The exchange rate forecasts for the AED to THB appear stable yet influenced by key recent developments in both economies. As of mid-November 2025, the AED is trading at approximately 8.8138 THB, aligning closely with its three-month average and showing a relatively tight range of 3.9%. Analysts suggest that this stability is bolstered by the UAE's proactive economic measures, such as the recent currency swap agreement with Turkey aimed at enhancing liquidity and local currency transactions.
The UAE's central bank also cut interest rates in September 2025, a move that has stimulated local stock markets and potentially increased investor confidence. This combination of supportive governmental initiatives and favorable currency performance against other Asian currencies could sustain the AED's strength.
On the other side, the Thai baht has experienced upward pressure, reaching a four-year high, which the Bank of Thailand (BoT) is actively working to contain through interventions and various measures aimed at stabilizing the currency. Recent actions include scrutinizing capital inflows and considering a tax on gold trading, both of which reflect concerns over the impacts of a strong baht on Thailand’s export and tourism sectors. The baht's strength could, therefore, be limiting its competitive edge in the international market.
Additionally, the oil prices, which have shown volatility and are currently at 62.56 USD per barrel—4.4% below their three-month average—could also play a role in influencing the AED to THB exchange rate. Given that oil is a crucial export commodity for the UAE, fluctuations in its price could subsequently affect the value of the AED.
Overall, while the AED might remain stable due to supportive local developments, the long-term dynamics involving the THB may be prone to fluctuations depending on ongoing economic measures by the Thai government and the impact of global oil prices. Currency analysts will likely continue to monitor these trends closely, as both currencies navigate through their respective economic landscapes.
