The GBP to ILS exchange rate is currently range-bound.
Key drivers influencing this outlook include: Interest rate differential, with the Bank of England projected to cut rates gradually due to slowing inflation and growth, contrasting with expectations for stability in Israel's economic growth and low geopolitical risk. The Israeli shekel has strengthened significantly, reaching three-year highs, supported by investor confidence and favorable economic forecasts. Additionally, retail sales data from the UK may impact the pound positively if growth rebounds as anticipated.
The near-term range for GBP/ILS is expected to remain stable, reflecting the current price's slight dip below its three-month average, indicating limited volatility.
An upside risk to this outlook could stem from stronger-than-expected UK economic indicators or shifts in investor sentiment favoring the pound. Conversely, a downside risk may arise if the Bank of England enacts deeper rate cuts than anticipated, which could exert pressure on the pound against the shekel.