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USD to CNY 2025 Forecasts

Analysis of recent dollar → yuan forecasts for 2025. We collate forecasts from respected FX analysts together with the latest US dollar to Chinese yuan performance and trends.

 

Recent forecasts for the USD to CNY exchange rate point to a complex landscape shaped by economic data and geopolitical events. The U.S. dollar has recently gained strength, bolstered by robust June jobs data, which exceeded analysts' expectations. Non-farm payrolls grew by 147,000, with the unemployment rate declining and services PMI figures also improving. This positive employment data generally supports expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain a firm monetary stance, which could further enhance the dollar’s appeal as a safe-haven asset.

Conversely, the Chinese yuan is experiencing downward pressure largely due to ongoing trade tensions and a sluggish economic recovery. The yuan recently breached the key level of 7.3 per dollar, with analysts viewing this as indicative of a weakening Chinese economy, compounded by high unemployment rates, particularly among youth, and declining business investment. The People’s Bank of China (PBOC) has been allowing the yuan to depreciate, a move seen as an effort to stimulate growth amidst a challenging recovery environment post-COVID-19.

Market observers note that the outlook for the yuan may hinge on the effectiveness of potential monetary stimulus measures from the Chinese government, including interest rate cuts that have already begun to take shape. Analysts from JPMorgan have recently adjusted their year-end yuan forecast to 7.15 per dollar, spurred by reduced trade tensions and changing global currency dynamics. Yet, significant uncertainties remain, especially with the continued threats of tariffs from the U.S. and broader geopolitical risks.

Historical data shows that the USD/CNY pair is currently trading near 90-day lows at approximately 7.1641, just slightly below its three-month average. This suggests a period of relative stability within a 2.6% trading range. While upward moves in the USD may suggest forthcoming challenges for the yuan, the evolving economic landscape will continue to necessitate close monitoring of both monetary policy decisions and external geopolitical events. For businesses and individuals engaging in international transactions, understanding these dynamics is crucial for making informed decisions regarding currency exchanges.

USD-CNY Rate Calculator

 
   
   
   
   
 
   
 
 

USD to CNY Market Data

US dollar (USD) to Chinese yuan (CNY) market data - latest interbank exchange rate, trend, chart & historic rates.

 
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1 USD =
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CNY
90d-lows
USD to CNY is at 90-day lows near 7.1641, just 0.9% below its 3-month average of 7.2288, having traded in a very stable 2.6% range from 7.1641 to 7.3499
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  1 CNY = 0.1396 USD

Compare & Save - US dollar to Chinese yuan

Exchange rates can vary significantly between different currency exchange providers, so it's important to compare US dollar (USD) to Chinese yuan (CNY) rates from different sources before making a conversion.

Use our USD to CNY calculator to see how much you could save on your international money transfers. makes it easy to compare the Total Cost you are being charged on Dollar to Yuan currency rates and the possible savings of using various providers.

 
 

Will the US dollar rise against the Chinese yuan?

This is always a difficult question as exchange rates are influenced by many factors, so a good method to consider the US dollar vs Chinese yuan current value is to look the USD/CNY historic rate and change over a range of periods.

The following table looks at the change in the USD to CNY exchange rate over periods from the previous week back to the last 10 years.

DateUSD/CNYChangePeriod
20 Jun 2025
7.1799
0.2% 2 Week
05 Apr 2025
7.2978
1.8% 3 Month
04 Jul 2024
7.2668
1.4% 1 Year
05 Jul 2020
7.0664
1.4% 5 Year
07 Jul 2015
6.1901
15.8% 10 Year
09 Jul 2005
8.2733
13.4% 20 Year
USD/CNY historic rates & change to 04-Jul-2025

It is almost impossible to predict what an exchange rate will do in the future, the best approach is to monitor the currency markets and transact when an exchange rate moves in your favour.

To help with this you can add USD/CNY to your personalised Rate Tracker to track and benefit from currency movements.

 
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Rather than requiring you to set a target rate, our Rate Alerts keep you informed of recent trends and movements of currency pairs.

Add rates to your Rate Tracker and select to receive an daily email (mon-fri) or when a rate is trending

 

Forecasts disclaimer: Please be advised that the forecasts and analysis of market data presented on BestExchangeRates.com are solely a review and compilation of forecasts from various market experts and economists. These forecasts are not meant to reflect the opinions or views of BestExchangeRates.com or its affiliates, nor should they be construed as a recommendation or advice to engage in any financial transactions. Read more