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USD to CNY Forecasts – US dollar to Chinese yuan

Latest USD to CNY forecasts including bank predictions, key market drivers and recent trends for USD/CNY. See where analysts expect the pair to move and the factors likely to influence it.

 

USD to CNY Forecast & Outlook

20 Jun 2026 • 01:06 GMT

USD/CNY 6.7708

📊 Forecast snapshot

  • Near-term bias: 🔴 Mild downside
  • Expected range: 6.7710 – 6.9120
  • Dominant driver: 🌍 Global risk sentiment
  • 3-month trend: 🔴 Downtrend

Currently, USD/CNY is trading near 7-day highs around 6.7708, close to its 3-month average of 6.8173. The pair remains within a stable range, supported by risk-off sentiment tied to geopolitical tensions. Over the next few sessions, the pair may face downward pressure, as risk-off conditions favor safe-haven currencies and the yuan remains pressured amid risk-sensitive market conditions.

💸 Transfer implications

  • Expats: sending money to China may find current exchange rates less favourable than recent levels.
  • Travellers: exchanging CNY cash might see support for the yuan if conditions weaken further.
  • Businesses: paying overseas invoices in CNY may experience less advantageous rates if the pair drifts lower.

🧭 Key drivers

  • Rate gap: USD is supported by safe-haven demand amid increased geopolitical tensions.
  • Risk/commodities: Global risk-off sentiment has increased, favoring USD over risk-sensitive currencies.
  • Global factors: Chinese yuan has been pressured by risk-sensitive market conditions.

⚠️ What could change it

  • Upside risk: A reduction in global risk fears or a turn in risk appetite could support the yuan and weaken the USD.
  • Downside risk: Unexpected escalation in geopolitical tensions could further push USD higher, supporting safe-haven flows.

Shopping around for the lowest margin provider may help reduce overall transfer costs.

 

USDCNY Bank Forecasts to end of the year

The outlook for USD/CNY by the end of the year shows a general trend towards yuan appreciation, with major banks projecting the pair to decline. While the forecasts vary slightly, a consensus suggests the USD/CNY will end the year around the mid-6.70s, driven by China's economic policies and stable US-China relations.

Big bank views

  • HSBC expects USD/CNY to be at 6.65 by year-end.
  • Deutsche Bank envisions a stronger yuan, targeting 6.55.
  • Goldman Sachs forecasts a year-end level of 6.70.

What could change the outlook

  • Any unexpected shifts in US Federal Reserve interest rate policies could impact USD strength.
  • Changes in China's economic performance or policy adjustments could alter the yuan's trajectory.
 

USD-CNY Rate Calculator

 
 
   
   
   
   
   
 
 

USD to CNY Market Data

US dollar (USD) to Chinese yuan (CNY) market data - latest interbank exchange rate, trend, chart & historic rates.

 
Sell USD   →   Buy CNY
1 USD =
6.7786We compare provider deals to this wholesale mid-market rate. Read more
CNY
1d+0.1%▲
USD to CNY is at 14-day highs near 6.7762, just 0.6% below its 3-month average of 6.8138, having traded in a very stable 2.3% range from 6.7574 to 6.9120
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  1 CNY = 0.1475 USD

Compare & Save - US dollar to Chinese yuan

Exchange rates can vary significantly between different currency exchange providers, so it's important to compare US dollar (USD) to Chinese yuan (CNY) rates from different sources before making a conversion.

Use our USD to CNY calculator to see how much you could save on your international money transfers. makes it easy to compare the Total Cost you are being charged on Dollar to Yuan currency rates and the possible savings of using various providers.

 
 

Will the US dollar rise against the Chinese yuan?

This is always a difficult question as exchange rates are influenced by many factors, so a good method to consider the US dollar vs Chinese yuan current value is to look the USD/CNY historic rate and change over a range of periods.

The following table looks at the change in the USD to CNY exchange rate over periods from the previous week back to the last 10 years.

DateUSD/CNYChangePeriod
09 Jun 2026
6.7728
0.1% ▲2 Week
25 Mar 2026
6.9015
1.8% ▼3 Month
23 Jun 2025
7.1795
5.6% ▼1 Year
24 Jun 2021
6.4720
4.7% ▲5 Year
25 Jun 2016
6.6029
2.6% ▲10 Year
28 Jun 2006
7.9985
15.3% ▼20 Year
USD/CNY historic rates & change to 23-Jun-2026

It is almost impossible to predict what an exchange rate will do in the future, the best approach is to monitor the currency markets and transact when an exchange rate moves in your favour.

To help with this you can add USD/CNY to your personalised Rate Tracker to track and benefit from currency movements.

 
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Rather than requiring you to set a target rate, our Rate Alerts keep you informed of recent trends and movements of currency pairs.

Add rates to your Rate Tracker and select to receive an daily email (mon-fri) or when a rate is trending

 

Forecasts disclaimer: Please be advised that the forecasts and analysis of market data presented on BestExchangeRates.com are solely a review and compilation of forecasts from various market experts and economists. These forecasts are not meant to reflect the opinions or views of BestExchangeRates.com or its affiliates, nor should they be construed as a recommendation or advice to engage in any financial transactions. Read more