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    Currency outlook USD/SEK

    USD to SEK Forecast & Outlook

    Latest USD to SEK forecasts including bank predictions, key market drivers and recent trends for USD/SEK. See where analysts expect the pair to move and the factors likely to influence it.

    USD to SEK Forecast & Outlook

    29 Jul 2026 • 00:25 GMT

    USD/SEK 9.6912

    Forecast snapshot

    Quick USD/SEK forecast

    Near-term bias🟢 Mild upside
    Expected range9.2110 – 9.6910
    Dominant driver🌍 Global risk sentiment
    3-month trend🟢 Uptrend

    Currently, USD/SEK is trading close to its recent 7-day lows near 9.6912, holding near the 90-day average. The pair is supported by risk-off sentiment, driven by geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and US inflation concerns. Over the next few sessions, the pair may remain supported by safe-haven flows, keeping it within its recent range. Near-term conditions suggest USD/SEK could face upward pressure if risk sentiment persists.

    💸 Transfer implications

    • Expats: sending money to Sweden may find the current exchange rate relatively favourable compared to recent lows.
    • Travellers: buying SEK cash might see limited improvement unless the pair moves higher.
    • Businesses: paying SEK invoices with USD could benefit from a stable or slightly strengthening USD.

    🧭 Key drivers

    • Rate gap: The Federal Reserve's dovish tone and current US interest rate environment support the USD’s relative weakness.
    • Risk/commodities: Safe-haven flows driven by geopolitical tensions in the Middle East increase demand for USD and SEK.
    • Global factors: US inflation data and global risk sentiment influence safe-haven flows and currency strength.

    ⚠️ What could change it

    • Upside risk: A sudden escalation in geopolitical tensions could amplify safe-haven flows, strengthening USD/SEK.
    • Downside risk: Signs of US Fed tightening or improved risk appetite may weaken USD and reduce the pair's support.

    BER suggests monitoring the pair’s support levels and comparing FX providers to help offset less favourable exchange conditions.

    USDSEK Bank Forecasts to end of the year

    ING THINK anticipates that the USDSEK will decline to 8.44 by the end of the year. This forecast reflects expectations of a significant appreciation of the Swedish krona, partly due to its current undervaluation against the US dollar and the euro. The outlook suggests a slower but more predictable appreciation for the SEK as it realigns with its perceived value.

    Big bank views

    • ING THINK forecasts USDSEK at 8.44 by year-end, indicating a strengthening SEK.
    • Current USD strength is driven by expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike.
    • ING sees SEK benefiting from strong domestic economic conditions and broad market trends favoring high-beta currencies.

    What could change the outlook

    • A shift in Federal Reserve monetary policy could alter USD strength significantly.
    • Changes in the global risk environment affecting high-beta currencies like the SEK could impact these projections.

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    Rate direction

    USD to SEK market data

    US dollar (USD) to Swedish krona (SEK) market data - latest interbank exchange rate, trend, chart & historic rates.

    Sell USD   →   Buy SEK
    1 USD =
    9.6680We compare provider deals to this wholesale mid-market rate. Read more
    SEK
    1D−0.4%▼
    USD to SEK is at 7-day lows near 9.6912, 2.1% above its 3-month average of 9.4984, having traded in a quite stable 5.9% range from 9.2105 to 9.7551
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      1 SEK = 0.1034 USD
     

    Will the US dollar rise against the Swedish krona?

    This is always a difficult question as exchange rates are influenced by many factors, so a good method to consider the US dollar vs Swedish krona current value is to look the USD/SEK historic rate and change over a range of periods.

    The following table looks at the change in the USD to SEK exchange rate over periods from the previous week back to the last 10 years.

    DateUSD/SEKChangePeriod
    15 Jul 2026
    9.5938
    		0.9% ▲2 Week
    30 Apr 2026
    9.2376
    		4.8% ▲3 Month
    29 Jul 2025
    9.6485
    		0.4% ▲1 Year
    30 Jul 2021
    8.5949
    		12.7% ▲5 Year
    31 Jul 2016
    8.5615
    		13.1% ▲10 Year
    03 Aug 2006
    7.2017
    		34.5% ▲20 Year
    USD/SEK historic rates & change to 29-Jul-2026

    It is almost impossible to predict what an exchange rate will do in the future, the best approach is to monitor the currency markets and transact when an exchange rate moves in your favour.

    To help with this you can add USD/SEK to your personalised Rate Tracker to track and benefit from currency movements.

     
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