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USD to SEK Forecasts – US dollar to Swedish krona

Latest USD to SEK forecasts including bank predictions, key market drivers and recent trends for USD/SEK. See where analysts expect the pair to move and the factors likely to influence it.

 

USD to SEK Forecast & Outlook

29 Jun 2026 • 00:24 GMT

USD/SEK 9.7362

📊 Forecast snapshot

  • Near-term bias: 🔴 Mild downside
  • Expected range: 9.5760 – 9.7470
  • Dominant driver: ⚖️ Interest-rate differentials
  • 3-month trend: 🟢 Uptrend

Currently, USD/SEK is trading close to the recent highs, holding near 9.7362, which is 3.9% above its 3-month average. The pair is supported by the rate differential, with US yields remaining higher and the Fed likely to hike rates in September. Over the next few sessions, the pair may face downward pressure as Swedish economic data and unchanged policy at the Riksbank weigh on the SEK, suggesting near-term conditions could remain supportive of a weaker USD.

💸 Transfer implications

  • Expats: sending money to Sweden may find conversions less favourable than recent levels.
  • Travellers: exchanging cash or loading cards could encounter slightly higher costs.
  • Businesses: paying Swedish invoices might see less advantageous rates for dollar-based payments.

🧭 Key drivers

  • Rate gap: US yields remain elevated, supporting a stronger USD relative to SEK.
  • Risk/commodities: Risk-off sentiment favors safe-haven currencies like the USD, pressuring SEK.
  • Global factors: The US economy’s resilience and potential Fed rate hikes are key influences.

⚠️ What could change it

  • Upside risk: A stronger-than-expected US economic data release could push USD higher.
  • Downside risk: Swedish economic setbacks or a dovish shift from Riksbank could weaken USD support.

BER suggests comparing FX providers may help offset less favourable exchange conditions as the pair consolidates.

 

USDSEK Bank Forecasts to end of the year

The outlook for USDSEK to the end of the year is characterized by anticipated Swedish krona appreciation against the US dollar, based on forecasts from major financial institutions. ING predicts a USDSEK rate of 8.44 by year-end, riding on Sweden's robust growth outlook and stable monetary policy, alongside a bearish US dollar forecast. Bank of America similarly maintains a year-end target of 8.61 for USDSEK, underpinned by expectations of ongoing USD weakness and supportive economic conditions in Sweden. Overall, there is a consensus among these institutions for a stronger SEK by the year's end.

Big bank views

  • ING forecasts USDSEK at 8.44, expecting SEK appreciation due to strong Swedish growth and a bearish USD outlook.
  • Bank of America projects USDSEK at 8.61, citing USD weakness and Swedish economic resilience.
  • Both forecasts suggest a trend toward a stronger SEK by the end of 2026.

What could change the outlook

  • A shift in Federal Reserve policy towards more aggressive rate hikes could strengthen the USD and alter the expected SEK appreciation.
  • Unexpected negative developments in Sweden’s economic indicators or a strategic pivot in Riksbank policy could limit SEK gains.
 

USD-SEK Rate Calculator

 
 
   
   
   
   
   
 
 

USD to SEK Market Data

US dollar (USD) to Swedish krona (SEK) market data - latest interbank exchange rate, trend, chart & historic rates.

 
Sell USD   →   Buy SEK
1 USD =
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SEK
1d0.0%⬦
USD to SEK at 9.7362 is 3.9% above its 3-month average of 9.3747, having traded in a relatively stable 6.8% range from 9.1275 to 9.7469
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  1 SEK = 0.1030 USD

Compare & Save - US dollar to Swedish krona

Exchange rates can vary significantly between different currency exchange providers, so it's important to compare US dollar (USD) to Swedish krona (SEK) rates from different sources before making a conversion.

Use our USD to SEK calculator to see how much you could save on your international money transfers. makes it easy to compare the Total Cost you are being charged on Dollar to Krona currency rates and the possible savings of using various providers.

 
 

Will the US dollar rise against the Swedish krona?

This is always a difficult question as exchange rates are influenced by many factors, so a good method to consider the US dollar vs Swedish krona current value is to look the USD/SEK historic rate and change over a range of periods.

The following table looks at the change in the USD to SEK exchange rate over periods from the previous week back to the last 10 years.

DateUSD/SEKChangePeriod
15 Jun 2026
9.4010
3.5% ▲2 Week
31 Mar 2026
9.4534
3% ▲3 Month
29 Jun 2025
9.4735
2.7% ▲1 Year
30 Jun 2021
8.5503
13.8% ▲5 Year
01 Jul 2016
8.4435
15.3% ▲10 Year
04 Jul 2006
7.1797
35.6% ▲20 Year
USD/SEK historic rates & change to 29-Jun-2026

It is almost impossible to predict what an exchange rate will do in the future, the best approach is to monitor the currency markets and transact when an exchange rate moves in your favour.

To help with this you can add USD/SEK to your personalised Rate Tracker to track and benefit from currency movements.

 
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Rather than requiring you to set a target rate, our Rate Alerts keep you informed of recent trends and movements of currency pairs.

Add rates to your Rate Tracker and select to receive an daily email (mon-fri) or when a rate is trending

 

Forecasts disclaimer: Please be advised that the forecasts and analysis of market data presented on BestExchangeRates.com are solely a review and compilation of forecasts from various market experts and economists. These forecasts are not meant to reflect the opinions or views of BestExchangeRates.com or its affiliates, nor should they be construed as a recommendation or advice to engage in any financial transactions. Read more