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USD to SEK Forecasts – US dollar to Swedish krona

Latest USD to SEK forecasts including bank predictions, key market drivers and recent trends for USD/SEK. See where analysts expect the pair to move and the factors likely to influence it.

 

USD to SEK Forecast & Outlook

09 Jul 2026 • 00:25 GMT

USD/SEK 9.6911

📊 Forecast snapshot

  • Near-term bias: 🔴 Mild downside
  • Expected range: 9.5760 – 9.7470
  • Dominant driver: 🌍 Global risk sentiment
  • 3-month trend: 🟢 Uptrend

Currently, USD/SEK is trading near the top of its 3-month range at 9.6911. The pair is supported by risk-off conditions and a broad shift towards safe-haven currencies. Over the next few sessions, the pair may remain supported but could face pressure if risk sentiment swings back toward risk appetite, pushing the pair lower.

💸 Transfer implications

  • Expats: sending money to Sweden may find USD buys fewer SEK if the pair weakens from current levels.
  • Travellers: buying SEK cash could see less favourable exchange rates if the pair declines.
  • Businesses: paying SEK invoices with USD might encounter less advantage if the pair moves lower.

🧭 Key drivers

  • Rate gap: The USD remains supported by Federal Reserve rate expectations, but strong risk-off flows are capping gains.
  • Risk/commodities: Risk-off sentiment favors USD and SEK, pressuring risk-sensitive currencies.
  • Global factors: The shift toward high-beta and safe-haven flows emphasizes risk sentiment’s role in recent moves.

⚠️ What could change it

  • Upside risk: A reversal in risk-off conditions or lower Federal Reserve rate hike expectations could strengthen USD.
  • Downside risk: A sharp improvement in risk appetite or a rally in high-beta currencies might weaken USD/SEK further.

BER suggests comparing FX providers as finding those with lower margins can help offset less favourable exchange conditions.

 

USDSEK Bank Forecasts to end of the year

ING THINK anticipates that the USDSEK will decline to 8.44 by the end of the year. This forecast reflects expectations of a significant appreciation of the Swedish krona, partly due to its current undervaluation against the US dollar and the euro. The outlook suggests a slower but more predictable appreciation for the SEK as it realigns with its perceived value.

Big bank views

  • ING THINK forecasts USDSEK at 8.44 by year-end, indicating a strengthening SEK.
  • Current USD strength is driven by expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike.
  • ING sees SEK benefiting from strong domestic economic conditions and broad market trends favoring high-beta currencies.

What could change the outlook

  • A shift in Federal Reserve monetary policy could alter USD strength significantly.
  • Changes in the global risk environment affecting high-beta currencies like the SEK could impact these projections.
 

USD-SEK Rate Calculator

 
 
   
   
   
   
   
 
 

USD to SEK Market Data

US dollar (USD) to Swedish krona (SEK) market data - latest interbank exchange rate, trend, chart & historic rates.

 
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1 USD =
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SEK
1d−0.1%▼
USD to SEK at 9.6911 is 3.1% above its 3-month average of 9.3982, having traded in a relatively stable 6.8% range from 9.1275 to 9.7469
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  1 SEK = 0.1034 USD

Compare & Save - US dollar to Swedish krona

Exchange rates can vary significantly between different currency exchange providers, so it's important to compare US dollar (USD) to Swedish krona (SEK) rates from different sources before making a conversion.

Use our USD to SEK calculator to see how much you could save on your international money transfers. makes it easy to compare the Total Cost you are being charged on Dollar to Krona currency rates and the possible savings of using various providers.

 
 

Will the US dollar rise against the Swedish krona?

This is always a difficult question as exchange rates are influenced by many factors, so a good method to consider the US dollar vs Swedish krona current value is to look the USD/SEK historic rate and change over a range of periods.

The following table looks at the change in the USD to SEK exchange rate over periods from the previous week back to the last 10 years.

DateUSD/SEKChangePeriod
25 Jun 2026
9.7444
0.7% ▼2 Week
10 Apr 2026
9.2720
4.4% ▲3 Month
09 Jul 2025
9.4987
1.9% ▲1 Year
10 Jul 2021
8.6479
11.9% ▲5 Year
11 Jul 2016
8.5784
12.8% ▲10 Year
14 Jul 2006
7.2698
33.1% ▲20 Year
USD/SEK historic rates & change to 09-Jul-2026

It is almost impossible to predict what an exchange rate will do in the future, the best approach is to monitor the currency markets and transact when an exchange rate moves in your favour.

To help with this you can add USD/SEK to your personalised Rate Tracker to track and benefit from currency movements.

 
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Rather than requiring you to set a target rate, our Rate Alerts keep you informed of recent trends and movements of currency pairs.

Add rates to your Rate Tracker and select to receive an daily email (mon-fri) or when a rate is trending

 

Forecasts disclaimer: Please be advised that the forecasts and analysis of market data presented on BestExchangeRates.com are solely a review and compilation of forecasts from various market experts and economists. These forecasts are not meant to reflect the opinions or views of BestExchangeRates.com or its affiliates, nor should they be construed as a recommendation or advice to engage in any financial transactions. Read more