The USD to PLN exchange rate is currently range-bound.
The current interest rate differential reflects a recent cut by the National Bank of Poland, reducing its rate to 4.00%. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve is contemplating additional rate cuts, which could weaken the USD. Global economic growth is improving and commodity prices are rising, supporting both currencies but creating potential for volatility.
In terms of trading, the rate is experiencing some stability, with expectations to remain within a relatively tight range in the coming months. The USD/PLN has been trading near 14-day highs, slightly below its three-month average.
An upside risk to this outlook could stem from stronger-than-expected U.S. economic data that may prompt a reassessment of Fed policies. Conversely, a downside risk could occur if Poland's economic growth forecasts disappoint, potentially weakening the zloty.