GBP/MXN Outlook:
Bearish outlook, as the rate is currently below its recent average and near lows within the 3-month range.
Key drivers:
• Interest rate comparison: The Bank of England has taken a more dovish approach, holding rates steady, while the Bank of Mexico continues its anti-inflation policy.
• Mexican peso strength: The peso has strengthened recently, supported by stable economic conditions and foreign investment.
• UK political uncertainty: Ongoing political challenges in the UK contribute to the bearish pressure on the pound.
Range:
GBP/MXN is likely to continue drifting within the recent 3-month range, as pressures from the UK side counterbalance the peso's relative strength.
What could change it:
• Upside risk: A surprise uptick in UK GDP growth could support the pound.
• Downside risk: Further monetary easing by the Bank of England may deepen the pound's decline.