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EUR to USD Forecast – Euro to US dollar

Latest EUR to USD forecast including bank predictions, key market drivers and recent trends for EUR/USD. See where analysts expect the pair to move and the factors likely to influence it.

 

EUR to USD Forecast

In the near term, EUR/USD is trading close to its 3-month average and within a recent narrow range. The dominant driver from structured analysis is risk sentiment, which remains pressured by geopolitical tensions and energy price shocks. Supported by safe-haven flows into USD, the pair could face continued downside risk if risk-off conditions persist.

Transfer implications

  • Expats: sending money abroad in Euro to US Dollar may find conditions less favourable than recent levels.
  • Travellers: exchanging Euro for US Dollar might see delays or higher costs if safe-haven demand remains strong.
  • Businesses: paying overseas USD invoices using Euro may encounter less advantageous rates as Euro weakens.

Key drivers

  • Rate gap: The Fed’s rate policies remain supportive of USD, while the ECB stance is more moderate, maintaining a cautious rate gap.
  • Risk/commodities: Heightened geopolitical risk and oil prices boosting safe-haven flows into USD.
  • Global factors: Ongoing geopolitical conflicts are sustaining risk-off sentiment and USD strength.

What could change it

  • Upside risk: A stabilization in geopolitical tensions could reduce safe-haven demand and support EUR recovery.
  • Downside risk: Further escalation of energy prices and geopolitical conflicts could deepen risk-off flows, pressuring EUR/USD lower.

EUR-USD Rate Calculator

 
   
   
   
   
 
   
 
 

EUR to USD Market Data

Euro (EUR) to US dollar (USD) market data - latest interbank exchange rate, trend, chart & historic rates.

 
Sell EUR   →   Buy USD
1 EUR =
1.1617We compare provider deals to this wholesale mid-market rate. Read more
USD
1d+0.1%▲
30dLows◒
EUR to USD at 1.1617 is 1.1% below its 3-month average of 1.1752, having traded in a very stable 3.8% range from 1.1586 to 1.2031
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  1 USD = 0.8608 EUR

Compare & Save - Euro to US dollar

Exchange rates can vary significantly between different currency exchange providers, so it's important to compare Euro (EUR) to US dollar (USD) rates from different sources before making a conversion.

Use our EUR to USD calculator to see how much you could save on your international money transfers. makes it easy to compare the Total Cost you are being charged on Euro to Dollar currency rates and the possible savings of using various providers.

 
 

Will the Euro rise against the US dollar?

This is always a difficult question as exchange rates are influenced by many factors, so a good method to consider the Euro vs US dollar current value is to look the EUR/USD historic rate and change over a range of periods.

The following table looks at the change in the EUR to USD exchange rate over periods from the previous week back to the last 10 years.

DateEUR/USDChangePeriod
20 Feb 2026
1.1789
1.5% ▼2 Week
06 Dec 2025
1.1644
0.2% ▼3 Month
06 Mar 2025
1.0787
7.7% ▲1 Year
07 Mar 2021
1.1926
2.6% ▼5 Year
08 Mar 2016
1.1009
5.5% ▲10 Year
11 Mar 2006
1.1915
2.5% ▼20 Year
EUR/USD historic rates & change to 06-Mar-2026

It is almost impossible to predict what an exchange rate will do in the future, the best approach is to monitor the currency markets and transact when an exchange rate moves in your favour.

To help with this you can add EUR/USD to your personalised Rate Tracker to track and benefit from currency movements.

 
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Rather than requiring you to set a target rate, our Rate Alerts keep you informed of recent trends and movements of currency pairs.

Add rates to your Rate Tracker and select to receive an daily email (mon-fri) or when a rate is trending

 

Forecasts disclaimer: Please be advised that the forecasts and analysis of market data presented on BestExchangeRates.com are solely a review and compilation of forecasts from various market experts and economists. These forecasts are not meant to reflect the opinions or views of BestExchangeRates.com or its affiliates, nor should they be construed as a recommendation or advice to engage in any financial transactions. Read more