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Currency outlook USD/AUD

USD to AUD Forecasts – US dollar to Australian dollar

Latest USD to AUD forecasts including bank predictions, key market drivers and recent trends for USD/AUD. See where analysts expect the pair to move and the factors likely to influence it.

USD to AUD Forecast & Outlook

24 Jul 2026 • 00:24 GMT

USD/AUD 1.4354

📊 Forecast snapshot

  • Near-term bias: 🔴 Mild downside
  • Expected range: 1.4270 – 1.4520
  • Dominant driver: 🌍 Global risk sentiment
  • 3-month trend: ⚪ Range-bound

Currently, USD/AUD is trading close to 1.4354, near its 7-day high and well above the 3-month average of 1.4154. The pair remains supported by risk-off conditions and safe-haven flows amid geopolitical tensions. Over the next few sessions, the pair may stay under pressure if risk sentiment remains cautious, often finding resistance around recent highs.

💸 Transfer implications

  • Expats: sending money to Australia may find current levels relatively favourable compared to recent lows.
  • Travellers: exchanging currency could support Australian dollars if the pair stays near recent highs.
  • Businesses: paying Australian dollar invoices in USD might see less favourable rates if the pair weakens.

🧭 Key drivers

  • Rate gap: The USD supports safe-haven demand, with the Fed holding near its 90-day average, maintaining a yield advantage over Australia.
  • Risk/commodities: Global risk-off sentiment continues, supported by geopolitical tensions and cautious market conditions.
  • Global factors: Risk sentiment dominates, pressuring risk-sensitive currencies like AUD.

⚠️ What could change it

  • Upside risk: A shift toward global risk appetite or easing geopolitical tensions could weaken the USD and support AUD.
  • Downside risk: Signs of sustained risk-off flows or stronger safe-haven demand could push the pair lower.

BER suggestions: comparing FX providers may help offset less favourable exchange conditions, and shopping around for lower margins can reduce transfer costs.

 

AUDUSD Bank Forecasts to end of the year

The AUD/USD outlook to the end of the year reveals a mixed perspective among major banks. OCBC has expressed a bullish stance, raising its forecast to 0.73 due to expected hawkishness. In contrast, J.P. Morgan anticipates a more subdued range of 0.66–0.70, while NAB projects a close of around 0.70, considering the RBA's stance on inflation. These forecasts suggest a generally optimistic view for the AUD, though tempered by potential volatility.

Big bank views

  • OCBC forecasts AUD/USD at 0.73 by end-2026, revised from 0.69.
  • J.P. Morgan Private Bank expects a range of 0.66–0.70 over 6–12 months.
  • NAB anticipates the AUD/USD to be near 0.70 by year-end.

What could change the outlook

  • Any shifts in the Federal Reserve's interest rate policy could impact USD strength, thereby influencing the AUD/USD pair.
  • Developments in global equity markets, particularly the tech sector, might alter investor sentiment towards the AUD.
 

USD-AUD Rate Calculator

 
 
   
   
   
   
   
 
 

USD to AUD Market Data

US dollar (USD) to Australian dollar (AUD) market data - latest interbank exchange rate, trend, chart & historic rates.

 
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1 USD =
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AUD
1d+0.4%▲
USD to AUD is at 7-day highs near 1.4354, 1.4% above its 3-month average of 1.4154, having traded in a quite stable 5.4% range from 1.3778 to 1.4521
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  1 AUD = 0.6972 USD

Compare & Save - US dollar to Australian dollar

Exchange rates can vary significantly between different currency exchange providers, so it's important to compare US dollar (USD) to Australian dollar (AUD) rates from different sources before making a conversion.

Use our USD to AUD calculator to see how much you could save on your international money transfers. makes it easy to compare the Total Cost you are being charged on Dollar to Aussie currency rates and the possible savings of using various providers.

 
 

Will the US dollar rise against the Australian dollar?

This is always a difficult question as exchange rates are influenced by many factors, so a good method to consider the US dollar vs Australian dollar current value is to look the USD/AUD historic rate and change over a range of periods.

The following table looks at the change in the USD to AUD exchange rate over periods from the previous week back to the last 10 years.

DateUSD/AUDChangePeriod
09 Jul 2026
1.4403
1.1% ▼2 Week
24 Apr 2026
1.3998
1.8% ▲3 Month
23 Jul 2025
1.5147
5.9% ▼1 Year
24 Jul 2021
1.3580
4.9% ▲5 Year
25 Jul 2016
1.3378
6.5% ▲10 Year
28 Jul 2006
1.3083
8.9% ▲20 Year
USD/AUD historic rates & change to 23-Jul-2026

It is almost impossible to predict what an exchange rate will do in the future, the best approach is to monitor the currency markets and transact when an exchange rate moves in your favour.

To help with this you can add USD/AUD to your personalised Rate Tracker to track and benefit from currency movements.

 
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Rather than requiring you to set a target rate, our Rate Alerts keep you informed of recent trends and movements of currency pairs.

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Forecasts disclaimer: Please be advised that the forecasts and analysis of market data presented on BestExchangeRates.com are solely a review and compilation of forecasts from various market experts and economists. These forecasts are not meant to reflect the opinions or views of BestExchangeRates.com or its affiliates, nor should they be construed as a recommendation or advice to engage in any financial transactions. Read more