SEK/NOK - Live Converters & Chart

Swedish Krona (SEK) outlook

2019 has been something of a shocker for the Swedish krona. The currency is the worst performing major currency by some margin, confounding the forecasts of analysts which suggested it would be among the best now that Sweden’s central bank has commenced with a policy tightening cycle (in December it hiked interest rates for the first time in seven years).

Between January and March-8, the krona lost 7 percent of its value against the dollar and slipped to a record low of kr9.5; it also lost 5 percent against the euro, to kr10.65—a six-month low. The krona weakened along with expectations for future Riksbank hikes, which themselves were dented as evidence of a global economic slowdown piled up.

Fortunately for those holding krona, in the week leading up to this report (March-17), the krona was especially strong, making back roughly 40 percent of the aforementioned losses. The rally was driven by speculation that the Riksbank would intervene in the market to strengthen the currency.

“We reiterate our bearish view on the krona,” ING said in February, and “we don't rule out a [EUR/SEK] convergence towards 11.00”—that’s a rate not seen in a decade.

Norwegian Krone (NOK) outlook

In the second half of April, the Norwegian krone rallied to a 5-month high against the euro, at Kr9.56, and was strong against other major currencies. Strength was fuelled by a thriving oil market. Oil, Norway’s largest export, was up 44 percent on the year by April-20, to $65 per barrel. Also boosting the krone in April were better-than-expected inflation figures — inflation is now 2.9 percent, more than double that in the Euro Area (1.4 percent).

As expected, Norway's central bank raised interest rates to 1 percent in March. Tighter Norwegian monetary policy throughout 2019 would support the krone, especially if the ECB fails to raise rates.

Earlier this year, Lloyds predicted EUR/NOK at 9.4 at year-end. That level represents a major resistance point for the krone; EUR/NOK hasn’t broken below 9.4 since October 2017.

The SEK/NOK mid-rate is the rate you will see quoted online or the news, nobody except the largest banks and businesses can get exchange rates close to this mid-rate. It is actually just the theoretical half-way point (hence mid-rate) between the last rate at which the SEK / NOK was traded (bought or sold) in the international markets.