Analysis of recent dollar → sterling forecasts for 2024. We collate forecasts from respected FX analysts together with the latest US dollar to British pound performance and trends.
Forecasts for USD to GBP
Recent forecasts for the USD to GBP exchange rate illustrate a complex interplay of economic data and market sentiment. Following a period of relative stability, with the USD trading at 7-day lows near 0.8109—2.4% above its 3-month average of 0.7921—FX analysts anticipate further fluctuations in the aftermath of mixed economic indicators from both the US and the UK. The US dollar has demonstrated resilience, gaining from a risk-off market mood despite disappointing retail sales figures for December. Economists speculate that potential recovery in US industrial production and strong job creation data could bolster the dollar further, particularly as key central banks are taking a cautious approach amid concerns about inflation.
On the other hand, the British pound is facing headwinds following lackluster GDP growth figures, which came in at a mere 0.1%, below expectations. As the market awaits the upcoming retail sales data from the UK, there are concerns that the ongoing uncertainty surrounding post-Brexit negotiations and the broader economic impact of the UK's exit from the EU may weigh on the pound's performance. Market view suggests that the GBP/USD pair, known for its high volatility, may struggle to gain traction, especially with the strong dollar outlook fueled by the anticipated inflationary policies of the new US administration. Currency strategists predict that those dynamics, along with fluctuating market sentiment, will continue to influence the USD to GBP exchange rate in the near term, keeping both currencies in a state of reactive adjustment to global economic changes.
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GBP
▼-1.3% since yesterday
USD to GBP is at 7-day lows near 0.8109, 2.4% above its 3-month average of 0.7921, having traded in a relatively stable 7.0% range from 0.7677 to 0.8217
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Forecasts disclaimer: Please be advised that the forecasts and analysis of market data presented on BestExchangeRates.com are solely a review and compilation of forecasts from various market experts and economists. These forecasts are not meant to reflect the opinions or views of BestExchangeRates.com or its affiliates, nor should they be construed as a recommendation or advice to engage in any financial transactions. Read more