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USD to CNY Rates - 2026 Forecast

Analysis of recent dollar → yuan forecasts for 2026. We collate forecasts from respected FX analysts together with the latest US dollar to Chinese yuan performance and trends.

 

USD/CNY Outlook:

The USD/CNY is likely to decrease as it currently trades nearly 1% below its 90-day average and is close to recent lows. Escalating geopolitical conflicts are driving this downward movement.

Key drivers:

• Rate gap: The US Federal Reserve's stance on interest rates is more hawkish compared to the People's Bank of China, supporting USD strength.

• Risk/commodities: Oil prices have been volatile amid geopolitical tensions, negatively impacting risk appetite for the CNY.

• One macro factor: The recent US ISM services data is expected to remain solid, further boosting the USD.

Range:

The USD/CNY is likely to drift lower within its recent 3-month range, maintaining stability but testing lower extremes.

What could change it:

• Upside risk: A positive surprise in upcoming US economic data could shift trends towards the USD strengthening.

• Downside risk: Any de-escalation of geopolitical tensions could improve risk appetite for the CNY.

🇺🇸🇨🇳 USD/CNY Forecasts - End of 2026

🏦 Nomura

• Target: ~7.10–7.30

• Theme: Managed depreciation; PBoC smoothing volatility.

USD-CNY Rate Calculator

 
   
   
   
   
 
   
 
 

USD to CNY Market Data

US dollar (USD) to Chinese yuan (CNY) market data - latest interbank exchange rate, trend, chart & historic rates.

 
Sell USD   →   Buy CNY
1 USD =
6.8974We compare provider deals to this wholesale mid-market rate. Read more
CNY
1d+0.3%▲
 
USD to CNY is at 7-day highs near 6.9002, 1.0% below its 3-month average of 6.9702, having traded in a very stable 3.4% range from 6.8414 to 7.0717
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  1 CNY = 0.1450 USD

Compare & Save - US dollar to Chinese yuan

Exchange rates can vary significantly between different currency exchange providers, so it's important to compare US dollar (USD) to Chinese yuan (CNY) rates from different sources before making a conversion.

Use our USD to CNY calculator to see how much you could save on your international money transfers. makes it easy to compare the Total Cost you are being charged on Dollar to Yuan currency rates and the possible savings of using various providers.

 
 

Will the US dollar rise against the Chinese yuan?

This is always a difficult question as exchange rates are influenced by many factors, so a good method to consider the US dollar vs Chinese yuan current value is to look the USD/CNY historic rate and change over a range of periods.

The following table looks at the change in the USD to CNY exchange rate over periods from the previous week back to the last 10 years.

DateUSD/CNYChangePeriod
18 Feb 2026
6.9085
0.1% ▲2 Week
04 Dec 2025
7.0717
2.2% ▼3 Month
04 Mar 2025
7.2656
4.8% ▼1 Year
05 Mar 2021
6.4968
6.5% ▲5 Year
06 Mar 2016
6.5169
6.2% ▲10 Year
09 Mar 2006
8.0490
14% ▼20 Year
USD/CNY historic rates & change to 04-Mar-2026

It is almost impossible to predict what an exchange rate will do in the future, the best approach is to monitor the currency markets and transact when an exchange rate moves in your favour.

To help with this you can add USD/CNY to your personalised Rate Tracker to track and benefit from currency movements.

 
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Rather than requiring you to set a target rate, our Rate Alerts keep you informed of recent trends and movements of currency pairs.

Add rates to your Rate Tracker and select to receive an daily email (mon-fri) or when a rate is trending

 

Forecasts disclaimer: Please be advised that the forecasts and analysis of market data presented on BestExchangeRates.com are solely a review and compilation of forecasts from various market experts and economists. These forecasts are not meant to reflect the opinions or views of BestExchangeRates.com or its affiliates, nor should they be construed as a recommendation or advice to engage in any financial transactions. Read more