This is the current NZD-AUD mid-market exchange rate. The Total Cost of buying foreign currency in the above table is calculated as the sum of all fees and the exchange rate margin, which is the difference between the provider's exchange rate and the mid-market NZD-AUD exchange rate.
Whenever you are researching a particular exchange rate you are actually interested in two currencies as the value of a currency must always be quoted relative to a second currency.
So it follows that if you are determining the best time to transact, in this case the NZD vs AUD, you should pay attention to both New Zealand Dollar and Australian Dollar news and forecasts.
26-February-19: The New Zealand dollar has been among the best performers in early 2019: at the time of writing, it was showing a 3 percent year-to-date gain versus the US dollar (US$0.69), bettered within G10 FX only by the Canadian dollar and pound.
The kiwi’s upside might be limited over the coming 6-12 months due to a somewhat disappointing outlook for interest rates in New Zealand.
In February, the RBNZ said it would maintain rates at current levels this year and next, which was taken as a big positive at the time since a rate cut had partly been priced in. When considered against the hikes that are likely in Canada, the US, Europe, Scandinavia and many emerging market economies, steady NZ rates might also be to NZD's detriment.
In February, Radobank predicted NZD/USD 4 percent lower at US$0.66 before the end of May.
An RBC analyst also suggested betting against the kiwi. The analyst pointed to the RBNZ's previous form when it comes to U-turns on policy guidance.
In addition, watchers of NZD should not underestimate how highly correlated the currency is with the Australian dollar, which is tied to an even worse monetary policy outlook and which might suffer an 8-10 percent decline this year, per some currency forecasters.
Following a flash crash in early January, which saw the Australian dollar briefly trade at a 10-year low of $0.674, the Aussie recovered to $0.73, but then, as it had done before the flash crash, it commenced with a slow and steady decline, and it was back at $0.705 in mid-March and was predicted to fall further.
In February, HSBC predicted a year-end AUD/USD rate of $0.66. In March, Westpac and JP Morgan were slightly more upbeat and argued for $0.68.
Fuelling lower exchange rate forecasts is the Australian economic story, for which major themes include a housing market slump, Chinese growth and the US-China trade spat. The RBA slashed growth forecasts in February and markets are now pricing in 1-2 interest rate cuts this year.
Another Aussie exchange rate worth mentioning is AUD/GBP, which sank in mid-March to its lowest level in nearly 3 years, at just £0.53. The Australian dollar has been unable to compete with the pound of late, since the latter benefits every time the British government fails to make a decision on how to deliver Brexit (every time Brexit appears less likely or to be delayed).
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