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USD to BRL 2026 Forecasts

Analysis of recent dollar → real forecasts for 2026. We collate forecasts from respected FX analysts together with the latest US dollar to Brazilian real performance and trends.

 

The USD to BRL exchange rate is currently bearish.

Key drivers include the anticipated Federal Reserve rate cuts, which could weaken the USD further as inflation pressures ease. A global improvement in economic growth and rising commodity prices may also influence the USD negatively. Meanwhile, the Brazilian Central Bank is expected to cut interest rates from 15% to around 12% by late 2026, indicating a more supportive monetary stance for the BRL.

In the near term, the USD/BRL rate may trade within a wider range, reflecting ongoing volatility influenced by these monetary policies.

Upside risks for the USD include unexpected strength in US economic indicators or inflation returning persistently high, while downside risks for the BRL could stem from continued fiscal instability or negative political developments leading to increased investor skepticism.

As of now, the USD to BRL is at 5.5185, reflecting a 2.0% increase above its three-month average, indicating some recent volatility in the currency pair.

USD-BRL Rate Calculator

 
   
   
   
   
 
   
 
 

USD to BRL Market Data

US dollar (USD) to Brazilian real (BRL) market data - latest interbank exchange rate, trend, chart & historic rates.

 
Sell USD   →   Buy BRL
1 USD =
5.5209We compare provider deals to this wholesale mid-market rate. Read more
BRL
1d0.0%⬦
 
USD to BRL at 5.5185 is 2.0% above its 3-month average of 5.4082, having traded in a relatively stable 6.1% range from 5.2722 to 5.5921
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  1 BRL = 0.1811 USD

Compare & Save - US dollar to Brazilian real

Exchange rates can vary significantly between different currency exchange providers, so it's important to compare US dollar (USD) to Brazilian real (BRL) rates from different sources before making a conversion.

Use our USD to BRL calculator to see how much you could save on your international money transfers. makes it easy to compare the Total Cost you are being charged on Dollar to Real currency rates and the possible savings of using various providers.

 
 

Will the US dollar rise against the Brazilian real?

This is always a difficult question as exchange rates are influenced by many factors, so a good method to consider the US dollar vs Brazilian real current value is to look the USD/BRL historic rate and change over a range of periods.

The following table looks at the change in the USD to BRL exchange rate over periods from the previous week back to the last 10 years.

DateUSD/BRLChangePeriod
18 Dec 2025
5.5205
0.1% ▼2 Week
03 Oct 2025
5.3370
3.3% ▲3 Month
01 Jan 2025
6.3015
12.5% ▼1 Year
02 Jan 2021
5.1934
6.2% ▲5 Year
04 Jan 2016
4.0250
37% ▲10 Year
06 Jan 2006
2.2891
140.9% ▲20 Year
USD/BRL historic rates & change to 01-Jan-2026

It is almost impossible to predict what an exchange rate will do in the future, the best approach is to monitor the currency markets and transact when an exchange rate moves in your favour.

To help with this you can add USD/BRL to your personalised Rate Tracker to track and benefit from currency movements.

 
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Rather than requiring you to set a target rate, our Rate Alerts keep you informed of recent trends and movements of currency pairs.

Add rates to your Rate Tracker and select to receive an daily email (mon-fri) or when a rate is trending

 

Forecasts disclaimer: Please be advised that the forecasts and analysis of market data presented on BestExchangeRates.com are solely a review and compilation of forecasts from various market experts and economists. These forecasts are not meant to reflect the opinions or views of BestExchangeRates.com or its affiliates, nor should they be construed as a recommendation or advice to engage in any financial transactions. Read more