The NZD to ZAR exchange rate appears bearish, currently at 90-day lows near 9.5113.
Key drivers include the interest rate differential, as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) is expected to cut rates further, impacting the NZD negatively. In contrast, the South African Reserve Bank (SARB) recently reduced its repo rate, but expects further easing, which may support the ZAR. Economic growth forecasts for South Africa, projected to improve due to better electricity supply and infrastructure, also favor the ZAR.
The near-term trading range is likely to remain stable, fluctuating within a modest band. Upside risks for the NZD could arise if upcoming trade figures show strong export growth, while downside risks may surface if global economic conditions worsen or oil prices remain low, currently near 60.64, potentially affecting risk appetite for emerging market currencies like the ZAR.