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USD to BRL 2026 Forecasts

Analysis of recent dollar → real forecasts for 2026. We collate forecasts from respected FX analysts together with the latest US dollar to Brazilian real performance and trends.

 

USD/BRL Outlook: Bearish, as the rate is below its 90-day average and near recent lows, with limited drivers to support a rise.

Key drivers:

• Rate gap: The Federal Reserve is expected to cut rates while the Brazilian central bank maintains high rates, keeping the BRL relatively stronger against the USD.

• Risk/commodities: Oil is performing above its average, which typically supports the BRL as Brazil is a significant oil producer.

• One macro factor: Brazil's government stimulus measures are raising inflation concerns, potentially pressuring the BRL if inflation expectations rise.

Range: The USD/BRL rate is likely to drift as it remains within its recent range, but may test the lower limits due to bearish pressures.

What could change it:

• Upside risk: A surprising improvement in U.S. economic data might boost the USD.

• Downside risk: Persistent inflation in Brazil could lead the BCB to tighten policy further, maintaining pressure on the USD/BRL rate.

USD-BRL Rate Calculator

 
   
   
   
   
 
   
 
 

USD to BRL Market Data

US dollar (USD) to Brazilian real (BRL) market data - latest interbank exchange rate, trend, chart & historic rates.

 
Sell USD   →   Buy BRL
1 USD =
5.2861We compare provider deals to this wholesale mid-market rate. Read more
BRL
1d−0.6%▼
60dLows◒
USD to BRL is at 60-day lows near 5.2852, 2.1% below its 3-month average of 5.3962, having traded in a relatively stable 6.1% range from 5.2722 to 5.5921
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  1 BRL = 0.1892 USD

Compare & Save - US dollar to Brazilian real

Exchange rates can vary significantly between different currency exchange providers, so it's important to compare US dollar (USD) to Brazilian real (BRL) rates from different sources before making a conversion.

Use our USD to BRL calculator to see how much you could save on your international money transfers. makes it easy to compare the Total Cost you are being charged on Dollar to Real currency rates and the possible savings of using various providers.

 
 

Will the US dollar rise against the Brazilian real?

This is always a difficult question as exchange rates are influenced by many factors, so a good method to consider the US dollar vs Brazilian real current value is to look the USD/BRL historic rate and change over a range of periods.

The following table looks at the change in the USD to BRL exchange rate over periods from the previous week back to the last 10 years.

It is almost impossible to predict what an exchange rate will do in the future, the best approach is to monitor the currency markets and transact when an exchange rate moves in your favour.

To help with this you can add USD/BRL to your personalised Rate Tracker to track and benefit from currency movements.

 
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Rather than requiring you to set a target rate, our Rate Alerts keep you informed of recent trends and movements of currency pairs.

Add rates to your Rate Tracker and select to receive an daily email (mon-fri) or when a rate is trending

 

Forecasts disclaimer: Please be advised that the forecasts and analysis of market data presented on BestExchangeRates.com are solely a review and compilation of forecasts from various market experts and economists. These forecasts are not meant to reflect the opinions or views of BestExchangeRates.com or its affiliates, nor should they be construed as a recommendation or advice to engage in any financial transactions. Read more