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USD to BRL 2025 Forecasts

Analysis of recent dollar → real forecasts for 2025. We collate forecasts from respected FX analysts together with the latest US dollar to Brazilian real performance and trends.

 

Recent developments indicate mixed sentiments for the USD to BRL exchange rate, with forecasts influenced by a range of domestic and international factors. The US dollar has shown resilience amidst trade optimism, particularly following comments from US President Donald Trump about potential progress in US-China negotiations. Analysts suggest that any positive resolution in these discussions could bolster the USD further, especially as the Federal Reserve approaches upcoming inflation data that may guide interest rate decisions.

Conversely, the Brazilian real has recently been strengthened by expectations of interest rate cuts anticipated by Finance Minister Fernando Haddad. With a favorable exchange rate environment, these cuts could further support the BRL. However, ongoing fiscal concerns regarding Brazil's deficit may pose risks to the real's performance. Central Bank interventions have aimed to stabilize the currency against volatility, indicating a proactive stance amid fluctuating market conditions.

Examining recent price data, the USD to BRL rate, currently at 5.4116, sits just below its 3-month average, having maintained stability in a 6.0% range. Meanwhile, oil prices, critical to Brazil's economy, have experienced volatility, trading 8.6% below their 3-month average. The fluctuations in oil prices directly affect the Brazilian economy, further complicating the outlook for the BRL.

Overall, while optimism around the USD remains, the BRL's anticipated strengthening may challenge this dynamic, especially with the potential for rate cuts and ongoing fiscal issues in Brazil. Analysts will be closely monitoring these interrelated factors as they could influence exchange rate trajectories in the near future.

USD-BRL Rate Calculator

 
   
   
   
   
 
   
 
 

USD to BRL Market Data

US dollar (USD) to Brazilian real (BRL) market data - latest interbank exchange rate, trend, chart & historic rates.

 
Sell USD   →   Buy BRL
1 USD =
5.4301We compare provider deals to this wholesale mid-market rate. Read more
BRL
1d+0.1%
USD to BRL at 5.4116 is just below its 3-month average, having traded in a quite stable 6.0% range from 5.2832 to 5.6007
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Compare & Save - US dollar to Brazilian real

Exchange rates can vary significantly between different currency exchange providers, so it's important to compare US dollar (USD) to Brazilian real (BRL) rates from different sources before making a conversion.

Use our USD to BRL calculator to see how much you could save on your international money transfers. makes it easy to compare the Total Cost you are being charged on Dollar to Real currency rates and the possible savings of using various providers.

 
 

Will the US dollar rise against the Brazilian real?

This is always a difficult question as exchange rates are influenced by many factors, so a good method to consider the US dollar vs Brazilian real current value is to look the USD/BRL historic rate and change over a range of periods.

The following table looks at the change in the USD to BRL exchange rate over periods from the previous week back to the last 10 years.

DateUSD/BRLChangePeriod
06 Oct 2025
5.3118
2.1% 2 Week
22 Jul 2025
5.5653
2.5% 3 Month
20 Oct 2024
5.6928
4.7% 1 Year
21 Oct 2020
5.6094
3.3% 5 Year
23 Oct 2015
3.8905
39.4% 10 Year
25 Oct 2005
2.2609
139.9% 20 Year
USD/BRL historic rates & change to 20-Oct-2025

It is almost impossible to predict what an exchange rate will do in the future, the best approach is to monitor the currency markets and transact when an exchange rate moves in your favour.

To help with this you can add USD/BRL to your personalised Rate Tracker to track and benefit from currency movements.

 
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Rather than requiring you to set a target rate, our Rate Alerts keep you informed of recent trends and movements of currency pairs.

Add rates to your Rate Tracker and select to receive an daily email (mon-fri) or when a rate is trending

 

Forecasts disclaimer: Please be advised that the forecasts and analysis of market data presented on BestExchangeRates.com are solely a review and compilation of forecasts from various market experts and economists. These forecasts are not meant to reflect the opinions or views of BestExchangeRates.com or its affiliates, nor should they be construed as a recommendation or advice to engage in any financial transactions. Read more