The GBP to MXN exchange rate is currently range-bound.
Two main factors impact the exchange rate. The Bank of England is projected to lower interest rates as inflation declines and economic growth slows, which weakens the GBP. Meanwhile, the Mexican Peso is expected to benefit from stable rates and a cautiously optimistic outlook, with UBS forecasting strengthening due to anticipated Federal Reserve easing. Additionally, Mexico's inflation is expected to remain under control despite potential economic headwinds.
The near-term trading range is anticipated to remain stable, fluctuating somewhat but not straying far from current levels.
An upside risk for the GBP could emerge if the UK experiences stronger-than-expected economic growth, potentially supporting the currency. Conversely, a downside risk includes worsening UK fiscal concerns, which may prompt further rate cuts by the Bank of England, exerting additional downward pressure on the GBP.