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USD to SEK Forecasts – US dollar to Swedish krona

Latest USD to SEK forecasts including bank predictions, key market drivers and recent trends for USD/SEK. See where analysts expect the pair to move and the factors likely to influence it.

 

USD to SEK Forecast & Outlook

20 Jul 2026 • 00:25 GMT

USD/SEK 9.6703

📊 Forecast snapshot

  • Near-term bias: 🔴 Mild downside
  • Expected range: 9.5760 – 9.7470
  • Dominant driver: ⚖️ Interest-rate differentials
  • 3-month trend: 🟢 Uptrend

Currently, USD/SEK is trading close to recent highs and holding near the 90-day average, supported by the rate differential with the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance. Over the next few sessions, conditions suggest a gradual easing bias, as risk-off sentiment and safe-haven flows remain prevalent. Near-term, the pair may face pressure if risk appetite improves or the Fed signals a pause.

💸 Transfer implications

  • Expats: sending money to Sweden may find current levels slightly less favourable if the pair weakens further.
  • Travellers: exchanging currency could see rates support their transactions, but potential weakening offers limited upside.
  • Businesses: paying Swedish invoices in SEK may face less favourable FX conditions if the pair depreciates.

🧭 Key drivers

  • Rate gap: The US rate advantage remains a key factor, with USD supported by Federal Reserve policy.
  • Risk/commodities: Risk-off sentiment persists amid geopolitical tensions, supporting safe havens.
  • Global factors: Broad risk aversion continues to influence FX flows, favoring the USD.

⚠️ What could change it

  • Upside risk: Improved risk appetite or softer Fed stance could boost USD/SEK.
  • Downside risk: A faster global economic recovery or a shift toward risk-on could weaken the pair.

Shopping around for the lowest margins may help reduce overall transfer costs.

 

USDSEK Bank Forecasts to end of the year

ING THINK anticipates that the USDSEK will decline to 8.44 by the end of the year. This forecast reflects expectations of a significant appreciation of the Swedish krona, partly due to its current undervaluation against the US dollar and the euro. The outlook suggests a slower but more predictable appreciation for the SEK as it realigns with its perceived value.

Big bank views

  • ING THINK forecasts USDSEK at 8.44 by year-end, indicating a strengthening SEK.
  • Current USD strength is driven by expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike.
  • ING sees SEK benefiting from strong domestic economic conditions and broad market trends favoring high-beta currencies.

What could change the outlook

  • A shift in Federal Reserve monetary policy could alter USD strength significantly.
  • Changes in the global risk environment affecting high-beta currencies like the SEK could impact these projections.
 

USD-SEK Rate Calculator

 
 
   
   
   
   
   
 
 

USD to SEK Market Data

US dollar (USD) to Swedish krona (SEK) market data - latest interbank exchange rate, trend, chart & historic rates.

 
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1 USD =
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SEK
1d+0.2%▲
USD to SEK at 9.6703 is 2.3% above its 3-month average of 9.4505, having traded in a relatively stable 6.8% range from 9.1275 to 9.7469
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  1 SEK = 0.1034 USD

Compare & Save - US dollar to Swedish krona

Exchange rates can vary significantly between different currency exchange providers, so it's important to compare US dollar (USD) to Swedish krona (SEK) rates from different sources before making a conversion.

Use our USD to SEK calculator to see how much you could save on your international money transfers. makes it easy to compare the Total Cost you are being charged on Dollar to Krona currency rates and the possible savings of using various providers.

 
 

Will the US dollar rise against the Swedish krona?

This is always a difficult question as exchange rates are influenced by many factors, so a good method to consider the US dollar vs Swedish krona current value is to look the USD/SEK historic rate and change over a range of periods.

The following table looks at the change in the USD to SEK exchange rate over periods from the previous week back to the last 10 years.

DateUSD/SEKChangePeriod
06 Jul 2026
9.6278
0.2% ▲2 Week
21 Apr 2026
9.1850
5% ▲3 Month
20 Jul 2025
9.6585
0.1% ▼1 Year
21 Jul 2021
8.6895
11% ▲5 Year
22 Jul 2016
8.6268
11.8% ▲10 Year
25 Jul 2006
7.3441
31.4% ▲20 Year
USD/SEK historic rates & change to 20-Jul-2026

It is almost impossible to predict what an exchange rate will do in the future, the best approach is to monitor the currency markets and transact when an exchange rate moves in your favour.

To help with this you can add USD/SEK to your personalised Rate Tracker to track and benefit from currency movements.

 
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Rather than requiring you to set a target rate, our Rate Alerts keep you informed of recent trends and movements of currency pairs.

Add rates to your Rate Tracker and select to receive an daily email (mon-fri) or when a rate is trending

 

Forecasts disclaimer: Please be advised that the forecasts and analysis of market data presented on BestExchangeRates.com are solely a review and compilation of forecasts from various market experts and economists. These forecasts are not meant to reflect the opinions or views of BestExchangeRates.com or its affiliates, nor should they be construed as a recommendation or advice to engage in any financial transactions. Read more