The NZD to EUR exchange rate is currently range-bound, trading near its three-month average.
Key drivers include the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) maintaining a cautious stance on interest rates, with projections suggesting potential cuts in the near future. Additionally, the European Central Bank (ECB) has taken a dovish approach, signaling concerns about the euro's strength potentially hindering inflation control. The eurozone's expected economic growth may provide some support for the EUR, while elevated global market uncertainties keep the NZD under pressure.
In the near term, the NZD/EUR market is likely to remain within a stable range. Upside risks could stem from a positive shift in New Zealand's trade figures, while downside risks may arise from further deterioration in global risk sentiment or negative economic data from Europe. Oil prices trading at recent lows may also impact the euro's performance indirectly through global economic sentiment.