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Currency outlook SEK/USD

SEK to USD Forecasts – Swedish krona to US dollar

Latest SEK to USD forecasts including bank predictions, key market drivers and recent trends for SEK/USD. See where analysts expect the pair to move and the factors likely to influence it.

SEK to USD Forecast & Outlook

25 Jul 2026 • 01:06 GMT

SEK/USD 0.1029

📊 Forecast snapshot

  • Near-term bias: 🟢 Mild upside
  • Expected range: 0.1030 – 0.1070
  • Dominant driver: 🌍 Global risk sentiment
  • 3-month trend: 🟢 Uptrend

Currently, SEK/USD is trading close to its 90-day average in the mid-range, supported by risk-off safe-haven flows into USD. The pair remains consolidating within its recent range, finding support around the 0.103 level. Near-term conditions suggest the pair may see a slight upward drift if risk sentiment continues to weigh on risk-sensitive currencies, trapping the SEK near or slightly above recent lows.

💸 Transfer implications

  • Expats: sending money to the US dollar could find current levels relatively supportive for better exchange rates.
  • Travellers: exchanging foreign cash might see conditions slightly favourable compared to recent levels.
  • Businesses: paying US dollar invoices in SEK may benefit from the risk-off environment, making conversions marginally more advantageous.

🧭 Key drivers

  • Rate gap: The Federal Reserve’s hawkish stance supports USD strength, narrowing the yield gap with Swedish bonds.
  • Risk/commodities: Elevated geopolitical tensions and oil prices rallying above USD 100/bbl strengthen USD safe-haven appeal.
  • Global factors: Deteriorating risk sentiment continues to pressure risk-sensitive currencies, favoring USD.

⚠️ What could change it

  • Upside risk: A shift towards global risk appetite could weaken USD, supporting SEK.
  • Downside risk: Unexpected easing in geopolitical tensions or a shift in Fed policy could lead to a weaker USD.

BER suggestions: comparing FX providers may help offset less favourable exchange conditions, and shopping around for the lowest margin provider can reduce total transfer costs.

 

USDSEK Bank Forecasts to end of the year

ING THINK anticipates that the USDSEK will decline to 8.44 by the end of the year. This forecast reflects expectations of a significant appreciation of the Swedish krona, partly due to its current undervaluation against the US dollar and the euro. The outlook suggests a slower but more predictable appreciation for the SEK as it realigns with its perceived value.

Big bank views

  • ING THINK forecasts USDSEK at 8.44 by year-end, indicating a strengthening SEK.
  • Current USD strength is driven by expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike.
  • ING sees SEK benefiting from strong domestic economic conditions and broad market trends favoring high-beta currencies.

What could change the outlook

  • A shift in Federal Reserve monetary policy could alter USD strength significantly.
  • Changes in the global risk environment affecting high-beta currencies like the SEK could impact these projections.
 

SEK-USD Rate Calculator

 
 
   
   
   
   
   
 
 

SEK to USD Market Data

Swedish krona (SEK) to US dollar (USD) market data - latest interbank exchange rate, trend, chart & historic rates.

 
Sell SEK   →   Buy USD
1 SEK =
0.1029We compare provider deals to this wholesale mid-market rate. Read more
USD
1d+0.4%▲
90dLows◒
SEK to USD at 0.1029 is 2.5% below its 3-month average of 0.1055, having traded in a quite stable 6.0% range from 0.1025 to 0.1086
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  1 USD = 9.7189 SEK

Compare & Save - Swedish krona to US dollar

Exchange rates can vary significantly between different currency exchange providers, so it's important to compare Swedish krona (SEK) to US dollar (USD) rates from different sources before making a conversion.

Use our SEK to USD calculator to see how much you could save on your international money transfers. makes it easy to compare the Total Cost you are being charged on Krona to Dollar currency rates and the possible savings of using various providers.

 
 

Will the Swedish krona rise against the US dollar?

This is always a difficult question as exchange rates are influenced by many factors, so a good method to consider the Swedish krona vs US dollar current value is to look the SEK/USD historic rate and change over a range of periods.

The following table looks at the change in the SEK to USD exchange rate over periods from the previous week back to the last 10 years.

DateSEK/USDPeriod
11 Jul 2026
0.1029
2 Week
26 Apr 2026
0.1082
3 Month
25 Jul 2025
0.1050
1 Year
26 Jul 2021
0.1159
5 Year
27 Jul 2016
0.1159
10 Year
30 Jul 2006
0.1375
20 Year
SEK/USD historic rates

It is almost impossible to predict what an exchange rate will do in the future, the best approach is to monitor the currency markets and transact when an exchange rate moves in your favour.

To help with this you can add SEK/USD to your personalised Rate Tracker to track and benefit from currency movements.

 
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Rather than requiring you to set a target rate, our Rate Alerts keep you informed of recent trends and movements of currency pairs.

Add rates to your Rate Tracker and select to receive an daily email (mon-fri) or when a rate is trending

 

Forecasts disclaimer: Please be advised that the forecasts and analysis of market data presented on BestExchangeRates.com are solely a review and compilation of forecasts from various market experts and economists. These forecasts are not meant to reflect the opinions or views of BestExchangeRates.com or its affiliates, nor should they be construed as a recommendation or advice to engage in any financial transactions. Read more