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USD to SEK Forecasts – US dollar to Swedish krona

Latest USD to SEK forecasts including bank predictions, key market drivers and recent trends for USD/SEK. See where analysts expect the pair to move and the factors likely to influence it.

 

USD to SEK Forecast & Outlook

01 Jul 2026 • 00:24 GMT

USD/SEK 9.7103

📊 Forecast snapshot

  • Near-term bias: 🔴 Mild downside
  • Expected range: 9.2380 – 9.7100
  • Dominant driver: 🏦 Central bank policy divergence
  • 3-month trend: 🟢 Uptrend

Currently, USD/SEK is trading close to the 90-day average, holding near 9.71, which is above the 3-month range's midpoint. The pair is supported by Swedish macro resilience, but downside pressure from risk-off sentiment remains evident. Near-term conditions suggest the pair could face modest declines if risk aversion persists.

💸 Transfer implications

  • Expats: sending money to Sweden may find current exchange rates slightly less favourable than recent levels.
  • Travellers: buying SEK cash could experience a weaker USD for their purchases.
  • Businesses: paying SEK invoices might see less advantageous conversion rates if the pair slips further.

🧭 Key drivers

  • Rate gap: US yields remain below Swedish yields, supporting SEK weakness.
  • Risk/commodities: Elevated risk-off sentiment continues to support safe-haven currencies like USD and SEK.
  • Global factors: Ongoing risk-off flows, driven by global macro concerns, are pressuring risk-sensitive FX.

⚠️ What could change it

  • Upside risk: Persistent risk-off conditions could deepen USD strength, pressuring SEK further.
  • Downside risk: A sudden easing in risk aversion or a shift toward global growth optimism could support the dollar and weaken SEK.

Finding providers with lower margins may help offset less favourable exchange conditions.

 

USDSEK Bank Forecasts to end of the year

The outlook for USDSEK to the end of the year is characterized by anticipated Swedish krona appreciation against the US dollar, based on forecasts from major financial institutions. ING predicts a USDSEK rate of 8.44 by year-end, riding on Sweden's robust growth outlook and stable monetary policy, alongside a bearish US dollar forecast. Bank of America similarly maintains a year-end target of 8.61 for USDSEK, underpinned by expectations of ongoing USD weakness and supportive economic conditions in Sweden. Overall, there is a consensus among these institutions for a stronger SEK by the year's end.

Big bank views

  • ING forecasts USDSEK at 8.44, expecting SEK appreciation due to strong Swedish growth and a bearish USD outlook.
  • Bank of America projects USDSEK at 8.61, citing USD weakness and Swedish economic resilience.
  • Both forecasts suggest a trend toward a stronger SEK by the end of 2026.

What could change the outlook

  • A shift in Federal Reserve policy towards more aggressive rate hikes could strengthen the USD and alter the expected SEK appreciation.
  • Unexpected negative developments in Sweden’s economic indicators or a strategic pivot in Riksbank policy could limit SEK gains.
 

USD-SEK Rate Calculator

 
 
   
   
   
   
   
 
 

USD to SEK Market Data

US dollar (USD) to Swedish krona (SEK) market data - latest interbank exchange rate, trend, chart & historic rates.

 
Sell USD   →   Buy SEK
1 USD =
9.7177We compare provider deals to this wholesale mid-market rate. Read more
SEK
1d0.0%⬦
USD to SEK at 9.7103 is 3.5% above its 3-month average of 9.3783, having traded in a relatively stable 6.8% range from 9.1275 to 9.7469
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  1 SEK = 0.1029 USD

Compare & Save - US dollar to Swedish krona

Exchange rates can vary significantly between different currency exchange providers, so it's important to compare US dollar (USD) to Swedish krona (SEK) rates from different sources before making a conversion.

Use our USD to SEK calculator to see how much you could save on your international money transfers. makes it easy to compare the Total Cost you are being charged on Dollar to Krona currency rates and the possible savings of using various providers.

 
 

Will the US dollar rise against the Swedish krona?

This is always a difficult question as exchange rates are influenced by many factors, so a good method to consider the US dollar vs Swedish krona current value is to look the USD/SEK historic rate and change over a range of periods.

The following table looks at the change in the USD to SEK exchange rate over periods from the previous week back to the last 10 years.

DateUSD/SEKChangePeriod
16 Jun 2026
9.3663
3.9% ▲2 Week
01 Apr 2026
9.4159
3.4% ▲3 Month
30 Jun 2025
9.4527
2.9% ▲1 Year
01 Jul 2021
8.5823
13.4% ▲5 Year
02 Jul 2016
8.4386
15.3% ▲10 Year
05 Jul 2006
7.1934
35.3% ▲20 Year
USD/SEK historic rates & change to 30-Jun-2026

It is almost impossible to predict what an exchange rate will do in the future, the best approach is to monitor the currency markets and transact when an exchange rate moves in your favour.

To help with this you can add USD/SEK to your personalised Rate Tracker to track and benefit from currency movements.

 
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Rather than requiring you to set a target rate, our Rate Alerts keep you informed of recent trends and movements of currency pairs.

Add rates to your Rate Tracker and select to receive an daily email (mon-fri) or when a rate is trending

 

Forecasts disclaimer: Please be advised that the forecasts and analysis of market data presented on BestExchangeRates.com are solely a review and compilation of forecasts from various market experts and economists. These forecasts are not meant to reflect the opinions or views of BestExchangeRates.com or its affiliates, nor should they be construed as a recommendation or advice to engage in any financial transactions. Read more