at 1.20 by December 2026.
  • No other institutions explicitly provided end-of-year forecasts in the supplied context.
  • J.P. Morgan Asset Management also anticipates medium-term USD weakening, although without explicit targets.

What could change the outlook

  • Unexpected shifts in U.S. Federal Reserve policy or economic data that strengthen the dollar.
  • Major geopolitical events disrupting current energy market dynamics or eurozone economic conditions.
 

EUR-USD Rate Calculator

 
 
   
   
   
   
   
 
 

EUR to USD Market Data

Euro (EUR) to US dollar (USD) market data - latest interbank exchange rate, trend, chart & historic rates.

 
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1 EUR =
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1d+0.2%▲
EUR to USD is at 7-day highs near 1.1610, just below its 3-month average, having traded in a very stable 3.0% range from 1.1451 to 1.1799
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  1 USD = 0.8623 EUR

Compare & Save - euro to US dollar

Exchange rates can vary significantly between different currency exchange providers, so it's important to compare euro (EUR) to US dollar (USD) rates from different sources before making a conversion.

Use our EUR to USD calculator to see how much you could save on your international money transfers. makes it easy to compare the Total Cost you are being charged on Euro to Dollar currency rates and the possible savings of using various providers.

 
 

Will the Euro rise against the US dollar?

This is always a difficult question as exchange rates are influenced by many factors, so a good method to consider the euro vs US dollar current value is to look the EUR/USD historic rate and change over a range of periods.

The following table looks at the change in the EUR to USD exchange rate over periods from the previous week back to the last 10 years.

DateEUR/USDChangePeriod
03 Jun 2026
1.1610
0% ▲2 Week
19 Mar 2026
1.1577
0.3% ▲3 Month
17 Jun 2025
1.1482
1.1% ▲1 Year
18 Jun 2021
1.1864
2.1% ▼5 Year
19 Jun 2016
1.1298
2.8% ▲10 Year
22 Jun 2006
1.2583
7.7% ▼20 Year
EUR/USD historic rates & change to 17-Jun-2026

It is almost impossible to predict what an exchange rate will do in the future, the best approach is to monitor the currency markets and transact when an exchange rate moves in your favour.

To help with this you can add EUR/USD to your personalised Rate Tracker to track and benefit from currency movements.

 
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Rather than requiring you to set a target rate, our Rate Alerts keep you informed of recent trends and movements of currency pairs.

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Forecasts disclaimer: Please be advised that the forecasts and analysis of market data presented on BestExchangeRates.com are solely a review and compilation of forecasts from various market experts and economists. These forecasts are not meant to reflect the opinions or views of BestExchangeRates.com or its affiliates, nor should they be construed as a recommendation or advice to engage in any financial transactions. Read more