This is the current USD-DKK mid-market exchange rate. The Total Cost of buying foreign currency in the above table is calculated as the sum of all fees and the exchange rate margin, which is the difference between the provider's exchange rate and the mid-market USD-DKK exchange rate.
Whenever you are researching a particular exchange rate you are actually interested in two currencies as the value of a currency must always be quoted relative to a second currency.
So it follows that if you are determining the best time to transact, in this case the USD vs DKK, you should pay attention to both United States Dollar and Danish Krone news and forecasts.
26-January-19: 2018 was a reasonable year for the dollar. Measured by the US Dollar Index, the greenback appreciated by 4 percent, which was much better than 2017’s 10 percent loss. It was, though, something of a stuttering end to 2018 and the dollar has had mixed fortunes in early 2019.
In December, after lifting US interest rates to 2.25-2.5 percent, the Fed lowered its expectations for future hikes due to so-called “cross currents” (China, Brexit, trade wars etc.). Skepticism among analysts over future Fed hikes has for some time been the main reason for dollar pessimism for 2019, but now, there is also the prospect of a US economic slowdown to contend with.
“A slowdown in the economy is likely to weigh on USD particularly in the second half of this year,” a CIBC researcher said in January.
Of the same opinion was an expert at ING, who argued that the dollar is soon to “embark on a gradual long-term bearish trend.”
January’s extended US government shutdown also has dollar-negative ramifications. Not only is the shutdown likely to hit first-quarter GDP growth, disagreements within Congress bode poorly for the future of potentially inflationary fiscal spending.
13-February-19: 2018 was a mixed year for the Danish krone. A 4.5 percent loss versus the US dollar was offset by a near-6 percent gain versus the Australian dollar and small gains against other majors.
Since November, the krone has traded along a channel between kr6.5 and kr6.65 per USD, showing remarkable stability. It was, however, quoted within the weakest third of this range at kr6.61 at the time of writing; the krone was down 1.5 percent year-to-date.
At the time of writing, the krone was 2.5 percent weaker on the year against the pound, at kr8.45. Most price action since September has been between kr8.23 and kr8.63.
Like the euro against which it is pegged, the krone is understandably under pressure in early 2019 ahead of Brexit and from increasing Europe-wide recession risks — Italy slid into recession in February and Germany barely escaped one in the October-December period.
The main krone-supporting factor this year would be an interest rate hike by the ECB, although this is up in the air considering the aforementioned risks. Any ECB hike would be followed by action from Denmark’s Nationalbank so that the krone-euro peg could be maintained.
Forecasts: Implied USD/DKK forecasts from BMO Capital Markets are for a rate of kr6.71 by the end of April. Experts at Natwest predicted GBP/DKK at kr8.78 in mid-year.
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