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USD to SEK Forecasts – US dollar to Swedish krona

Latest USD to SEK forecasts including bank predictions, key market drivers and recent trends for USD/SEK. See where analysts expect the pair to move and the factors likely to influence it.

 

USD to SEK Forecast & Outlook

13 Jul 2026 • 00:25 GMT

USD/SEK 9.6818

📊 Forecast snapshot

  • Near-term bias: 🔴 Mild downside
  • Expected range: 9.5760 – 9.7470
  • Dominant driver: ⚖️ Interest-rate differentials
  • 3-month trend: 🟢 Uptrend

Currently, USD/SEK is trading near 9.68, well above its 90-day average of 9.42, supported by USD strength driven by expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike. The pair is consolidating within its recent range at elevated levels. Near-term conditions suggest the pair may face downward pressure if risk sentiment improves, although the current stance remains broadly supported by the rate differential and safe-haven demand.

💸 Transfer implications

  • Expats: sending money home to Sweden may find conditions slightly less favourable than recent levels if the pair trends lower.
  • Travellers: exchanging currency might see their USD buy fewer SEK if the pair weakens.
  • Businesses: paying Swedish invoices in SEK with USD could face less favourable conversion rates if the pair declines.

🧭 Key drivers

  • Rate gap: USD is supported by higher US rates; Swedish rates remain steady, maintaining the current rate gap.
  • Risk/commodities: Risk-off conditions are supporting safe-haven currencies; energy shocks and geopolitical tensions increase USD appeal.
  • Global factors: Elevated geopolitical tensions and energy shocks influence risk appetite, bolstering USD as a safe haven.

⚠️ What could change it

  • Upside risk: A sudden reduction in risk aversion could support USD/SEK higher if safe-haven flows diminish.
  • Downside risk: A shift towards more optimistic risk sentiment or a faster rate hike pause by the Fed could weaken USD momentum.

Shopping around for the lowest margin provider may help reduce overall transfer costs, and comparing FX providers may help offset less favourable exchange conditions.

 

USDSEK Bank Forecasts to end of the year

ING THINK anticipates that the USDSEK will decline to 8.44 by the end of the year. This forecast reflects expectations of a significant appreciation of the Swedish krona, partly due to its current undervaluation against the US dollar and the euro. The outlook suggests a slower but more predictable appreciation for the SEK as it realigns with its perceived value.

Big bank views

  • ING THINK forecasts USDSEK at 8.44 by year-end, indicating a strengthening SEK.
  • Current USD strength is driven by expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike.
  • ING sees SEK benefiting from strong domestic economic conditions and broad market trends favoring high-beta currencies.

What could change the outlook

  • A shift in Federal Reserve monetary policy could alter USD strength significantly.
  • Changes in the global risk environment affecting high-beta currencies like the SEK could impact these projections.
 

USD-SEK Rate Calculator

 
 
   
   
   
   
   
 
 

USD to SEK Market Data

US dollar (USD) to Swedish krona (SEK) market data - latest interbank exchange rate, trend, chart & historic rates.

 
Sell USD   →   Buy SEK
1 USD =
9.6477We compare provider deals to this wholesale mid-market rate. Read more
SEK
1d−0.3%▼
USD to SEK at 9.6818 is 2.8% above its 3-month average of 9.4151, having traded in a relatively stable 6.8% range from 9.1275 to 9.7469
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  1 SEK = 0.1037 USD

Compare & Save - US dollar to Swedish krona

Exchange rates can vary significantly between different currency exchange providers, so it's important to compare US dollar (USD) to Swedish krona (SEK) rates from different sources before making a conversion.

Use our USD to SEK calculator to see how much you could save on your international money transfers. makes it easy to compare the Total Cost you are being charged on Dollar to Krona currency rates and the possible savings of using various providers.

 
 

Will the US dollar rise against the Swedish krona?

This is always a difficult question as exchange rates are influenced by many factors, so a good method to consider the US dollar vs Swedish krona current value is to look the USD/SEK historic rate and change over a range of periods.

The following table looks at the change in the USD to SEK exchange rate over periods from the previous week back to the last 10 years.

DateUSD/SEKChangePeriod
29 Jun 2026
9.7128
0.1% ▼2 Week
14 Apr 2026
9.1763
5.7% ▲3 Month
13 Jul 2025
9.5715
1.3% ▲1 Year
14 Jul 2021
8.6212
12.5% ▲5 Year
15 Jul 2016
8.5657
13.2% ▲10 Year
18 Jul 2006
7.3982
31.1% ▲20 Year
USD/SEK historic rates & change to 13-Jul-2026

It is almost impossible to predict what an exchange rate will do in the future, the best approach is to monitor the currency markets and transact when an exchange rate moves in your favour.

To help with this you can add USD/SEK to your personalised Rate Tracker to track and benefit from currency movements.

 
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Rather than requiring you to set a target rate, our Rate Alerts keep you informed of recent trends and movements of currency pairs.

Add rates to your Rate Tracker and select to receive an daily email (mon-fri) or when a rate is trending

 

Forecasts disclaimer: Please be advised that the forecasts and analysis of market data presented on BestExchangeRates.com are solely a review and compilation of forecasts from various market experts and economists. These forecasts are not meant to reflect the opinions or views of BestExchangeRates.com or its affiliates, nor should they be construed as a recommendation or advice to engage in any financial transactions. Read more