Analysis of recent dollar → sterling forecasts for 2025. We collate forecasts from respected FX analysts together with the latest US dollar to British pound performance and trends.
Forecasts for USD to GBP
The recent forecasts for the USD to GBP exchange rate indicate a continued weakening of the US dollar, largely driven by disappointing inflation data from the US and a push by President Trump for lower interest rates. Analysts note that the US dollar remains under pressure, trading at 0.7528, which is 2.1% lower than its three-month average of 0.7689. The pair has fluctuated within a range of 0.7439 to 0.7954, highlighting a period of relative stability influenced by ongoing economic and geopolitical factors.
The recent announcement of a 10% tariff on UK goods by President Trump, coupled with potential trade deals between the US and UK, has generated mixed reactions in the market. While some analysts see potential for increased volatility due to these trade agreements, others anticipate that the tariffs could weigh on the GBP as economic uncertainties linger. The impact of this trade dynamic is being closely monitored, with forecasters suggesting that any adverse effects on UK trade could lead to a decline in the value of the pound.
On the UK side, optimism surrounding trade agreements with the EU and a possible positive revision of GDP figures are providing some support for GBP. Economic forecasts indicate that these developments could help buoy the pound in the near term, especially as markets remain hopeful about a robust UK economic recovery post-Brexit. This positive sentiment is evident among experts who emphasize that the outlook for GBP depends significantly on domestic performance and the ongoing evolution of UK-EU relations.
Moving forward, the strength of the GBP and its relationship with the USD will likely hinge on key economic indicators, trade developments, and geopolitical tensions. Experts suggest that the markets will remain vigilant, especially regarding the US Federal Reserve's policies and the UK's economic resilience, as these factors will be crucial in shaping the future trajectory of the USD to GBP exchange rate. In light of recent economic data and political events, businesses and individuals engaging in international transactions should remain alert to potential shifts in currency value and adjust their strategies accordingly.
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Forecasts disclaimer: Please be advised that the forecasts and analysis of market data presented on BestExchangeRates.com are solely a review and compilation of forecasts from various market experts and economists. These forecasts are not meant to reflect the opinions or views of BestExchangeRates.com or its affiliates, nor should they be construed as a recommendation or advice to engage in any financial transactions. Read more