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EUR to USD Forecasts – euro to US dollar

Latest EUR to USD forecasts including bank predictions, key market drivers and recent trends for EUR/USD. See where analysts expect the pair to move and the factors likely to influence it.

 

EUR to USD Forecast & Outlook

22 Jun 2026 • 00:24 GMT

EUR/USD 1.1458

📊 Forecast snapshot

  • Near-term bias: 🔴 Mild downside
  • Expected range: 1.1260 – 1.1460
  • Dominant driver: 🌍 Global risk sentiment
  • 3-month trend: 🟢 Uptrend

Currently, EUR/USD is trading close to its 90-day lows near 1.1458, below its 3-month average of 1.1634. Risk sentiment remains pressured by safe-haven demand driven by geopolitical tensions and cautious Federal Reserve outlooks. Over the next few sessions, the pair may remain supported by risk-off flows and the rate differential, but the overall bias is towards further downside in the near term.

💸 Transfer implications

  • Expats: sending money to the US may find current levels relatively supportive, but additional downside could reduce USD proceeds.
  • Travellers: buying USD cash or loading cards could face less favourable exchange conditions if the pair weakens further.
  • Businesses: paying US dollar invoices with euros may see costs increase if the euro weakens against the dollar.

🧭 Key drivers

  • Rate gap: The US Federal Reserve’s cautious stance keeps US yields supported but less attractive compared to eurozone prospects.
  • Risk/commodities: Safe-haven demand remains strong, supported by geopolitical tensions and risk-off market conditions.
  • Global factors: Oil price declines have helped support the euro but have not prevented USD strength in the short term.

⚠️ What could change it

  • Upside risk: A shift in risk appetite or geopolitical resolution might reduce safe-haven flows and support the euro.
  • Downside risk: Further deterioration in risk sentiment or an unexpected hawkish turn from the Fed could intensify USD strength.

BER suggests shopping around for the lowest margin provider may help reduce overall transfer costs. Comparing FX providers with lower margins can help offset less favourable exchange conditions.

 

USDEUR Bank Forecasts to end of the year

By the end of the year, major bank forecasts suggest a generally weakening US dollar against the euro, with J.P. Morgan Global Research expecting the EUR/USD to reach 1.20. This view is shaped by anticipated U.S. economic growth moderation and supportive fiscal policies in Germany. Despite mixed geopolitical and economic signals, such as ongoing inflation pressures and geopolitical tensions, the overall outlook leans towards a softer dollar and a stronger euro.

Big bank views

  • J.P. Morgan Global Research forecasts EUR/USD at 1.20 by December 2026.
  • No other institutions explicitly provided end-of-year forecasts in the supplied context.
  • J.P. Morgan Asset Management also anticipates medium-term USD weakening, although without explicit targets.

What could change the outlook

  • Unexpected shifts in U.S. Federal Reserve policy or economic data that strengthen the dollar.
  • Major geopolitical events disrupting current energy market dynamics or eurozone economic conditions.
 

EUR-USD Rate Calculator

 
 
   
   
   
   
   
 
 

EUR to USD Market Data

Euro (EUR) to US dollar (USD) market data - latest interbank exchange rate, trend, chart & historic rates.

 
Sell EUR   →   Buy USD
1 EUR =
1.1428We compare provider deals to this wholesale mid-market rate. Read more
USD
1d−0.1%▼
90dLows◒
EUR to USD is at 90-day lows near 1.1458, 1.5% below its 3-month average of 1.1634, having traded in a very stable 3.0% range from 1.1458 to 1.1799
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  1 USD = 0.8750 EUR

Compare & Save - euro to US dollar

Exchange rates can vary significantly between different currency exchange providers, so it's important to compare euro (EUR) to US dollar (USD) rates from different sources before making a conversion.

Use our EUR to USD calculator to see how much you could save on your international money transfers. makes it easy to compare the Total Cost you are being charged on Euro to Dollar currency rates and the possible savings of using various providers.

 
 

Will the Euro rise against the US dollar?

This is always a difficult question as exchange rates are influenced by many factors, so a good method to consider the euro vs US dollar current value is to look the EUR/USD historic rate and change over a range of periods.

The following table looks at the change in the EUR to USD exchange rate over periods from the previous week back to the last 10 years.

DateEUR/USDChangePeriod
08 Jun 2026
1.1529
0.6% ▼2 Week
24 Mar 2026
1.1614
1.3% ▼3 Month
22 Jun 2025
1.1500
0.3% ▼1 Year
23 Jun 2021
1.1930
3.9% ▼5 Year
24 Jun 2016
1.1111
3.2% ▲10 Year
27 Jun 2006
1.2583
8.9% ▼20 Year
EUR/USD historic rates & change to 22-Jun-2026

It is almost impossible to predict what an exchange rate will do in the future, the best approach is to monitor the currency markets and transact when an exchange rate moves in your favour.

To help with this you can add EUR/USD to your personalised Rate Tracker to track and benefit from currency movements.

 
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Rather than requiring you to set a target rate, our Rate Alerts keep you informed of recent trends and movements of currency pairs.

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Forecasts disclaimer: Please be advised that the forecasts and analysis of market data presented on BestExchangeRates.com are solely a review and compilation of forecasts from various market experts and economists. These forecasts are not meant to reflect the opinions or views of BestExchangeRates.com or its affiliates, nor should they be construed as a recommendation or advice to engage in any financial transactions. Read more