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USD to SEK Forecasts – US dollar to Swedish krona

Latest USD to SEK forecasts including bank predictions, key market drivers and recent trends for USD/SEK. See where analysts expect the pair to move and the factors likely to influence it.

 

USD to SEK Forecast & Outlook

17 Jul 2026 • 00:25 GMT

USD/SEK 9.6431

📊 Forecast snapshot

  • Near-term bias: 🔴 Mild downside
  • Expected range: 9.5760 – 9.7470
  • Dominant driver: ⚖️ Interest-rate differentials
  • 3-month trend: 🟢 Uptrend

Currently, USD/SEK is trading close to recent highs, supported by a near 90-day average above 9.43 and risk-off sentiment. The pair is consolidating within its recent range, with USD strength driven by rate differentials and global risk aversion. Near-term conditions suggest the pair may face pressure if risk appetite improves, potentially weakening the USD’s relative position.

💸 Transfer implications

  • Expats: sending USD into SEK may find conditions slightly less favourable than with recent levels.
  • Travellers: exchanging USD for SEK could see higher rates if the pair weakens.
  • Businesses: paying SEK invoices in USD might encounter less advantageous exchange rates if the pair declines.

🧭 Key drivers

  • Rate gap: US Fed monetary policy supports USD, keeping it above its 90-day average versus SEK.
  • Risk/commodities: The global risk-off environment continues to favour safe-haven currencies like USD.
  • Global factors: Risk sentiment remains weighted toward caution, limiting SEK gains despite steady Swedish economy.

⚠️ What could change it

  • Upside risk: An improvement in global risk conditions could boost SEK, weakening USD/SEK.
  • Downside risk: A sudden shift in Fed policy or risk aversion could keep USD supported or push it higher.

BER suggestions: comparing FX providers and shopping around for the lowest margins may help offset less favourable exchange conditions.

 

USDSEK Bank Forecasts to end of the year

ING THINK anticipates that the USDSEK will decline to 8.44 by the end of the year. This forecast reflects expectations of a significant appreciation of the Swedish krona, partly due to its current undervaluation against the US dollar and the euro. The outlook suggests a slower but more predictable appreciation for the SEK as it realigns with its perceived value.

Big bank views

  • ING THINK forecasts USDSEK at 8.44 by year-end, indicating a strengthening SEK.
  • Current USD strength is driven by expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike.
  • ING sees SEK benefiting from strong domestic economic conditions and broad market trends favoring high-beta currencies.

What could change the outlook

  • A shift in Federal Reserve monetary policy could alter USD strength significantly.
  • Changes in the global risk environment affecting high-beta currencies like the SEK could impact these projections.
 

USD-SEK Rate Calculator

 
 
   
   
   
   
   
 
 

USD to SEK Market Data

US dollar (USD) to Swedish krona (SEK) market data - latest interbank exchange rate, trend, chart & historic rates.

 
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1 USD =
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SEK
1d+0.6%▲
USD to SEK at 9.6431 is 2.2% above its 3-month average of 9.4347, having traded in a relatively stable 6.8% range from 9.1275 to 9.7469
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  1 SEK = 0.1035 USD

Compare & Save - US dollar to Swedish krona

Exchange rates can vary significantly between different currency exchange providers, so it's important to compare US dollar (USD) to Swedish krona (SEK) rates from different sources before making a conversion.

Use our USD to SEK calculator to see how much you could save on your international money transfers. makes it easy to compare the Total Cost you are being charged on Dollar to Krona currency rates and the possible savings of using various providers.

 
 

Will the US dollar rise against the Swedish krona?

This is always a difficult question as exchange rates are influenced by many factors, so a good method to consider the US dollar vs Swedish krona current value is to look the USD/SEK historic rate and change over a range of periods.

The following table looks at the change in the USD to SEK exchange rate over periods from the previous week back to the last 10 years.

DateUSD/SEKChangePeriod
03 Jul 2026
9.6581
0% ▲2 Week
18 Apr 2026
9.1644
5.4% ▲3 Month
17 Jul 2025
9.7273
0.7% ▼1 Year
18 Jul 2021
8.6800
11.3% ▲5 Year
19 Jul 2016
8.6046
12.3% ▲10 Year
22 Jul 2006
7.2867
32.6% ▲20 Year
USD/SEK historic rates & change to 17-Jul-2026

It is almost impossible to predict what an exchange rate will do in the future, the best approach is to monitor the currency markets and transact when an exchange rate moves in your favour.

To help with this you can add USD/SEK to your personalised Rate Tracker to track and benefit from currency movements.

 
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Rather than requiring you to set a target rate, our Rate Alerts keep you informed of recent trends and movements of currency pairs.

Add rates to your Rate Tracker and select to receive an daily email (mon-fri) or when a rate is trending

 

Forecasts disclaimer: Please be advised that the forecasts and analysis of market data presented on BestExchangeRates.com are solely a review and compilation of forecasts from various market experts and economists. These forecasts are not meant to reflect the opinions or views of BestExchangeRates.com or its affiliates, nor should they be construed as a recommendation or advice to engage in any financial transactions. Read more