Canadian Dollar - Thai Baht Forecasting
When determining the best time to make a foreign exchange transaction, in this case the CAD vs THB, you should pay attention to the recent market trends for both currencies.
Canadian Dollar (CAD)
The combination of an eroded US interest yield advantage, a broadly positive riskon mood and renewed euro demand, could be a catalyst to push the Canadian dollar along. The combination of an eroded US interest yield advantage, a broadly positive riskon mood and renewed euro demand, could be a catalyst to push the Canadian dollar along.
The Canadian dollar was range bound during the second half of 2019 oscillating between US75c and US76.5c. Mid-year the loonie stormed ahead in June and July, rising to what turned out to be the 2019 high against the US dollar of US76.7cents and to 8-month highs against the euro, pound, Australian and New Zealand dollars. Against the Aussie, a minimal additional increase would take CAD to a 9-year high.
Supporting the loonie was a 10 percent rise in the oil price (oil is among Canada’s most exported products but is volatile and can’t be relied upon), a large and welcome jump in inflation, and dovishness at major central banks of the world, including the Federal Reserve, ECB and RBA.
Read more in the article CAD Forecasts.
Thai Baht (THB)
The Thai Baht has risen 4% so far this year against the US dollar due to greenback weakness, this won't help with the hoped for tourism lead recovery of the Thai economy post virus.
NAB told Bloomberg TV that it sees a recovery in Asian currencies in the 2nd half of 2020 if the coronavirus comes under control.
In 2018 tourism contributed around 20 percent of Thailand's total GDP, so the dramatic impact to tourism from the coronavirus pandemic is expected to plunge Thailand into a recession.
Recent years have been extremely kind to the baht and 2019 has been no exception. The Thai baht has been the best performing currency in Asia for 2019, the baht rose to a 6-year high against the US dollar (฿30.66) and to a 10-year high against the Australian dollar (฿21.35), as well as to long-term highs against a host of other major currencies.
The baht has previously being supported by Thailand’s large current-account surplus and has benefited from speculation that Thai stocks will soon be assigned a larger weighting in the MSCI Emerging Markets index, which would result in significant amounts of foreign capital entering Thailand.