The GBP to NGN exchange rate is currently range-bound, trading at 1945, slightly above its three-month average of 1934.
Key drivers include the interest rate policies of the Bank of England (BoE) and a significant depreciation outlook for the Nigerian Naira (NGN). The BoE's recent signals suggest a cautious approach to rate cuts, with future decisions to ease policy being closely evaluated. In contrast, forecasts predict a depreciation of the Naira, influenced by projected inflation spikes and fiscal concerns in Nigeria, despite expected economic growth. Global oil prices may also impact the NGN, as fluctuations in crude prices can affect Nigeria’s oil-dependent economy.
The near-term trading range for GBP to NGN is expected to remain stable but somewhat volatile, within recent levels. Upside risks include stronger-than-expected growth in the UK, while downside risks are posed by worsening inflation in Nigeria, which could further weaken the Naira.