This is the current AUD-PHP mid-market exchange rate. The Total Cost of buying foreign currency in the above table is calculated as the sum of all fees and the exchange rate margin, which is the difference between the provider's exchange rate and the mid-market AUD-PHP exchange rate.
Whenever you are researching a particular exchange rate you are actually interested in two currencies as the value of a currency must always be quoted relative to a second currency.
So it follows that if you are determining the best time to transact, in this case the AUD vs PHP, you should pay attention to both Australian Dollar and Philippine Peso news and forecasts.
Following a flash crash in early January, which saw the Australian dollar briefly trade at a 10-year low of $0.674, the Aussie recovered to $0.73, but then, as it had done before the flash crash, it commenced with a slow and steady decline, and it was back at $0.705 in mid-March and was predicted to fall further.
In February, HSBC predicted a year-end AUD/USD rate of $0.66. In March, Westpac and JP Morgan were slightly more upbeat and argued for $0.68.
Fuelling lower exchange rate forecasts is the Australian economic story, for which major themes include a housing market slump, Chinese growth and the US-China trade spat. The RBA slashed growth forecasts in February and markets are now pricing in 1-2 interest rate cuts this year.
Another Aussie exchange rate worth mentioning is AUD/GBP, which sank in mid-March to its lowest level in nearly 3 years, at just £0.53. The Australian dollar has been unable to compete with the pound of late, since the latter benefits every time the British government fails to make a decision on how to deliver Brexit (every time Brexit appears less likely or to be delayed).
The peso suffered one of its sharpest falls in recent years on March-12 when it weakened by 93 centavos against the dollar (an amount nearly four times the peso’s average daily range) to 53.05. This ended a good run for the peso, which appreciated away from record lows (54.43) in four of the five months between October and February.
The mid-march weakness was driven by significant developments in Philippine monetary policy. The country’s central bank governor suggested there could be significant policy easing this year in the form of policy rate cuts and cuts to the amount of cash that banks must hold in reserve.
The developments appeared to vindicate those analysts polled by Bloomberg in January, who collectively predicted that the peso would struggle in 2019.
An ING analyst said in March that the central bank would be comfortable with the peso between 52 and 55 per dollar, beyond which there may be market intervention. ING is forecasting the peso at 54.04 at year-end.
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