The USD to CAD exchange rate is currently bearish.
Key drivers include:
- The Federal Reserve's expectation of multiple interest rate cuts, leading to a weaker USD.
- A strong Canadian jobs report, boosting confidence in the CAD.
- Stable oil prices, which typically support the CAD due to Canada's status as a major oil exporter.
The near-term trading range for the USD/CAD is likely to remain stable, with the rate expected to fluctuate around its current levels.
An upside risk is that a significant improvement in the US consumer sentiment could bolster the USD, while a downside risk is a further decline in oil prices, which would weaken the CAD and might increase USD demand.
Currently, the USD to CAD is trading near 1.3699, positioned 1.8% below its three-month average. Recent oil trends show prices are also fluctuating below their average, adding to the volatility in the CAD.