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USD to SEK Forecasts – US dollar to Swedish krona

Latest USD to SEK forecasts including bank predictions, key market drivers and recent trends for USD/SEK. See where analysts expect the pair to move and the factors likely to influence it.

 

USD to SEK Forecast & Outlook

16 Jun 2026 • 00:25 GMT

USD/SEK 9.4009

📊 Forecast snapshot

  • Near-term bias: 🔴 Mild downside
  • Expected range: 9.3860 – 9.5530
  • Dominant driver: ⚖️ Interest-rate differentials
  • 3-month trend: 🟢 Uptrend

Currently, USD/SEK is trading near recent highs, holding close to 9.40 but above its 3-month average of 9.33. The pair remains supported by a rate differential that favors the US dollar. However, the pair's recent stability and Swedish fundamentals suggest a potential for near-term correction. Conditions may remain sensitive to risk sentiment shifts and global monetary developments.

💸 Transfer implications

  • Expats: sending money to Sweden may find conversions slightly less favourable than recent levels if the pair declines.
  • Travellers: buying SEK could face pressure if USD/SEK moves lower in the near term.
  • Businesses: paying Swedish invoices in SEK with USD may see less favourable exchange conditions if the pair continues to weaken.

🧭 Key drivers

  • Rate gap: USD remains above its 90-day average, supported by higher US yields and a policy stance favoring the dollar.
  • Risk/commodities: Risk-off flows are supported by current risk sentiment, boosting safe havens like USD.
  • Global factors: Swedish fundamentals remain resilient amidst cautious risk appetite, adding some support to SEK.

⚠️ What could change it

  • Upside risk: An unexpected shift in US monetary policy or a quick reversal of risk-off conditions could strengthen the USD.
  • Downside risk: Weaker US dollar outlook or increased risk appetite might lead to SEK gains, reversing the recent trend.

BER suggests shopping around for the lowest margin provider to help reduce overall transfer costs and comparing FX providers to offset less favourable exchange conditions.

 

USDSEK Bank Forecasts to end of the year

The outlook for USDSEK to the end of the year is characterized by anticipated Swedish krona appreciation against the US dollar, based on forecasts from major financial institutions. ING predicts a USDSEK rate of 8.44 by year-end, riding on Sweden's robust growth outlook and stable monetary policy, alongside a bearish US dollar forecast. Bank of America similarly maintains a year-end target of 8.61 for USDSEK, underpinned by expectations of ongoing USD weakness and supportive economic conditions in Sweden. Overall, there is a consensus among these institutions for a stronger SEK by the year's end.

Big bank views

  • ING forecasts USDSEK at 8.44, expecting SEK appreciation due to strong Swedish growth and a bearish USD outlook.
  • Bank of America projects USDSEK at 8.61, citing USD weakness and Swedish economic resilience.
  • Both forecasts suggest a trend toward a stronger SEK by the end of 2026.

What could change the outlook

  • A shift in Federal Reserve policy towards more aggressive rate hikes could strengthen the USD and alter the expected SEK appreciation.
  • Unexpected negative developments in Sweden’s economic indicators or a strategic pivot in Riksbank policy could limit SEK gains.
 

USD-SEK Rate Calculator

 
 
   
   
   
   
   
 
 

USD to SEK Market Data

US dollar (USD) to Swedish krona (SEK) market data - latest interbank exchange rate, trend, chart & historic rates.

 
Sell USD   →   Buy SEK
1 USD =
9.4042We compare provider deals to this wholesale mid-market rate. Read more
SEK
1d−0.3%▼
USD to SEK is at 7-day lows near 9.4009, just 0.8% above its 3-month average of 9.3308, having traded in a quite stable 4.7% range from 9.1275 to 9.5529
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  1 SEK = 0.1063 USD

Compare & Save - US dollar to Swedish krona

Exchange rates can vary significantly between different currency exchange providers, so it's important to compare US dollar (USD) to Swedish krona (SEK) rates from different sources before making a conversion.

Use our USD to SEK calculator to see how much you could save on your international money transfers. makes it easy to compare the Total Cost you are being charged on Dollar to Krona currency rates and the possible savings of using various providers.

 
 

Will the US dollar rise against the Swedish krona?

This is always a difficult question as exchange rates are influenced by many factors, so a good method to consider the US dollar vs Swedish krona current value is to look the USD/SEK historic rate and change over a range of periods.

The following table looks at the change in the USD to SEK exchange rate over periods from the previous week back to the last 10 years.

DateUSD/SEKChangePeriod
02 Jun 2026
9.3323
0.9% ▲2 Week
18 Mar 2026
9.4044
0.1% ▲3 Month
16 Jun 2025
9.4922
0.8% ▼1 Year
17 Jun 2021
8.5507
10.1% ▲5 Year
18 Jun 2016
8.3309
13% ▲10 Year
21 Jun 2006
7.2753
29.4% ▲20 Year
USD/SEK historic rates & change to 16-Jun-2026

It is almost impossible to predict what an exchange rate will do in the future, the best approach is to monitor the currency markets and transact when an exchange rate moves in your favour.

To help with this you can add USD/SEK to your personalised Rate Tracker to track and benefit from currency movements.

 
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Rather than requiring you to set a target rate, our Rate Alerts keep you informed of recent trends and movements of currency pairs.

Add rates to your Rate Tracker and select to receive an daily email (mon-fri) or when a rate is trending

 

Forecasts disclaimer: Please be advised that the forecasts and analysis of market data presented on BestExchangeRates.com are solely a review and compilation of forecasts from various market experts and economists. These forecasts are not meant to reflect the opinions or views of BestExchangeRates.com or its affiliates, nor should they be construed as a recommendation or advice to engage in any financial transactions. Read more