Singapore Dollar - New Taiwan Dollar Forecasting
When determining the best time to make a foreign exchange transaction, in this case the SGD vs TWD, you should pay attention to the recent market trends for both currencies.
Singapore Dollar (SGD)
At the end of March, Singapore's central bank eased its monetary policy, as widely expected, with the city-state's bellwether economy bracing for a deep recession due to the coronavirus pandemic.
The MAS said it would adopt a zero percent per annum rate of appreciation of the policy band starting at the prevailing level, currently slightly below the mid-point of the policy band.
The markets viewed this annoucement as showing the MAS has kept some fire-power in reserve and could intervene again to lower the SGD.
NAB told Bloomberg TV that it sees a recovery in Asian currencies in the 2nd half of the year if the coronavirus comes under control.
Overall, it was a mixed 2019 for the Singapore dollar, with small gains (<2 percent) against the euro and Australian dollar, but small losses against the US dollar and pound.
Read more in the article SGD Forecasts.
New Taiwan Dollar (TWD)
NAB told Bloomberg TV that it sees a recovery in Asian currencies in the 2nd half of 2020 if the coronavirus comes under control.
The benchmark Taiwan dollar exchange rate, USD/TWD, has done little over the past 8 months; it continues to range between 30.5 and 31. The Taiwan dollar is worth 6 percent less against the greenback than its 2018 high.
One major currency that TWD is doing well against is the Australian dollar. TWD struck a 10-year high against the Aussie in January (21.16 per AUD), and remains close to that level in early May.
Disappointing export data (March data showed exports falling year-on-year for the fifth consecutive month) is perhaps evidence of a global tech slowdown that could put pressure on Taiwan’s currency this year due to its sensitivity to corporate earnings (high earnings create substantial capital inflows into Taiwanese equities).
Forecast: ING said in late April that it was concerned that any below-forecast sales numbers in the smart phone industry could weigh on TWD. “As such,” ING said, “against the US dollar we've revised our [year-end] TWD forecast from 30.40 to 30.95.”