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USD to BRL 2026 Forecasts

Analysis of recent dollar → real forecasts for 2026. We collate forecasts from respected FX analysts together with the latest US dollar to Brazilian real performance and trends.

 

USD/BRL Outlook:

Bearish, as the rate is below its recent average and near recent lows.

Key drivers:

Rate gap: The Federal Reserve's decision to hold interest rates steady contrasts with Brazil’s commitment to maintain its SELIC rate, potentially hindering the BRL's relative strength.

Risk/commodities: Oil prices are above average, which can support Brazil’s export revenues and bolster the BRL, yet recent USD strength indicates mixed effects.

One macro factor: Geopolitical tensions over trade policies are leading to reduced confidence in the USD, affecting its value adversely.

Range:

Expect the USD/BRL to drift within its recent range, testing the lower limits amid ongoing pressures.

What could change it:

Upside risk: A significant rise in oil prices could enhance Brazil's trade balance, supporting the BRL.

Downside risk: Further escalations in geopolitical tensions could exacerbate the USD's decline, impacting the BRL negatively.

USD-BRL Rate Calculator

 
   
   
   
   
 
   
 
 

USD to BRL Market Data

US dollar (USD) to Brazilian real (BRL) market data - latest interbank exchange rate, trend, chart & historic rates.

 
Sell USD   →   Buy BRL
1 USD =
5.2328We compare provider deals to this wholesale mid-market rate. Read more
BRL
1d0.0%
 
USD to BRL at 5.2190 is 2.7% below its 3-month average of 5.3662, having traded in a relatively stable 7.8% range from 5.1868 to 5.5921
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Compare & Save - US dollar to Brazilian real

Exchange rates can vary significantly between different currency exchange providers, so it's important to compare US dollar (USD) to Brazilian real (BRL) rates from different sources before making a conversion.

Use our USD to BRL calculator to see how much you could save on your international money transfers. makes it easy to compare the Total Cost you are being charged on Dollar to Real currency rates and the possible savings of using various providers.

 
 

Will the US dollar rise against the Brazilian real?

This is always a difficult question as exchange rates are influenced by many factors, so a good method to consider the US dollar vs Brazilian real current value is to look the USD/BRL historic rate and change over a range of periods.

The following table looks at the change in the USD to BRL exchange rate over periods from the previous week back to the last 10 years.

It is almost impossible to predict what an exchange rate will do in the future, the best approach is to monitor the currency markets and transact when an exchange rate moves in your favour.

To help with this you can add USD/BRL to your personalised Rate Tracker to track and benefit from currency movements.

 
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Rather than requiring you to set a target rate, our Rate Alerts keep you informed of recent trends and movements of currency pairs.

Add rates to your Rate Tracker and select to receive an daily email (mon-fri) or when a rate is trending

 

Forecasts disclaimer: Please be advised that the forecasts and analysis of market data presented on BestExchangeRates.com are solely a review and compilation of forecasts from various market experts and economists. These forecasts are not meant to reflect the opinions or views of BestExchangeRates.com or its affiliates, nor should they be construed as a recommendation or advice to engage in any financial transactions. Read more