The USD/MYR market is currently bearish.
Key drivers include:
- The Federal Reserve is expected to make interest rate cuts in 2026, which could weaken the USD against the MYR.
- Malaysia's strong economic indicators, including robust GDP growth and improved fiscal balance, support the MYR’s value.
- Additional pressure on the USD may arise from global de-dollarization trends, which could favor the use of the MYR in international transactions.
Over the next 1–3 months, the USD/MYR is likely to remain within a stable range, reflecting current levels.
An upside risk is if U.S. economic data unexpectedly shows resilience, leading to postponement of rate cuts. A downside risk could stem from a sudden spike in oil prices, negatively affecting the MYR due to its correlation with Malaysia's economy.