The MYR to USD exchange rate shows a neutral bias in the near term, with the MYR trading close to recent highs.
Several factors are influencing this trend. First, interest rate cuts expected by the Federal Reserve could narrow the rate differential with Malaysia, supporting the MYR. Second, Malaysia's solid economic outlook, driven by GDP growth and fiscal improvements, suggests an environment for appreciation. Additionally, rising oil prices have historically supported the MYR, and current prices at 30-day highs may enhance this effect.
In the coming months, the MYR is likely to fluctuate within a stable range as recent trading patterns suggest limited volatility. An upside risk includes stronger-than-expected foreign investments in Malaysian assets, while a downside risk involves further Federal Reserve rate cuts that could weaken the USD, impacting the MYR negatively. The ongoing global move towards de-dollarization could also add complexity to the currency dynamics.