The GBP to MXN exchange rate currently shows a bearish bias, with the pair trading at 14-day lows near 24.07.
Key drivers include the interest rate differential, as the Bank of England is projected to cut rates to 3.25% amid slowing inflation and growth. In Mexico, Banxico is expected to maintain its rates, creating a divergence that pressures the pound. Furthermore, fiscal concerns in the UK may heighten uncertainties, leading to further rate adjustments by the BoE.
In the near term, the GBP to MXN is expected to trade within a stable range just below its three-month average. The upper limit may struggle given current bearish trends unless strong UK economic data emerges. Upside risks could manifest if global risk sentiment improves sharply, while downside risks remain from potential UK fiscal instability.