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HKD to CNY 2025 Forecasts

Analysis of recent Hong Kong dollar → yuan forecasts for 2025. We collate forecasts from respected FX analysts together with the latest Hong Kong dollar to Chinese yuan performance and trends.

 

Recent forecasts and market updates for the Hong Kong dollar (HKD) and Chinese yuan (CNY) indicate a contrasting outlook impacted by economic conditions and geopolitical developments.

The HKD has experienced consistent weakness, with analysts noting that it has hovered near the top of its peg band against the US dollar. The HKMA's interventions have aimed to stabilize the currency, yet a considerable interest rate differential between the US and Hong Kong—currently 4.4%—continues to prompt capital outflows and supports carry trades. Experts predict that unless there is a significant shift in Federal Reserve policy or global market sentiment, the HKD is likely to remain soft, with trading expected to stay near the 7.85 ceiling of its peg.

In contrast, the CNY has shown vulnerability, driven by concerns over China's economic recovery post-COVID and persistent weakness in its growth indicators. Recent data suggest a struggle with high unemployment and a significant decline in business investment, contributing to pressure on the yuan. Despite some positive sentiment arising from reduced US-China trade tensions, forecasts remain cautious. Analysts at JPMorgan have revised their year-end yuan forecast to 7.15 per dollar, reflecting expectations of ongoing pressures until more substantial reforms are enacted.

Furthermore, while Beijing's measures are designed to support the yuan, the currency has slipped past critical thresholds, such as the 7.3 level against the dollar. Such moves may lead to increased capital outflows and impact competitiveness in international markets.

Meanwhile, the HKD to CNY exchange rate, currently at approximately 0.9152, has remained stable within a tight 1.9% range over the past three months, illustrating a consistent trading environment influenced by the respective monetary policies and economic conditions of Hong Kong and China.

Overall, exchange rates between the HKD and CNY will continue to reflect local economic dynamics, geopolitical tensions, and the broader global economic landscape, prompting businesses and individuals to closely monitor these developments for their international transaction needs.

HKD-CNY Rate Calculator

 
   
   
   
   
 
   
 
 

HKD to CNY Market Data

Hong Kong dollar (HKD) to Chinese yuan (CNY) market data - latest interbank exchange rate, trend, chart & historic rates.

 
Sell HKD   →   Buy CNY
1 HKD =
0.9179We compare provider deals to this wholesale mid-market rate. Read more
CNY
+0.3%
HKD to CNY is at 7-day highs near 0.9167, near its 3-month average, having traded in a stable 1.2% range from 0.9118 to 0.9226
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  1 CNY = 1.0894 HKD

Compare & Save - Hong Kong dollar to Chinese yuan

Exchange rates can vary significantly between different currency exchange providers, so it's important to compare Hong Kong dollar (HKD) to Chinese yuan (CNY) rates from different sources before making a conversion.

Use our HKD to CNY calculator to see how much you could save on your international money transfers. makes it easy to compare the Total Cost you are being charged on Hong Kong dollar to Yuan currency rates and the possible savings of using various providers.

 
 

Will the Hong Kong dollar rise against the Chinese yuan?

This is always a difficult question as exchange rates are influenced by many factors, so a good method to consider the Hong Kong dollar vs Chinese yuan current value is to look the HKD/CNY historic rate and change over a range of periods.

The following table looks at the change in the HKD to CNY exchange rate over periods from the previous week back to the last 10 years.

DateHKD/CNYPeriod
26 Jul 2025
0.9132
2 Week
11 May 2025
0.9290
3 Month
09 Aug 2024
0.9190
1 Year
10 Aug 2020
0.8983
5 Year
12 Aug 2015
0.8219
10 Year
14 Aug 2005
1.0423
20 Year
HKD/CNY historic rates

It is almost impossible to predict what an exchange rate will do in the future, the best approach is to monitor the currency markets and transact when an exchange rate moves in your favour.

To help with this you can add HKD/CNY to your personalised Rate Tracker to track and benefit from currency movements.

 
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Rather than requiring you to set a target rate, our Rate Alerts keep you informed of recent trends and movements of currency pairs.

Add rates to your Rate Tracker and select to receive an daily email (mon-fri) or when a rate is trending

 

Forecasts disclaimer: Please be advised that the forecasts and analysis of market data presented on BestExchangeRates.com are solely a review and compilation of forecasts from various market experts and economists. These forecasts are not meant to reflect the opinions or views of BestExchangeRates.com or its affiliates, nor should they be construed as a recommendation or advice to engage in any financial transactions. Read more