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USD to BRL 2026 Forecasts

Analysis of recent dollar → real forecasts for 2026. We collate forecasts from respected FX analysts together with the latest US dollar to Brazilian real performance and trends.

 

The USD to BRL exchange rate maintains a bearish bias.

The key drivers include:

  • The Federal Reserve's anticipated rate cuts may weaken the USD by mid-2026.
  • The Brazilian Central Bank is considering lowering its benchmark interest rate from 15% due to pressures on government finances and inflation control.
  • Global economic growth and rising commodity prices, including oil, could influence both currencies and add volatility.

In the near term, the USD/BRL is expected to trade within a stable range, reflecting recent movements around 5.3734, slightly below the 3-month average.

Upside risks for the BRL could arise from strengthening global commodities, while downside risks include political uncertainties surrounding Brazil’s 2026 elections, which may further affect investor confidence.

USD-BRL Rate Calculator

 
   
   
   
   
 
   
 
 

USD to BRL Market Data

US dollar (USD) to Brazilian real (BRL) market data - latest interbank exchange rate, trend, chart & historic rates.

 
Sell USD   →   Buy BRL
1 USD =
5.3955We compare provider deals to this wholesale mid-market rate. Read more
BRL
1d−0.6%▼
30dLows◒
USD to BRL is at 30-day lows near 5.3734, just 0.7% below its 3-month average of 5.4092, having traded in a relatively stable 6.1% range from 5.2722 to 5.5921
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  1 BRL = 0.1853 USD

Compare & Save - US dollar to Brazilian real

Exchange rates can vary significantly between different currency exchange providers, so it's important to compare US dollar (USD) to Brazilian real (BRL) rates from different sources before making a conversion.

Use our USD to BRL calculator to see how much you could save on your international money transfers. makes it easy to compare the Total Cost you are being charged on Dollar to Real currency rates and the possible savings of using various providers.

 
 

Will the US dollar rise against the Brazilian real?

This is always a difficult question as exchange rates are influenced by many factors, so a good method to consider the US dollar vs Brazilian real current value is to look the USD/BRL historic rate and change over a range of periods.

The following table looks at the change in the USD to BRL exchange rate over periods from the previous week back to the last 10 years.

DateUSD/BRLChangePeriod
24 Dec 2025
5.5212
2.7% ▼2 Week
09 Oct 2025
5.3778
0.1% ▼3 Month
07 Jan 2025
6.1008
11.9% ▼1 Year
08 Jan 2021
5.4180
0.8% ▼5 Year
10 Jan 2016
4.0243
33.5% ▲10 Year
12 Jan 2006
2.2733
136.3% ▲20 Year
USD/BRL historic rates & change to 07-Jan-2026

It is almost impossible to predict what an exchange rate will do in the future, the best approach is to monitor the currency markets and transact when an exchange rate moves in your favour.

To help with this you can add USD/BRL to your personalised Rate Tracker to track and benefit from currency movements.

 
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Rather than requiring you to set a target rate, our Rate Alerts keep you informed of recent trends and movements of currency pairs.

Add rates to your Rate Tracker and select to receive an daily email (mon-fri) or when a rate is trending

 

Forecasts disclaimer: Please be advised that the forecasts and analysis of market data presented on BestExchangeRates.com are solely a review and compilation of forecasts from various market experts and economists. These forecasts are not meant to reflect the opinions or views of BestExchangeRates.com or its affiliates, nor should they be construed as a recommendation or advice to engage in any financial transactions. Read more