The NZD to PHP exchange rate exhibits a bearish bias currently.
Key drivers include:
- The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) is expected to cut interest rates, possibly lowering the Official Cash Rate to 1.75% by mid-2026. This creates a widening interest rate gap between New Zealand and the Philippines.
- The Philippine peso recently reached a record low, influenced by expectations of further monetary easing. However, the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas indicated potential stabilization following a rate cut.
- New Zealand is facing growth challenges; forecasts suggest a weakening NZD amid deteriorating local economic conditions.
The NZD is expected to trade in a stable range relative to the current price, with slight fluctuations over the next few months.
An upside risk could be unexpected global economic recovery, boosting demand for the NZD. Conversely, a downside risk might arise from continued monetary easing in both New Zealand and the Philippines, potentially exerting additional downward pressure on the NZD against the PHP.