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USD to SEK Forecasts – US dollar to Swedish krona

Latest USD to SEK forecasts including bank predictions, key market drivers and recent trends for USD/SEK. See where analysts expect the pair to move and the factors likely to influence it.

 

USD to SEK Forecast & Outlook

04 Jul 2026 • 00:25 GMT

USD/SEK 9.6581

📊 Forecast snapshot

  • Near-term bias: 🔴 Mild downside
  • Expected range: 9.5760 – 9.7470
  • Dominant driver: 🌍 Global risk sentiment
  • 3-month trend: 🟢 Uptrend

Currently, USD/SEK is holding near its recent range as the current drivers are not aligned clearly enough for a stronger directional call. Over the next few sessions, this balance may persist unless a clearer macro catalyst emerges.

💸 Transfer implications

  • Expats: sending money to Sweden may face less favourable conditions compared to recent levels if USD weakens further.
  • Travellers: exchanging USD for SEK might find rates more advantageous than recent highs.
  • Businesses: paying SEK invoices with USD could see their costs fluctuate as the pair consolidates within its recent range.

🧭 Key drivers

  • Rate gap: The Fed’s rate hike expectations are supporting USD, but the pair is near 90-day averages suggesting limited immediate upside.
  • Risk/commodities: Elevated risk-off flows are bolstering USD/SEK downside, with market caution weighing on risk-sensitive currencies.
  • Global factors: Broad market risk sentiment remains focused on global economic uncertainty and safe-haven flows.

⚠️ What could change it

  • Upside risk: A sudden improvement in market risk appetite could weaken USD, supporting the pair.
  • Downside risk: Faster than expected global risk aversion or fresh geopolitical tensions could deepen USD weakness.

BER suggests assessing different FX providers, as shopping around for lower margins can help offset less favourable exchange rates and reduce total transfer costs.

 

USDSEK Bank Forecasts to end of the year

ING THINK anticipates that the USDSEK will decline to 8.44 by the end of the year. This forecast reflects expectations of a significant appreciation of the Swedish krona, partly due to its current undervaluation against the US dollar and the euro. The outlook suggests a slower but more predictable appreciation for the SEK as it realigns with its perceived value.

Big bank views

  • ING THINK forecasts USDSEK at 8.44 by year-end, indicating a strengthening SEK.
  • Current USD strength is driven by expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike.
  • ING sees SEK benefiting from strong domestic economic conditions and broad market trends favoring high-beta currencies.

What could change the outlook

  • A shift in Federal Reserve monetary policy could alter USD strength significantly.
  • Changes in the global risk environment affecting high-beta currencies like the SEK could impact these projections.
 

USD-SEK Rate Calculator

 
 
   
   
   
   
   
 
 

USD to SEK Market Data

US dollar (USD) to Swedish krona (SEK) market data - latest interbank exchange rate, trend, chart & historic rates.

 
Sell USD   →   Buy SEK
1 USD =
9.6581We compare provider deals to this wholesale mid-market rate. Read more
SEK
1d−0.2%▼
USD to SEK is at 7-day lows near 9.6581, 2.9% above its 3-month average of 9.3852, having traded in a relatively stable 6.8% range from 9.1275 to 9.7469
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  1 SEK = 0.1035 USD

Compare & Save - US dollar to Swedish krona

Exchange rates can vary significantly between different currency exchange providers, so it's important to compare US dollar (USD) to Swedish krona (SEK) rates from different sources before making a conversion.

Use our USD to SEK calculator to see how much you could save on your international money transfers. makes it easy to compare the Total Cost you are being charged on Dollar to Krona currency rates and the possible savings of using various providers.

 
 

Will the US dollar rise against the Swedish krona?

This is always a difficult question as exchange rates are influenced by many factors, so a good method to consider the US dollar vs Swedish krona current value is to look the USD/SEK historic rate and change over a range of periods.

The following table looks at the change in the USD to SEK exchange rate over periods from the previous week back to the last 10 years.

DateUSD/SEKChangePeriod
19 Jun 2026
9.5835
0.8% ▲2 Week
04 Apr 2026
9.4831
1.8% ▲3 Month
03 Jul 2025
9.5725
0.9% ▲1 Year
04 Jul 2021
8.5508
12.9% ▲5 Year
05 Jul 2016
8.5130
13.4% ▲10 Year
08 Jul 2006
7.1518
35% ▲20 Year
USD/SEK historic rates & change to 03-Jul-2026

It is almost impossible to predict what an exchange rate will do in the future, the best approach is to monitor the currency markets and transact when an exchange rate moves in your favour.

To help with this you can add USD/SEK to your personalised Rate Tracker to track and benefit from currency movements.

 
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Rather than requiring you to set a target rate, our Rate Alerts keep you informed of recent trends and movements of currency pairs.

Add rates to your Rate Tracker and select to receive an daily email (mon-fri) or when a rate is trending

 

Forecasts disclaimer: Please be advised that the forecasts and analysis of market data presented on BestExchangeRates.com are solely a review and compilation of forecasts from various market experts and economists. These forecasts are not meant to reflect the opinions or views of BestExchangeRates.com or its affiliates, nor should they be construed as a recommendation or advice to engage in any financial transactions. Read more