USD to AUD 2026 Forecasts & Latest Rates

USD to AUD Forecast & Outlook

08 Aug 2026 • 00:25 GMT

Forecast snapshot

Quick USD/AUD forecast

Near-term bias🔴 Mild downside

Expected range1.3540 – 1.4150

Dominant driver🌍 Global risk sentiment

3-month trend⚪ Range-bound

Currently, USD/AUD is trading close to 30-day lows near 1.4148, below its 3-month average. The dominant driver is risk sentiment, with safe-haven preferences supporting the USD. Over the next few sessions, the pair may remain supported by risk-off conditions, which can keep the USD relatively resilient even as the pair approaches recent lows.

💸 Transfer implications

Expats: sending money to Australia might find current AUD rates less favourable than recent levels if the pair falls further.
Travellers: buying AUD cash or loading currency cards may face more costly exchange if USD remains supported by risk-off flows.
Businesses: paying Australian invoices in USD could see less advantageous rates if the pair continues to consolidate near recent lows.

🧭 Key drivers

Rate gap: The US interest rate outlook remains volatile, with USD supported by interest rate concerns.
Risk/commodities: Risk-off environments and declining commodities, especially energy prices, support USD and pressure AUD.
Global factors: US geopolitical tensions are contributing to USD holding its safe-haven appeal.

⚠️ What could change it

Upside risk: Signs of US interest rate cuts or easing risk aversion could lift the pair.
Downside risk: A sudden shift towards risk appetite or stronger commodity prices might weaken the USD and support the AUD.

Finding providers with lower margins can help reduce total transfer costs amid current exchange conditions.

AUDUSD Bank Forecasts to end of the year

The AUD/USD outlook to the end of the year reveals a mixed perspective among major banks. OCBC has expressed a bullish stance, raising its forecast to 0.73 due to expected hawkishness. In contrast, J.P. Morgan anticipates a more subdued range of 0.66–0.70, while NAB projects a close of around 0.70, considering the RBA's stance on inflation. These forecasts suggest a generally optimistic view for the AUD, though tempered by potential volatility.

Big bank views

OCBC forecasts AUD/USD at 0.73 by end-2026, revised from 0.69.
J.P. Morgan Private Bank expects a range of 0.66–0.70 over 6–12 months.
NAB anticipates the AUD/USD to be near 0.70 by year-end.

What could change the outlook

Any shifts in the Federal Reserve's interest rate policy could impact USD strength, thereby influencing the AUD/USD pair.
Developments in global equity markets, particularly the tech sector, might alter investor sentiment towards the AUD.

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Rate direction

USD to AUD market data

US dollar (USD) to Australian dollar (AUD) market data - latest interbank exchange rate, trend, chart & historic rates.

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1 USD = AUD

1D−0.5%▼

USD to AUD is at 30-day lows near 1.4148, just below its 3-month average, having traded in a quite stable 5.4% range from 1.3778 to 1.4521

07-AUG 8PM-NY 08-AUG 1AM-LON 8AM-HK 10AM-SYD

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1 AUD = 0.7066 USD

Will the US dollar rise against the Australian dollar?

This is always a difficult question as exchange rates are influenced by many factors, so a good method to consider the US dollar vs Australian dollar current value is to look the USD/AUD historic rate and change over a range of periods.

The following table looks at the change in the USD to AUD exchange rate over periods from the previous week back to the last 10 years.

Date	USD/AUD	Change	Period
24 Jul 2026	1.4331	0.7% ▼	2 Week
09 May 2026	1.3789	3.2% ▲	3 Month
07 Aug 2025	1.5325	7.1% ▼	1 Year
08 Aug 2021	1.3631	4.4% ▲	5 Year
09 Aug 2016	1.3046	9.1% ▲	10 Year
12 Aug 2006	1.3046	9.1% ▲	20 Year

USD/AUD historic rates & change to 07-Aug-2026

It is almost impossible to predict what an exchange rate will do in the future, the best approach is to monitor the currency markets and transact when an exchange rate moves in your favour.

To help with this you can add USD/AUD to your personalised Rate Tracker to track and benefit from currency movements.

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