The GBP to CAD exchange rate is currently range-bound, trading near 60-day highs. Key drivers include the Bank of England's anticipated interest rate cuts, signalling a shift towards easing as inflation slows and growth expectations decrease. Meanwhile, the Canadian dollar is pressured by ongoing manufacturing contraction, despite strong job growth, indicating mixed economic signals.
The trading range for the GBP to CAD is expected to remain stable as most recent movement has shown a mere 2.9% fluctuation. The Canadian dollar's reliance on oil prices, currently at 14-day lows amid a volatile market, can influence its performance against the pound.
Upside risks for the GBP could stem from unexpected UK economic resilience or hawkish signals from the Bank of England. Conversely, a further decline in oil prices or stronger-than-expected economic data from Canada could weigh on the Canadian dollar, exerting downward pressure on the GBP to CAD rate.