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GBP to EUR Forecasts – British pound to euro

Latest GBP to EUR forecasts including bank predictions, key market drivers and recent trends for GBP/EUR. See where analysts expect the pair to move and the factors likely to influence it.

 

GBP to EUR Forecast & Outlook

17 Jun 2026 • 00:27 GMT

GBP/EUR 1.1561

📊 Forecast snapshot

  • Near-term bias: 🔴 Mild downside
  • Expected range: 1.1250 – 1.1560
  • Dominant driver: 🌍 Global risk sentiment
  • 3-month trend: 🟢 Uptrend

Currently, GBP/EUR is trading close to 14-day lows near 1.1561, just above its 3-month average. The pair remains supported by a risk-off environment and safe-haven flows driven by broader risk sentiment. Over the next few sessions, the pair could continue to face downward pressure as global risk conditions stay cautious, emphasizing safe-haven currencies.

💸 Transfer implications

  • Expats: sending money to eurozone countries may find the pound less favourable than recent levels.
  • Travellers: exchanging pounds for euros might see limited advantage from current rates.
  • Businesses: paying overseas euro invoices using pounds may face less favourable exchange conditions.

🧭 Key drivers

  • Rate gap: The Bank of England’s cautious stance and subdued UK economic data are widening the yield gap with eurozone rates, supporting the euro.
  • Risk/commodities: Global risk-off sentiment favors safe-haven currencies, including the euro, pressuring the pound.
  • Global factors: General risk aversion and concerns over economic contraction in the UK underpin the pair’s downside bias.

⚠️ What could change it

  • Upside risk: A stabilization of UK economic data or a shift in global risk appetite could support pound strength.
  • Downside risk: Further escalation of global risk aversion or a dovish stance from the Bank of England could push the pair lower.

BER suggests monitoring market conditions closely; considering competitive FX providers can help offset potential less favourable exchange rates.

 

GBPEUR Bank Forecasts to end of the year

According to recent forecasts, major banks expect the EUR/GBP pair to trend higher by the end of the year. This is primarily due to expectations of limited monetary action from the Bank of England and ongoing economic pressures on the UK. Rabobank anticipates the pair moving towards 0.89, while ING expects it to breach 0.88, with further gains projected as the year progresses. The collective view indicates a gradual strengthening of the euro against the pound.

Big bank views

  • Rabobank predicts EUR/GBP could reach 0.89 by year-end due to UK-specific risks and inflation concerns.
  • ING forecasts EUR/GBP to rise above 0.88 by year-end as domestic pressures on sterling strengthen the euro.
  • ING also projects a continuation of this trend into 2027, with EUR/GBP potentially reaching 0.90.

What could change the outlook

  • Significant policy shifts from the Bank of England could alter sterling's trajectory.
  • Unexpected geopolitical or economic disruptions impacting eurozone stability might slow the euro's gains.
 

GBP-EUR Rate Calculator

 
 
   
   
   
   
   
 
 

GBP to EUR Market Data

British pound (GBP) to euro (EUR) market data - latest interbank exchange rate, trend, chart & historic rates.

 
Sell GBP   →   Buy EUR
1 GBP =
1.1565We compare provider deals to this wholesale mid-market rate. Read more
EUR
1d−0.1%▼
GBP to EUR is at 14-day lows near 1.1561, just above its 3-month average, having traded in a stable 1.3% range from 1.1448 to 1.1600
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  1 EUR = 0.8647 GBP

Compare & Save - British pound to euro

Exchange rates can vary significantly between different currency exchange providers, so it's important to compare British pound (GBP) to euro (EUR) rates from different sources before making a conversion.

Use our GBP to EUR calculator to see how much you could save on your international money transfers. makes it easy to compare the Total Cost you are being charged on Sterling to Euro currency rates and the possible savings of using various providers.

 
 

Will the British pound rise against the Euro?

This is always a difficult question as exchange rates are influenced by many factors, so a good method to consider the British pound vs euro current value is to look the GBP/EUR historic rate and change over a range of periods.

The following table looks at the change in the GBP to EUR exchange rate over periods from the previous week back to the last 10 years.

DateGBP/EURChangePeriod
03 Jun 2026
1.1566
0% ▼2 Week
19 Mar 2026
1.1596
0.3% ▼3 Month
17 Jun 2025
1.1696
1.1% ▼1 Year
18 Jun 2021
1.1634
0.6% ▼5 Year
19 Jun 2016
1.2805
9.7% ▼10 Year
22 Jun 2006
1.4542
20.5% ▼20 Year
GBP/EUR historic rates & change to 17-Jun-2026

It is almost impossible to predict what an exchange rate will do in the future, the best approach is to monitor the currency markets and transact when an exchange rate moves in your favour.

To help with this you can add GBP/EUR to your personalised Rate Tracker to track and benefit from currency movements.

 
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Rather than requiring you to set a target rate, our Rate Alerts keep you informed of recent trends and movements of currency pairs.

Add rates to your Rate Tracker and select to receive an daily email (mon-fri) or when a rate is trending

 

Forecasts disclaimer: Please be advised that the forecasts and analysis of market data presented on BestExchangeRates.com are solely a review and compilation of forecasts from various market experts and economists. These forecasts are not meant to reflect the opinions or views of BestExchangeRates.com or its affiliates, nor should they be construed as a recommendation or advice to engage in any financial transactions. Read more