EUR to USD Forecast & Outlook
24 Jun 2026 • 00:25 GMT
📊 Forecast snapshot
- Near-term bias: 🟢 Mild upside
- Expected range: 1.1380 – 1.1580
- Dominant driver: 🌍 Global risk sentiment
- 3-month trend: 🔴 Downtrend
Currently, EUR/USD is trading close to 1.1379, near its 90-day lows and well below the 3-month average of 1.1628. Supported by risk-off sentiment and safe-haven flows into USD, the pair remains pressured by the ongoing risk aversion in global markets. Over the next few sessions, the pair may stay supported by these conditions, though limited upside is likely unless risk sentiment stabilizes.
💸 Transfer implications
- Expats: sending money to the US will find USD generally supported and potentially more favourable than recent levels.
- Travellers: exchanging Euro for USD may see holding near recent lows, with limited gains unless the pair rises.
- Businesses: paying USD invoices in Euro could face less favourable exchange rates if the pair remains near current lows.
🧭 Key drivers
- Rate gap: The Fed’s hawkish stance and higher US yields sustain USD strength, keeping EUR/USD near 90-day lows.
- Risk/commodities: Global risk aversion and safe-haven demand for USD dominate, pressuring risk-sensitive currencies.
- Global factors: Ongoing geopolitical tensions contribute to cautious market sentiment, supporting USD further.
⚠️ What could change it
- Upside risk: A shift in risk sentiment toward global recovery or easing of geopolitical tensions could lift EUR/USD.
- Downside risk: Unexpected US economic data or Fed policy shifts could deepen USD support and press EUR/USD lower.
BER suggests comparing FX providers to help offset less favourable exchange conditions and reduce overall transfer costs.