Recent forecasts and market updates indicate a complex interplay of factors influencing the exchange rate between the UAE Dirham (AED) and the Vietnamese Đồng (VND). As of early December 2025, the AED to VND exchange rate is at 90-day lows near 7160, just below its three-month average, reflecting a stable trading range of only 0.5% from 7160 to 7195. This stagnation suggests that both currencies are currently influenced by broader economic conditions rather than isolated domestic factors.
Multiple developments in the UAE, particularly surrounding monetary policy, are providing a slight boost for the Dirham. Analysts note that expectations of U.S. Federal Reserve rate cuts, fueled by softening labor market indicators, are enhancing investor optimism in Gulf markets. This environment supports the Dirham's value, especially as the U.S. dollar has recently strengthened. Economists suggest that this positive sentiment is beneficial for expatriates in the UAE who are transferring money abroad, as it enhances the Dirham's purchasing power against weaker Asian currencies.
In contrast, the Vietnamese Đồng is facing pressures that may negatively influence its valuation. Experts predict a depreciation of around 3% against the U.S. dollar in 2025, primarily due to global economic trends and a strengthening dollar. Additionally, the implementation of new reporting requirements for large transactions and the unfortunate economic impact of severe flooding in Northern Vietnam pose significant risks for the VND's stability.
Overall, the current forecast suggests that while the AED is supported by favorable regional economic conditions, the VND's outlook is clouded by regulatory changes and recent natural disasters. As such, businesses and individuals engaging in transactions between these two currencies may wish to monitor these developments closely, as they may have direct implications for future exchange rate movements.
