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USD to SEK Forecasts – US dollar to Swedish krona

Latest USD to SEK forecasts including bank predictions, key market drivers and recent trends for USD/SEK. See where analysts expect the pair to move and the factors likely to influence it.

 

USD to SEK Forecast & Outlook

07 Jul 2026 • 00:25 GMT

USD/SEK 9.6250

📊 Forecast snapshot

  • Near-term bias: 🔴 Mild downside
  • Expected range: 9.5760 – 9.7470
  • Dominant driver: 🏦 Central bank policy divergence
  • 3-month trend: 🟢 Uptrend

Currently, USD/SEK is trading close to 7-day lows near 9.6250, supported by risk-off conditions and safe-haven flows. The pair remains near the high end of its recent 3-month range, with the rate above its 90-day average. Risk sentiment and central bank policy factors are keeping the pair consolidating within its recent range. Near-term conditions suggest USD/SEK may face pressure if risk aversion continues.

💸 Transfer implications

  • Expats: sending money to Sweden may find current rates relatively favourable but could see declines if the pair declines further.
  • Travellers: exchanging SEK for USD may encounter less favourable rates if the pair moves lower.
  • Businesses: paying Swedish invoices in SEK with USD might face less advantageous conversion if the pair weakens further.

🧭 Key drivers

  • Rate gap: The Federal Reserve's rate hike expectations support the USD, keeping it above the 90-day average against the SEK.
  • Risk/commodities: Risk-off sentiment continues to support safe-haven currencies like the USD and SEK.
  • Global factors: Market uncertainty around monetary policy and economic resilience influences the pair’s direction.

⚠️ What could change it

  • Upside risk: An unexpectedly aggressive Fed hike or renewed risk aversion could sustain USD strength.
  • Downside risk: A dovish shift in Fed policies or improving global risk appetite could weaken USD/SEK.

Shopping around for the lowest margin provider may help reduce overall transfer costs.

 

USDSEK Bank Forecasts to end of the year

ING THINK anticipates that the USDSEK will decline to 8.44 by the end of the year. This forecast reflects expectations of a significant appreciation of the Swedish krona, partly due to its current undervaluation against the US dollar and the euro. The outlook suggests a slower but more predictable appreciation for the SEK as it realigns with its perceived value.

Big bank views

  • ING THINK forecasts USDSEK at 8.44 by year-end, indicating a strengthening SEK.
  • Current USD strength is driven by expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike.
  • ING sees SEK benefiting from strong domestic economic conditions and broad market trends favoring high-beta currencies.

What could change the outlook

  • A shift in Federal Reserve monetary policy could alter USD strength significantly.
  • Changes in the global risk environment affecting high-beta currencies like the SEK could impact these projections.
 

USD-SEK Rate Calculator

 
 
   
   
   
   
   
 
 

USD to SEK Market Data

US dollar (USD) to Swedish krona (SEK) market data - latest interbank exchange rate, trend, chart & historic rates.

 
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1 USD =
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SEK
1d−0.2%▼
USD to SEK is at 7-day lows near 9.6250, 2.5% above its 3-month average of 9.3903, having traded in a relatively stable 6.8% range from 9.1275 to 9.7469
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  1 SEK = 0.1037 USD

Compare & Save - US dollar to Swedish krona

Exchange rates can vary significantly between different currency exchange providers, so it's important to compare US dollar (USD) to Swedish krona (SEK) rates from different sources before making a conversion.

Use our USD to SEK calculator to see how much you could save on your international money transfers. makes it easy to compare the Total Cost you are being charged on Dollar to Krona currency rates and the possible savings of using various providers.

 
 

Will the US dollar rise against the Swedish krona?

This is always a difficult question as exchange rates are influenced by many factors, so a good method to consider the US dollar vs Swedish krona current value is to look the USD/SEK historic rate and change over a range of periods.

The following table looks at the change in the USD to SEK exchange rate over periods from the previous week back to the last 10 years.

DateUSD/SEKChangePeriod
23 Jun 2026
9.7388
1.1% ▼2 Week
08 Apr 2026
9.3215
3.4% ▲3 Month
07 Jul 2025
9.5098
1.3% ▲1 Year
08 Jul 2021
8.5963
12.1% ▲5 Year
09 Jul 2016
8.5791
12.3% ▲10 Year
12 Jul 2006
7.2136
33.6% ▲20 Year
USD/SEK historic rates & change to 07-Jul-2026

It is almost impossible to predict what an exchange rate will do in the future, the best approach is to monitor the currency markets and transact when an exchange rate moves in your favour.

To help with this you can add USD/SEK to your personalised Rate Tracker to track and benefit from currency movements.

 
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Rather than requiring you to set a target rate, our Rate Alerts keep you informed of recent trends and movements of currency pairs.

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Forecasts disclaimer: Please be advised that the forecasts and analysis of market data presented on BestExchangeRates.com are solely a review and compilation of forecasts from various market experts and economists. These forecasts are not meant to reflect the opinions or views of BestExchangeRates.com or its affiliates, nor should they be construed as a recommendation or advice to engage in any financial transactions. Read more