Switch .com Best Exchange Rates .com Best Exchange Rates .com Best Exchange Rates
BER

USD to BRL 2025 Forecasts

Analysis of recent dollar → real forecasts for 2025. We collate forecasts from respected FX analysts together with the latest US dollar to Brazilian real performance and trends.

 

The USD to BRL exchange rate has recently hit a 90-day low, trading at around 5.4260, which is approximately 4.0% below its three-month average of 5.655. Analysts note that this depreciation can largely be attributed to the ongoing concerns surrounding U.S. fiscal policy and its implications for the national debt, particularly following discussions about substantial government spending. Recent data from the U.S., including an unexpected rise in job openings, has helped the dollar recover slightly from its lows, indicating the currency's responsiveness to employment metrics.

Economists emphasize that the U.S. dollar's strength is largely influenced by Federal Reserve policies, economic indicators such as inflation, GDP growth, and prevailing geopolitical tensions. The current safe-haven status of the USD could be affected by global market stability and ongoing trade disputes, notably the reciprocal tariff imposed by the U.S. on Brazilian goods during the Trump administration, which continues to weigh on the Brazilian Real.

The BRL’s performance is closely tied to commodity prices, as Brazil is a major exporter of oil and soybeans. The recent rise in oil prices, with OIL to USD reaching seven-day highs near 69.11 and trading significantly above its three-month average, could offer some support for the Real, which is sensitive to such fluctuations. However, ongoing political and economic instability in Brazil poses a risk to the currency's strength, which may lead to continued volatility.

The current exchange rate volatility ranges from 5.4260 to a high of 6.0113, highlighting the potential for future fluctuations. As such, market participants should remain vigilant to changes in both U.S. economic indicators and global commodity trends, as these will significantly influence the USD to BRL exchange rate moving forward.

USD-BRL Rate Calculator

 
   
   
   
   
 
   
 
 

USD to BRL Market Data

US dollar (USD) to Brazilian real (BRL) market data - latest interbank exchange rate, trend, chart & historic rates.

 
Sell USD   →   Buy BRL
1 USD =
5.4270We compare provider deals to this wholesale mid-market rate. Read more
BRL
-0.6%
90d-lows
USD to BRL is at 90-day lows near 5.4260, 4.0% below its 3-month average of 5.655, having traded in a quite volatile 10.8% range from 5.4260 to 6.0113
|
Tracker

Manage Tracker   


Compare & Save - US dollar to Brazilian real

Exchange rates can vary significantly between different currency exchange providers, so it's important to compare US dollar (USD) to Brazilian real (BRL) rates from different sources before making a conversion.

Use our USD to BRL calculator to see how much you could save on your international money transfers. makes it easy to compare the Total Cost you are being charged on Dollar to Real currency rates and the possible savings of using various providers.

 
 

Will the US dollar rise against the Brazilian real?

This is always a difficult question as exchange rates are influenced by many factors, so a good method to consider the US dollar vs Brazilian real current value is to look the USD/BRL historic rate and change over a range of periods.

The following table looks at the change in the USD to BRL exchange rate over periods from the previous week back to the last 10 years.

DateUSD/BRLChangePeriod
18 Jun 2025
5.4869
0.5% 2 Week
03 Apr 2025
5.6312
3.1% 3 Month
02 Jul 2024
5.6770
3.9% 1 Year
03 Jul 2020
5.3152
2.7% 5 Year
05 Jul 2015
3.1348
74.1% 10 Year
07 Jul 2005
2.3924
128.1% 20 Year
USD/BRL historic rates & change to 02-Jul-2025

It is almost impossible to predict what an exchange rate will do in the future, the best approach is to monitor the currency markets and transact when an exchange rate moves in your favour.

To help with this you can add USD/BRL to your personalised Rate Tracker to track and benefit from currency movements.

 
Track Rate
 

Manage Tracker   

 

Rather than requiring you to set a target rate, our Rate Alerts keep you informed of recent trends and movements of currency pairs.

Add rates to your Rate Tracker and select to receive an daily email (mon-fri) or when a rate is trending

 

Forecasts disclaimer: Please be advised that the forecasts and analysis of market data presented on BestExchangeRates.com are solely a review and compilation of forecasts from various market experts and economists. These forecasts are not meant to reflect the opinions or views of BestExchangeRates.com or its affiliates, nor should they be construed as a recommendation or advice to engage in any financial transactions. Read more