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USD to SEK Forecasts – US dollar to Swedish krona

Latest USD to SEK forecasts including bank predictions, key market drivers and recent trends for USD/SEK. See where analysts expect the pair to move and the factors likely to influence it.

 

USD to SEK Forecast & Outlook

16 Jul 2026 • 00:27 GMT

USD/SEK 9.5902

📊 Forecast snapshot

  • Near-term bias: 🟢 Mild upside
  • Expected range: 9.1280 – 9.5900
  • Dominant driver: 🌍 Global risk sentiment
  • 3-month trend: 🟢 Uptrend

Currently, USD/SEK is trading close to recent lows near 9.5902, holding near its 90-day average. The pair remains supported by risk-off conditions and the safe-haven appeal of the US dollar. Over the next few sessions, these conditions may keep the pair elevated, but near-term support could limit sharper moves.

💸 Transfer implications

  • Expats: sending money to Sweden may find conditions slightly more favourable than recent levels.
  • Travellers: buying SEK cash might see limited gains but could face pressure if USD weakens.
  • Businesses: paying SEK invoices with USD could benefit from a stronger dollar in the immediate term.

🧭 Key drivers

  • Rate gap: The US Federal Reserve's policy outlook continues to support USD relative to SEK.
  • Risk/commodities: Safe-haven demand for USD and related risk-off flows remain dominant.
  • Global factors: Geopolitical tensions maintain overall risk aversion, supporting USD.

⚠️ What could change it

  • Upside risk: A recovery in global risk appetite may weaken USD relative to SEK.
  • Downside risk: A sharp change in Fed policy expectations could diminish USD demand.

Shopping around for the lowest margin provider may help reduce overall transfer costs. Comparing FX providers could offset less favourable exchange conditions, especially if market conditions shift.

 

USDSEK Bank Forecasts to end of the year

ING THINK anticipates that the USDSEK will decline to 8.44 by the end of the year. This forecast reflects expectations of a significant appreciation of the Swedish krona, partly due to its current undervaluation against the US dollar and the euro. The outlook suggests a slower but more predictable appreciation for the SEK as it realigns with its perceived value.

Big bank views

  • ING THINK forecasts USDSEK at 8.44 by year-end, indicating a strengthening SEK.
  • Current USD strength is driven by expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike.
  • ING sees SEK benefiting from strong domestic economic conditions and broad market trends favoring high-beta currencies.

What could change the outlook

  • A shift in Federal Reserve monetary policy could alter USD strength significantly.
  • Changes in the global risk environment affecting high-beta currencies like the SEK could impact these projections.
 

USD-SEK Rate Calculator

 
 
   
   
   
   
   
 
 

USD to SEK Market Data

US dollar (USD) to Swedish krona (SEK) market data - latest interbank exchange rate, trend, chart & historic rates.

 
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1 USD =
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SEK
1d−0.7%▼
USD to SEK is at 14-day lows near 9.5902, 1.7% above its 3-month average of 9.4287, having traded in a relatively stable 6.8% range from 9.1275 to 9.7469
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  1 SEK = 0.1040 USD

Compare & Save - US dollar to Swedish krona

Exchange rates can vary significantly between different currency exchange providers, so it's important to compare US dollar (USD) to Swedish krona (SEK) rates from different sources before making a conversion.

Use our USD to SEK calculator to see how much you could save on your international money transfers. makes it easy to compare the Total Cost you are being charged on Dollar to Krona currency rates and the possible savings of using various providers.

 
 

Will the US dollar rise against the Swedish krona?

This is always a difficult question as exchange rates are influenced by many factors, so a good method to consider the US dollar vs Swedish krona current value is to look the USD/SEK historic rate and change over a range of periods.

The following table looks at the change in the USD to SEK exchange rate over periods from the previous week back to the last 10 years.

DateUSD/SEKChangePeriod
02 Jul 2026
9.6892
1% ▼2 Week
17 Apr 2026
9.1644
4.7% ▲3 Month
16 Jul 2025
9.7197
1.3% ▼1 Year
17 Jul 2021
8.6802
10.6% ▲5 Year
18 Jul 2016
8.5610
12.1% ▲10 Year
21 Jul 2006
7.2884
31.7% ▲20 Year
USD/SEK historic rates & change to 16-Jul-2026

It is almost impossible to predict what an exchange rate will do in the future, the best approach is to monitor the currency markets and transact when an exchange rate moves in your favour.

To help with this you can add USD/SEK to your personalised Rate Tracker to track and benefit from currency movements.

 
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Rather than requiring you to set a target rate, our Rate Alerts keep you informed of recent trends and movements of currency pairs.

Add rates to your Rate Tracker and select to receive an daily email (mon-fri) or when a rate is trending

 

Forecasts disclaimer: Please be advised that the forecasts and analysis of market data presented on BestExchangeRates.com are solely a review and compilation of forecasts from various market experts and economists. These forecasts are not meant to reflect the opinions or views of BestExchangeRates.com or its affiliates, nor should they be construed as a recommendation or advice to engage in any financial transactions. Read more