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USD to SEK Forecasts – US dollar to Swedish krona

Latest USD to SEK forecasts including bank predictions, key market drivers and recent trends for USD/SEK. See where analysts expect the pair to move and the factors likely to influence it.

 

USD to SEK Forecast & Outlook

18 Jun 2026 • 00:24 GMT

USD/SEK 9.5139

📊 Forecast snapshot

  • Near-term bias: 🔴 Mild downside
  • Expected range: 9.3860 – 9.5530
  • Dominant driver: ⚖️ Interest-rate differentials
  • 3-month trend: 🟢 Uptrend

Currently, USD/SEK is trading close to recent highs, holding near the 90-day average and supported by the rate differential. The pair is consolidating within its recent range near 9.52, with risk-off conditions persisting due to global macro factors. Near-term conditions suggest the pair may face downward pressure if global risk sentiment stabilizes or improves, but the broad range hints at a cautious bias.

💸 Transfer implications

  • Expats: sending USD to SEK may be less favourable than recent levels if the pair decreases further.
  • Travellers: buying SEK with USD could face a weaker rate if the pair slides within its recent range.
  • Businesses: paying SEK invoices in USD may become less advantageous if the pair continues to decline.

🧭 Key drivers

  • Rate gap: US dollar remains supported by higher US yields, although the rate gap has narrowed somewhat.
  • Risk/commodities: risk-off sentiment continues to support safe havens like USD and SEK.
  • Global factors: global risk sentiment remains cautious, maintaining safe-haven flows.

⚠️ What could change it

  • Upside risk: a sudden shift to optimism or easing global risk aversion could lift USD/SEK.
  • Downside risk: a surprise improvement in risk sentiment or Swedish economic data might weaken the pair further.

Shopping around for the lowest margin provider may help reduce overall transfer costs.

 

USDSEK Bank Forecasts to end of the year

The outlook for USDSEK to the end of the year is characterized by anticipated Swedish krona appreciation against the US dollar, based on forecasts from major financial institutions. ING predicts a USDSEK rate of 8.44 by year-end, riding on Sweden's robust growth outlook and stable monetary policy, alongside a bearish US dollar forecast. Bank of America similarly maintains a year-end target of 8.61 for USDSEK, underpinned by expectations of ongoing USD weakness and supportive economic conditions in Sweden. Overall, there is a consensus among these institutions for a stronger SEK by the year's end.

Big bank views

  • ING forecasts USDSEK at 8.44, expecting SEK appreciation due to strong Swedish growth and a bearish USD outlook.
  • Bank of America projects USDSEK at 8.61, citing USD weakness and Swedish economic resilience.
  • Both forecasts suggest a trend toward a stronger SEK by the end of 2026.

What could change the outlook

  • A shift in Federal Reserve policy towards more aggressive rate hikes could strengthen the USD and alter the expected SEK appreciation.
  • Unexpected negative developments in Sweden’s economic indicators or a strategic pivot in Riksbank policy could limit SEK gains.
 

USD-SEK Rate Calculator

 
 
   
   
   
   
   
 
 

USD to SEK Market Data

US dollar (USD) to Swedish krona (SEK) market data - latest interbank exchange rate, trend, chart & historic rates.

 
Sell USD   →   Buy SEK
1 USD =
9.5653We compare provider deals to this wholesale mid-market rate. Read more
SEK
1d+1.6%▲
USD to SEK at 9.5139 is 1.9% above its 3-month average of 9.3351, having traded in a quite stable 4.7% range from 9.1275 to 9.5529
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  1 SEK = 0.1045 USD

Compare & Save - US dollar to Swedish krona

Exchange rates can vary significantly between different currency exchange providers, so it's important to compare US dollar (USD) to Swedish krona (SEK) rates from different sources before making a conversion.

Use our USD to SEK calculator to see how much you could save on your international money transfers. makes it easy to compare the Total Cost you are being charged on Dollar to Krona currency rates and the possible savings of using various providers.

 
 

Will the US dollar rise against the Swedish krona?

This is always a difficult question as exchange rates are influenced by many factors, so a good method to consider the US dollar vs Swedish krona current value is to look the USD/SEK historic rate and change over a range of periods.

The following table looks at the change in the USD to SEK exchange rate over periods from the previous week back to the last 10 years.

DateUSD/SEKChangePeriod
04 Jun 2026
9.3783
1.1% ▲2 Week
20 Mar 2026
9.3440
1.5% ▲3 Month
18 Jun 2025
9.6454
1.7% ▼1 Year
19 Jun 2021
8.6091
10.1% ▲5 Year
20 Jun 2016
8.2577
14.8% ▲10 Year
23 Jun 2006
7.3726
28.6% ▲20 Year
USD/SEK historic rates & change to 18-Jun-2026

It is almost impossible to predict what an exchange rate will do in the future, the best approach is to monitor the currency markets and transact when an exchange rate moves in your favour.

To help with this you can add USD/SEK to your personalised Rate Tracker to track and benefit from currency movements.

 
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Rather than requiring you to set a target rate, our Rate Alerts keep you informed of recent trends and movements of currency pairs.

Add rates to your Rate Tracker and select to receive an daily email (mon-fri) or when a rate is trending

 

Forecasts disclaimer: Please be advised that the forecasts and analysis of market data presented on BestExchangeRates.com are solely a review and compilation of forecasts from various market experts and economists. These forecasts are not meant to reflect the opinions or views of BestExchangeRates.com or its affiliates, nor should they be construed as a recommendation or advice to engage in any financial transactions. Read more