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    Currency outlook SEK/USD

    SEK to USD Forecast & Outlook

    Latest SEK to USD forecasts including bank predictions, key market drivers and recent trends for SEK/USD. See where analysts expect the pair to move and the factors likely to influence it.

    SEK to USD Forecast & Outlook

    01 Aug 2026 • 00:59 GMT

    SEK/USD 0.1050

    Forecast snapshot

    Quick SEK/USD forecast

    Near-term bias🔴 Mild downside
    Expected range0.1050 – 0.1090
    Dominant driver⚖️ Interest-rate differentials
    3-month trend🟢 Uptrend

    Currently, SEK/USD is trading close to recent highs near 0.1050, holding near its 30-day range and just below its 3-month average. The pair is finding support around the range's upper boundary, but the dominant driver remains the rate differential. Near-term conditions suggest the pair may face pressure if the dollar remains supported by risk-off sentiment and USD strength persists, potentially limiting any sustained upside.

    💸 Transfer implications

    • Expats: sending money to the US may find USD costs firm but less favourable if trade weakens.
    • Travellers: exchanging SEK for USD might see limited gains, with further weakness or stability likely.
    • Businesses: paying USD invoices may encounter slightly higher costs if SEK sentiment remains subdued.

    🧭 Key drivers

    • Rate gap: The USD remains supported by hawkish Fed expectations and the rate differential with SEK.
    • Risk/commodities: The risk-off environment favours the safe-haven USD, pressuring risk-sensitive currencies like SEK.
    • Global factors: Broad U.S. economic strength and geopolitical tensions underpin USD support.

    ⚠️ What could change it

    • Upside risk: A dovish shift from the Fed or easing geopolitical tensions could support the SEK.
    • Downside risk: Further USD safe-haven flows or stronger risk-off conditions may deepen SEK weakness.

    Shopping around for the lowest margin provider may help reduce overall transfer costs. Comparing FX providers can offset less favourable exchange conditions. Finding providers with lower margins can help minimise total transfer expenses.

    USDSEK Bank Forecasts to end of the year

    ING THINK anticipates that the USDSEK will decline to 8.44 by the end of the year. This forecast reflects expectations of a significant appreciation of the Swedish krona, partly due to its current undervaluation against the US dollar and the euro. The outlook suggests a slower but more predictable appreciation for the SEK as it realigns with its perceived value.

    Big bank views

    • ING THINK forecasts USDSEK at 8.44 by year-end, indicating a strengthening SEK.
    • Current USD strength is driven by expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike.
    • ING sees SEK benefiting from strong domestic economic conditions and broad market trends favoring high-beta currencies.

    What could change the outlook

    • A shift in Federal Reserve monetary policy could alter USD strength significantly.
    • Changes in the global risk environment affecting high-beta currencies like the SEK could impact these projections.

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    Rate direction

    SEK to USD market data

    Swedish krona (SEK) to US dollar (USD) market data - latest interbank exchange rate, trend, chart & historic rates.

    Sell SEK   →   Buy USD
    1 SEK =
    0.1050We compare provider deals to this wholesale mid-market rate. Read more
    USD
    1D+0.1%▲
    SEK to USD is at 30-day highs near 0.1050, just below its 3-month average, having traded in a quite stable 6.0% range from 0.1025 to 0.1086
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      1 USD = 9.5227 SEK
     

    Will the Swedish krona rise against the US dollar?

    This is always a difficult question as exchange rates are influenced by many factors, so a good method to consider the Swedish krona vs US dollar current value is to look the SEK/USD historic rate and change over a range of periods.

    The following table looks at the change in the SEK to USD exchange rate over periods from the previous week back to the last 10 years.

    DateSEK/USDPeriod
    11 Jul 2026
    0.1029
    		2 Week
    26 Apr 2026
    0.1082
    		3 Month
    25 Jul 2025
    0.1050
    		1 Year
    26 Jul 2021
    0.1159
    		5 Year
    27 Jul 2016
    0.1159
    		10 Year
    30 Jul 2006
    0.1375
    		20 Year
    SEK/USD historic rates

    It is almost impossible to predict what an exchange rate will do in the future, the best approach is to monitor the currency markets and transact when an exchange rate moves in your favour.

    To help with this you can add SEK/USD to your personalised Rate Tracker to track and benefit from currency movements.

     
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