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HKD to CNY 2025 Forecasts

Analysis of recent Hong Kong dollar → yuan forecasts for 2025. We collate forecasts from respected FX analysts together with the latest Hong Kong dollar to Chinese yuan performance and trends.

 

Recent forecasts for the HKD to CNY exchange rate indicate a complex landscape shaped by economic developments in both Hong Kong and China. Analysts have observed that the Hong Kong dollar (HKD) remained relatively strong as of October 2023, bolstered by new measures from the Hong Kong SAR government aimed at revitalizing its financial sector and addressing housing market challenges. However, economic recovery in Hong Kong is perceived as slow, with local demand continuing to struggle against a backdrop of an incomplete labor market recovery.

Currency analysts suggest that the effectiveness of the recent policy measures announced by Chief Executive John Lee could provide a short-term boost to the HKD, especially if further interest rate cuts materialize. Nevertheless, market sentiments are cautious about the overall economic outlook, especially with lingering pessimism and muted domestic demand recovery. The HKD has shown stability against the US dollar, indicating relative strength, but any shifts in Federal Reserve policy could influence future exchange rates.

In contrast, the Chinese yuan (CNY) faces significant headwinds. Increased pressure on the yuan has been noted due to China’s ongoing economic struggles, exacerbated by geopolitical tensions and trade disputes. Recent market data showed the yuan has weakened past the critical threshold of 7.3 per US dollar, reflecting concerns about the pace of economic recovery post-Covid-19. The People’s Bank of China (PBOC) has taken steps that may imply a tolerance for further depreciation of the yuan as it navigates these challenges.

Furthermore, the CNY's depreciation could complicate international trade dynamics, affecting both the competitiveness of Chinese exports and the cost of imports. As a response to economic stagnation, Beijing has indicated a readiness to implement more stimulus measures, particularly targeting the struggling real estate sector.

Currently, the HKD to CNY rate at 0.9132 is only slightly below the three-month average of 0.9195, operating within a tight range indicative of relative stability in the short term. Market analysts remain alert to the intertwining effects of monetary policies and external economic pressures that could sway the exchange rate moving forward. As such, businesses and individuals involved in cross-border transactions should monitor these developments closely to capitalize on optimal exchange opportunities.

HKD-CNY Rate Calculator

 
   
   
   
   
 
   
 
 

HKD to CNY Market Data

Hong Kong dollar (HKD) to Chinese yuan (CNY) market data - latest interbank exchange rate, trend, chart & historic rates.

 
Sell HKD   →   Buy CNY
1 HKD =
0.9132We compare provider deals to this wholesale mid-market rate. Read more
CNY
+0.1%
90d-lows
HKD to CNY at 0.9132 is just 0.7% below its 3-month average of 0.9195, having traded in a very stable 3.2% range from 0.9121 to 0.9413
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  1 CNY = 1.0950 HKD

Compare & Save - Hong Kong dollar to Chinese yuan

Exchange rates can vary significantly between different currency exchange providers, so it's important to compare Hong Kong dollar (HKD) to Chinese yuan (CNY) rates from different sources before making a conversion.

Use our HKD to CNY calculator to see how much you could save on your international money transfers. makes it easy to compare the Total Cost you are being charged on Hong Kong dollar to Yuan currency rates and the possible savings of using various providers.

 
 

Will the Hong Kong dollar rise against the Chinese yuan?

This is always a difficult question as exchange rates are influenced by many factors, so a good method to consider the Hong Kong dollar vs Chinese yuan current value is to look the HKD/CNY historic rate and change over a range of periods.

The following table looks at the change in the HKD to CNY exchange rate over periods from the previous week back to the last 10 years.

DateHKD/CNYPeriod
12 Jul 2025
0.9132
2 Week
27 Apr 2025
0.9394
3 Month
26 Jul 2024
0.9287
1 Year
27 Jul 2020
0.9025
5 Year
29 Jul 2015
0.7983
10 Year
31 Jul 2005
1.0428
20 Year
HKD/CNY historic rates

It is almost impossible to predict what an exchange rate will do in the future, the best approach is to monitor the currency markets and transact when an exchange rate moves in your favour.

To help with this you can add HKD/CNY to your personalised Rate Tracker to track and benefit from currency movements.

 
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Rather than requiring you to set a target rate, our Rate Alerts keep you informed of recent trends and movements of currency pairs.

Add rates to your Rate Tracker and select to receive an daily email (mon-fri) or when a rate is trending

 

Forecasts disclaimer: Please be advised that the forecasts and analysis of market data presented on BestExchangeRates.com are solely a review and compilation of forecasts from various market experts and economists. These forecasts are not meant to reflect the opinions or views of BestExchangeRates.com or its affiliates, nor should they be construed as a recommendation or advice to engage in any financial transactions. Read more