The GBP to ILS exchange rate currently shows a bearish bias.
Key drivers include a diverging monetary policy outlook, with the Bank of England anticipated to cut interest rates while the Bank of Israel projects robust economic growth and a strong shekel. Improved geopolitical stability in Israel further supports the shekel against the pound. Economic forecasts suggest UK growth is slowing alongside declining inflation, while Israel's GDP is expected to rise significantly.
Over the next 1–3 months, the GBP to ILS rate is likely to remain within a stable range, reflecting recent lows near 4.2580 and potentially between the broader levels of 4.2026 to 4.4454.
Upside risks for the GBP could emerge from unexpected UK economic resilience or a stabilization in fiscal concerns, while downside risks may stem from renewed geopolitical tensions affecting Israeli stability or further interest rate cuts by the Bank of England.