The USD to CAD exchange rate is currently bearish.
Key drivers include the expected rate cuts from the Federal Reserve, which may weaken the USD, while Canada's strong job growth is boosting the CAD's appeal. Additionally, oil prices, crucial for the CAD as Canada is a major oil exporter, are currently below their three-month average, adding downward pressure on the CAD.
In the near term, the USD/CAD trading range is expected to stay stable, reflecting recent activity just below its three-month average.
An upside risk could arise if global commodity prices rebound sharply, potentially strengthening the CAD. Conversely, a significant downturn in U.S. economic data could add pressure on the CAD and lead to a weaker exchange rate. Recent USD/CAD trading has shown resilience, hovering near a 30-day high of about 1.3865, amidst moderate fluctuations.