The NZD to ZAR exchange rate currently shows a bearish bias, trading near 90-day lows.
Key drivers include the anticipated interest rate cuts by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand, which could weaken the NZD further. The South African Reserve Bank's recent reduction of the repo rate suggests a dovish (supportive of economic growth) monetary stance, which may keep the ZAR stable. Additionally, economic growth forecasts for South Africa indicate potential recovery, positively impacting the ZAR's strength.
In the near term, the NZD to ZAR is expected to remain in a range, reflecting recent trading patterns, though volatility may impact pricing.
Upside risks for the NZD include a rebound in global risk sentiment, while downside risks hinge on persistent inflation challenges in New Zealand that could drive the NZD lower. Furthermore, fluctuations in oil prices may indirectly affect the ZAR, hence keeping an eye on the oil market is wise.