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GBP to EUR Forecasts – British pound to euro

Latest GBP to EUR forecasts including bank predictions, key market drivers and recent trends for GBP/EUR. See where analysts expect the pair to move and the factors likely to influence it.

 

GBP to EUR Forecast & Outlook

20 Jun 2026 • 00:25 GMT

GBP/EUR 1.1525

📊 Forecast snapshot

  • Near-term bias: 🔴 Mild downside
  • Expected range: 1.1250 – 1.1530
  • Dominant driver: 🌍 Global risk sentiment
  • 3-month trend: 🔴 Downtrend

Currently, GBP/EUR is trading near its 30-day lows around 1.1525 and close to the 90-day average. The pair has remained within a narrow 1.1448 to 1.1600 range. The dominant driver is risk sentiment, with safe-haven flows supported by cautious global risk conditions. Over the next few sessions, the pair may face continued pressure if risk-off sentiment persists, keeping the pound vulnerable against the euro.

💸 Transfer implications

  • Expats: sending money to the euro zone may remain supported by current weak pound levels, but further declines could make transfers less favourable.
  • Travellers: buying euros may be less advantageous if the pair continues to trade near recent lows.
  • Businesses: paying euro-denominated invoices with the pound could face ongoing challenges if the pair weakens further.

🧭 Key drivers

  • Rate gap: The UK Monetary Policy Committee has kept rates steady, with the eurozone showing cautious monetary stance, narrowing yield differences.
  • Risk/commodities: risk-off sentiment remains elevated, supported by global geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainty.
  • Global factors: overall cautious global risk conditions continue to support safe-haven currencies, pressuring risk-sensitive FX.

⚠️ What could change it

  • Upside risk: a shift toward risk-on conditions or positive UK economic data could lift GBP/EUR.
  • Downside risk: escalation of global tensions or sustained risk aversion might deepen euro support and pressure the pair further.

BER suggests shopping around for the lowest margin provider may help reduce overall transfer costs. Comparing FX providers could help offset less favourable exchange conditions. Finding providers with lower margins can reduce total transfer costs.

 

GBPEUR Bank Forecasts to end of the year

According to recent forecasts, major banks expect the EUR/GBP pair to trend higher by the end of the year. This is primarily due to expectations of limited monetary action from the Bank of England and ongoing economic pressures on the UK. Rabobank anticipates the pair moving towards 0.89, while ING expects it to breach 0.88, with further gains projected as the year progresses. The collective view indicates a gradual strengthening of the euro against the pound.

Big bank views

  • Rabobank predicts EUR/GBP could reach 0.89 by year-end due to UK-specific risks and inflation concerns.
  • ING forecasts EUR/GBP to rise above 0.88 by year-end as domestic pressures on sterling strengthen the euro.
  • ING also projects a continuation of this trend into 2027, with EUR/GBP potentially reaching 0.90.

What could change the outlook

  • Significant policy shifts from the Bank of England could alter sterling's trajectory.
  • Unexpected geopolitical or economic disruptions impacting eurozone stability might slow the euro's gains.
 

GBP-EUR Rate Calculator

 
 
   
   
   
   
   
 
 

GBP to EUR Market Data

British pound (GBP) to euro (EUR) market data - latest interbank exchange rate, trend, chart & historic rates.

 
Sell GBP   →   Buy EUR
1 GBP =
1.1535We compare provider deals to this wholesale mid-market rate. Read more
EUR
1d0.0%⬦
GBP to EUR is at 30-day lows near 1.1525, near its 3-month average, having traded in a stable 1.3% range from 1.1448 to 1.1600
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  1 EUR = 0.8669 GBP

Compare & Save - British pound to euro

Exchange rates can vary significantly between different currency exchange providers, so it's important to compare British pound (GBP) to euro (EUR) rates from different sources before making a conversion.

Use our GBP to EUR calculator to see how much you could save on your international money transfers. makes it easy to compare the Total Cost you are being charged on Sterling to Euro currency rates and the possible savings of using various providers.

 
 

Will the British pound rise against the Euro?

This is always a difficult question as exchange rates are influenced by many factors, so a good method to consider the British pound vs euro current value is to look the GBP/EUR historic rate and change over a range of periods.

The following table looks at the change in the GBP to EUR exchange rate over periods from the previous week back to the last 10 years.

DateGBP/EURChangePeriod
05 Jun 2026
1.1578
0.5% ▼2 Week
21 Mar 2026
1.1512
0.1% ▲3 Month
19 Jun 2025
1.1707
1.6% ▼1 Year
20 Jun 2021
1.1639
1% ▼5 Year
21 Jun 2016
1.3026
11.5% ▼10 Year
24 Jun 2006
1.4534
20.7% ▼20 Year
GBP/EUR historic rates & change to 19-Jun-2026

It is almost impossible to predict what an exchange rate will do in the future, the best approach is to monitor the currency markets and transact when an exchange rate moves in your favour.

To help with this you can add GBP/EUR to your personalised Rate Tracker to track and benefit from currency movements.

 
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Rather than requiring you to set a target rate, our Rate Alerts keep you informed of recent trends and movements of currency pairs.

Add rates to your Rate Tracker and select to receive an daily email (mon-fri) or when a rate is trending

 

Forecasts disclaimer: Please be advised that the forecasts and analysis of market data presented on BestExchangeRates.com are solely a review and compilation of forecasts from various market experts and economists. These forecasts are not meant to reflect the opinions or views of BestExchangeRates.com or its affiliates, nor should they be construed as a recommendation or advice to engage in any financial transactions. Read more