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EUR to USD Forecasts – euro to US dollar

Latest EUR to USD forecasts including bank predictions, key market drivers and recent trends for EUR/USD. See where analysts expect the pair to move and the factors likely to influence it.

 

EUR to USD Forecast & Outlook

12 Jun 2026 • 00:26 GMT

EUR/USD 1.1573

📊 Forecast snapshot

  • Near-term bias: 🔴 Mild downside
  • Expected range: 1.1460 – 1.1640
  • Dominant driver: 🌍 Global risk sentiment
  • 3-month trend: 🟢 Uptrend

EUR/USD is trading close to its 90-day average, supported by risk-off sentiment and US dollar strength from economic indicators. The pair remains within a recent range, but downside pressure persists amid heightened geopolitical tensions. Near-term conditions suggest the euro may face further weakness if risk aversion continues.

💸 Transfer implications

  • Expats: sending money to the US dollar may find euro weaker than recent levels.
  • Travellers: exchanging euros for US dollars could face less favourable rates if the pair declines.
  • Businesses: paying overseas US dollar invoices with euros may encounter higher costs.

🧭 Key drivers

  • Rate gap: US monetary policy and yield advantage are maintaining dollar strength and dampening euro gains.
  • Risk/commodities: Increased geopolitical tensions and risk aversion favor the USD as a safe haven.
  • Global factors: Heightened geopolitical tensions deepen risk-off flows, supporting safe-haven currencies.

⚠️ What could change it

  • Upside risk: A decline in geopolitical tensions or easing risk aversion could support the euro.
  • Downside risk: Unexpected US dollar rally driven by stronger-than-expected US economic data or Fed policy shifts.

BER suggests comparing FX providers to find lower margins, helping to offset less favourable exchange conditions.

 

USDEUR Bank Forecasts to end of the year

By the end of the year, major bank forecasts suggest a generally weakening US dollar against the euro, with J.P. Morgan Global Research expecting the EUR/USD to reach 1.20. This view is shaped by anticipated U.S. economic growth moderation and supportive fiscal policies in Germany. Despite mixed geopolitical and economic signals, such as ongoing inflation pressures and geopolitical tensions, the overall outlook leans towards a softer dollar and a stronger euro.

Big bank views

  • J.P. Morgan Global Research forecasts EUR/USD at 1.20 by December 2026.
  • No other institutions explicitly provided end-of-year forecasts in the supplied context.
  • J.P. Morgan Asset Management also anticipates medium-term USD weakening, although without explicit targets.

What could change the outlook

  • Unexpected shifts in U.S. Federal Reserve policy or economic data that strengthen the dollar.
  • Major geopolitical events disrupting current energy market dynamics or eurozone economic conditions.
 

EUR-USD Rate Calculator

 
 
   
   
   
   
   
 
 

EUR to USD Market Data

Euro (EUR) to US dollar (USD) market data - latest interbank exchange rate, trend, chart & historic rates.

 
Sell EUR   →   Buy USD
1 EUR =
1.1562We compare provider deals to this wholesale mid-market rate. Read more
USD
1d+0.3%▲
EUR to USD at 1.1573 is just 0.5% below its 3-month average of 1.1635, having traded in a very stable 3.3% range from 1.1417 to 1.1799
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  1 USD = 0.8649 EUR

Compare & Save - euro to US dollar

Exchange rates can vary significantly between different currency exchange providers, so it's important to compare euro (EUR) to US dollar (USD) rates from different sources before making a conversion.

Use our EUR to USD calculator to see how much you could save on your international money transfers. makes it easy to compare the Total Cost you are being charged on Euro to Dollar currency rates and the possible savings of using various providers.

 
 

Will the Euro rise against the US dollar?

This is always a difficult question as exchange rates are influenced by many factors, so a good method to consider the euro vs US dollar current value is to look the EUR/USD historic rate and change over a range of periods.

The following table looks at the change in the EUR to USD exchange rate over periods from the previous week back to the last 10 years.

DateEUR/USDChangePeriod
29 May 2026
1.1663
0.8% ▼2 Week
14 Mar 2026
1.1464
1% ▲3 Month
12 Jun 2025
1.1609
0.3% ▼1 Year
13 Jun 2021
1.2109
4.4% ▼5 Year
14 Jun 2016
1.1208
3.3% ▲10 Year
17 Jun 2006
1.2643
8.5% ▼20 Year
EUR/USD historic rates & change to 12-Jun-2026

It is almost impossible to predict what an exchange rate will do in the future, the best approach is to monitor the currency markets and transact when an exchange rate moves in your favour.

To help with this you can add EUR/USD to your personalised Rate Tracker to track and benefit from currency movements.

 
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Rather than requiring you to set a target rate, our Rate Alerts keep you informed of recent trends and movements of currency pairs.

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Forecasts disclaimer: Please be advised that the forecasts and analysis of market data presented on BestExchangeRates.com are solely a review and compilation of forecasts from various market experts and economists. These forecasts are not meant to reflect the opinions or views of BestExchangeRates.com or its affiliates, nor should they be construed as a recommendation or advice to engage in any financial transactions. Read more