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USD to SEK Forecasts – US dollar to Swedish krona

Latest USD to SEK forecasts including bank predictions, key market drivers and recent trends for USD/SEK. See where analysts expect the pair to move and the factors likely to influence it.

 

USD to SEK Forecast & Outlook

08 Jul 2026 • 00:25 GMT

USD/SEK 9.7027

📊 Forecast snapshot

  • Near-term bias: 🔴 Mild downside
  • Expected range: 9.5760 – 9.7470
  • Dominant driver: 🌍 Global risk sentiment
  • 3-month trend: 🟢 Uptrend

Currently, USD/SEK is trading close to 9.70, holding near recent highs and well above its 3-month average. The pair is under pressure from risk-off sentiment, which supports the Swedish krona but also limits USD gains. Near-term conditions suggest the pair may remain supported at these levels, but risks of further downside are increasing if risk aversion continues to dominate.

💸 Transfer implications

  • Expats: sending money to Sweden may find current levels slightly less favourable if the pair weakens further.
  • Travellers: exchanging foreign cash or loading currency cards might encounter more favourable rates if USD/SEK hits support.
  • Businesses: paying Swedish invoices with USD could see less benefit if the pair continues to trend downward.

🧭 Key drivers

  • Rate gap: The Federal Reserve's pause on rate hikes contrasts with the Swedish Riksbank’s cautious stance, narrowing yield advantage.
  • Risk/commodities: Rising risk-off appetite favors safe havens, supporting SEK and pressuring high-beta currencies.
  • Global factors: Increasing global risk aversion driven by geopolitical tensions weighs on USD and risk-sensitive FX.

⚠️ What could change it

  • Upside risk: A shift towards risk-on sentiment or a surprise delay in risk-off conditions may support USD.
  • Downside risk: Sharp escalation in global risk or a surprise Hawkish signal from the Fed could push USD/SEK lower.

BER suggests comparing FX providers, as finding lower margins can help offset less favourable exchange conditions.

 

USDSEK Bank Forecasts to end of the year

ING THINK anticipates that the USDSEK will decline to 8.44 by the end of the year. This forecast reflects expectations of a significant appreciation of the Swedish krona, partly due to its current undervaluation against the US dollar and the euro. The outlook suggests a slower but more predictable appreciation for the SEK as it realigns with its perceived value.

Big bank views

  • ING THINK forecasts USDSEK at 8.44 by year-end, indicating a strengthening SEK.
  • Current USD strength is driven by expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike.
  • ING sees SEK benefiting from strong domestic economic conditions and broad market trends favoring high-beta currencies.

What could change the outlook

  • A shift in Federal Reserve monetary policy could alter USD strength significantly.
  • Changes in the global risk environment affecting high-beta currencies like the SEK could impact these projections.
 

USD-SEK Rate Calculator

 
 
   
   
   
   
   
 
 

USD to SEK Market Data

US dollar (USD) to Swedish krona (SEK) market data - latest interbank exchange rate, trend, chart & historic rates.

 
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1 USD =
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SEK
1d+0.8%▲
USD to SEK at 9.7027 is 3.3% above its 3-month average of 9.3943, having traded in a relatively stable 6.8% range from 9.1275 to 9.7469
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  1 SEK = 0.1033 USD

Compare & Save - US dollar to Swedish krona

Exchange rates can vary significantly between different currency exchange providers, so it's important to compare US dollar (USD) to Swedish krona (SEK) rates from different sources before making a conversion.

Use our USD to SEK calculator to see how much you could save on your international money transfers. makes it easy to compare the Total Cost you are being charged on Dollar to Krona currency rates and the possible savings of using various providers.

 
 

Will the US dollar rise against the Swedish krona?

This is always a difficult question as exchange rates are influenced by many factors, so a good method to consider the US dollar vs Swedish krona current value is to look the USD/SEK historic rate and change over a range of periods.

The following table looks at the change in the USD to SEK exchange rate over periods from the previous week back to the last 10 years.

DateUSD/SEKChangePeriod
24 Jun 2026
9.7576
0.8% ▼2 Week
09 Apr 2026
9.2901
4.2% ▲3 Month
08 Jul 2025
9.5250
1.7% ▲1 Year
09 Jul 2021
8.5675
13% ▲5 Year
10 Jul 2016
8.5835
12.8% ▲10 Year
13 Jul 2006
7.2416
33.7% ▲20 Year
USD/SEK historic rates & change to 08-Jul-2026

It is almost impossible to predict what an exchange rate will do in the future, the best approach is to monitor the currency markets and transact when an exchange rate moves in your favour.

To help with this you can add USD/SEK to your personalised Rate Tracker to track and benefit from currency movements.

 
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Rather than requiring you to set a target rate, our Rate Alerts keep you informed of recent trends and movements of currency pairs.

Add rates to your Rate Tracker and select to receive an daily email (mon-fri) or when a rate is trending

 

Forecasts disclaimer: Please be advised that the forecasts and analysis of market data presented on BestExchangeRates.com are solely a review and compilation of forecasts from various market experts and economists. These forecasts are not meant to reflect the opinions or views of BestExchangeRates.com or its affiliates, nor should they be construed as a recommendation or advice to engage in any financial transactions. Read more