This is the current USD-CNY mid-market exchange rate. The Total Cost of buying foreign currency in the above table is calculated as the sum of all fees and the exchange rate margin, which is the difference between the provider's exchange rate and the mid-market USD-CNY exchange rate.
Whenever you are researching a particular exchange rate you are actually interested in two currencies as the value of a currency must always be quoted relative to a second currency.
So it follows that if you are determining the best time to transact, in this case the USD vs CNY, you should pay attention to both United States Dollar and Chinese Yuan news and forecasts.
In the third week of April the Dollar Index was rallying strongly towards the mid-97s, slightly below major resistance at 97.70, a break of which would be massively positive for the greenback. The index was up 1.7 percent year-to-date.
The dollar’s strength comes in spite of a dovish surprise in March from the Federal Reserve, which ditched two interest rate hikes from its 2019 projections. Fortunately for dollar holders, the rest of the world has problems and other important central banks also turned dovish, removing much of the incentive for selling USD.
Bloomberg research warned in April of potential for a large upcoming move in the US dollar, up or down. Over the past quarter-century, three prominent troughs in the JPMorgan Global FX Volatility Index were followed by dollar moves over 6-month periods worth 10-15 percent. The index was trading in mid-April at a 5-year low.
In early 2019, the yuan has appreciated away from long-term lows established in the fourth quarter of last year. By March-13, the yuan held year-to-date gains of 2.5 percent and 4 percent against the dollar (¥6.708) and euro (¥7.574) respectively, and these amounts increase to 4 and 7 percent if current rates are compared with fourth-quarter lows.
The main news piece for yuan investors remains the US-China trade spat, for which negotiations are still taking place. The massive tariffs that might be imposed (or remain) on Chinese goods makes them expensive to American buyers, which lessens their appeal and necessitates a weaker yuan, especially so if Beijing instructs the PBOC to intentionally weaken the currency to offset the impacts of tariffs (in March, the PBOC denied it would devalue the yuan to boost exports, or strengthen it to ease trade tensions).
For now, the yuan will continue trading between ¥6.65 to ¥6.90 to the dollar, a Natwest analyst said in March.
Nomura argued that the yuan was already overvalued against the dollar and would weaken "in the medium to long term," although it couldn’t offer any precise exchange rate targets.
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