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GBP to EUR Forecasts – British pound to euro

Latest GBP to EUR forecasts including bank predictions, key market drivers and recent trends for GBP/EUR. See where analysts expect the pair to move and the factors likely to influence it.

 

GBP to EUR Forecast & Outlook

16 Jul 2026 • 00:28 GMT

GBP/EUR 1.1804

📊 Forecast snapshot

  • Near-term bias: 🔴 Mild downside
  • Expected range: 1.1600 – 1.1810
  • Dominant driver: 🌍 Global risk sentiment
  • 3-month trend: 🟢 Uptrend

Currently, GBP/EUR is trading near recent highs, supported by UK political developments. However, the pair's near-term bias points to a weakening trend as risk-off sentiment dominates. Over the next few sessions, conditions may remain supported by risk aversion but could face pressure if geopolitical tensions ease or global risk appetite improves.

💸 Transfer implications

  • Expats: sending money to Euro countries may face less favourable rates if the pair declines.
  • Travellers: exchanging currency might find the euro more expensive if sterling weakens further.
  • Businesses: paying Euro invoices with GBP may encounter higher costs if the pair continues its downward drift.

🧭 Key drivers

  • Rate gap: The BoE's cautious stance and narrow yield advantage keep GBP near the 90-day average.
  • Risk/commodities: Elevated geopolitical tensions and market risk-off bias support safe-haven currencies.
  • Global factors: US dollar strength driven by risk aversion influences the euro and pound.

⚠️ What could change it

  • Upside risk: Resolution of geopolitical conflicts boosting confidence and stabilising markets.
  • Downside risk: Unexpected global market stability or improved risk sentiment reducing safe-haven demand.

BER suggests shopping around for the lowest margin provider to help reduce overall transfer costs. Comparing FX providers may help offset less favourable exchange conditions. Finding providers with lower margins can reduce total transfer costs.

 

GBPEUR Bank Forecasts to end of the year

According to recent forecasts, major banks expect the EUR/GBP pair to trend higher by the end of the year. This is primarily due to expectations of limited monetary action from the Bank of England and ongoing economic pressures on the UK. Rabobank anticipates the pair moving towards 0.89, while ING expects it to breach 0.88, with further gains projected as the year progresses. The collective view indicates a gradual strengthening of the euro against the pound.

Big bank views

  • Rabobank predicts EUR/GBP could reach 0.89 by year-end due to UK-specific risks and inflation concerns.
  • ING forecasts EUR/GBP to rise above 0.88 by year-end as domestic pressures on sterling strengthen the euro.
  • ING also projects a continuation of this trend into 2027, with EUR/GBP potentially reaching 0.90.

What could change the outlook

  • Significant policy shifts from the Bank of England could alter sterling's trajectory.
  • Unexpected geopolitical or economic disruptions impacting eurozone stability might slow the euro's gains.
 

GBP-EUR Rate Calculator

 
 
   
   
   
   
   
 
 

GBP to EUR Market Data

British pound (GBP) to euro (EUR) market data - latest interbank exchange rate, trend, chart & historic rates.

 
Sell GBP   →   Buy EUR
1 GBP =
1.1786We compare provider deals to this wholesale mid-market rate. Read more
EUR
1d+0.7%▲
GBP to EUR at 1.1804 is 1.9% above its 3-month average of 1.1586, having traded in a very stable 3.0% range from 1.1462 to 1.1811
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  1 EUR = 0.8485 GBP

Compare & Save - British pound to euro

Exchange rates can vary significantly between different currency exchange providers, so it's important to compare British pound (GBP) to euro (EUR) rates from different sources before making a conversion.

Use our GBP to EUR calculator to see how much you could save on your international money transfers. makes it easy to compare the Total Cost you are being charged on Sterling to Euro currency rates and the possible savings of using various providers.

 
 

Will the British pound rise against the Euro?

This is always a difficult question as exchange rates are influenced by many factors, so a good method to consider the British pound vs euro current value is to look the GBP/EUR historic rate and change over a range of periods.

The following table looks at the change in the GBP to EUR exchange rate over periods from the previous week back to the last 10 years.

DateGBP/EURChangePeriod
02 Jul 2026
1.1677
1.1% ▲2 Week
17 Apr 2026
1.1487
2.8% ▲3 Month
16 Jul 2025
1.1525
2.4% ▲1 Year
17 Jul 2021
1.1660
1.2% ▲5 Year
18 Jul 2016
1.1981
1.5% ▼10 Year
21 Jul 2006
1.4647
19.4% ▼20 Year
GBP/EUR historic rates & change to 16-Jul-2026

It is almost impossible to predict what an exchange rate will do in the future, the best approach is to monitor the currency markets and transact when an exchange rate moves in your favour.

To help with this you can add GBP/EUR to your personalised Rate Tracker to track and benefit from currency movements.

 
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Rather than requiring you to set a target rate, our Rate Alerts keep you informed of recent trends and movements of currency pairs.

Add rates to your Rate Tracker and select to receive an daily email (mon-fri) or when a rate is trending

 

Forecasts disclaimer: Please be advised that the forecasts and analysis of market data presented on BestExchangeRates.com are solely a review and compilation of forecasts from various market experts and economists. These forecasts are not meant to reflect the opinions or views of BestExchangeRates.com or its affiliates, nor should they be construed as a recommendation or advice to engage in any financial transactions. Read more