When you are thinking about sending money abroad, an international money transfer provider is a great option. They can help you with the whole process, provide useful online tools and most importantly bank-beating exchange rates and low or zero fees.
This is a chart showing the change in the USD-DKK mid-market exchange rate over the last week. The Total Cost of each foreign transfer in the above table is calculated as the sum of all fees and the exchange rate margin, which is the difference between the provider's exchange rate and the mid-market USD-DKK exchange rate.
Whenever you are interested in an exchange rate you are actually interested in two currencies due to the fact that the value of a currency must always be quoted in comparison to a second currency.
So it follows that if you are determining the best time to transact, in this case the USD vs DKK, you should pay attention to both United States Dollar and Danish Krone news and forecasts.
In the third week of April the Dollar Index was rallying strongly towards the mid-97s, slightly below major resistance at 97.70, a break of which would be massively positive for the greenback. The index was up 1.7 percent year-to-date.
The dollar’s strength comes in spite of a dovish surprise in March from the Federal Reserve, which ditched two interest rate hikes from its 2019 projections. Fortunately for dollar holders, the rest of the world has problems and other important central banks also turned dovish, removing much of the incentive for selling USD.
Bloomberg research warned in April of potential for a large upcoming move in the US dollar, up or down. Over the past quarter-century, three prominent troughs in the JPMorgan Global FX Volatility Index were followed by dollar moves over 6-month periods worth 10-15 percent. The index was trading in mid-April at a 5-year low.
13-February-19: 2018 was a mixed year for the Danish krone. A 4.5 percent loss versus the US dollar was offset by a near-6 percent gain versus the Australian dollar and small gains against other majors.
Since November, the krone has traded along a channel between kr6.5 and kr6.65 per USD, showing remarkable stability. It was, however, quoted within the weakest third of this range at kr6.61 at the time of writing; the krone was down 1.5 percent year-to-date.
At the time of writing, the krone was 2.5 percent weaker on the year against the pound, at kr8.45. Most price action since September has been between kr8.23 and kr8.63.
Like the euro against which it is pegged, the krone is understandably under pressure in early 2019 ahead of Brexit and from increasing Europe-wide recession risks — Italy slid into recession in February and Germany barely escaped one in the October-December period.
The main krone-supporting factor this year would be an interest rate hike by the ECB, although this is up in the air considering the aforementioned risks. Any ECB hike would be followed by action from Denmark’s Nationalbank so that the krone-euro peg could be maintained.
Forecasts: Implied USD/DKK forecasts from BMO Capital Markets are for a rate of kr6.71 by the end of April. Experts at Natwest predicted GBP/DKK at kr8.78 in mid-year.
