This is the current AUD-CHF mid-market exchange rate. The Total Cost of buying foreign currency in the above table is calculated as the sum of all fees and the exchange rate margin, which is the difference between the provider's exchange rate and the mid-market AUD-CHF exchange rate.
Whenever you are researching a particular exchange rate you are actually interested in two currencies as the value of a currency must always be quoted relative to a second currency.
So it follows that if you are determining the best time to transact, in this case the AUD vs CHF, you should pay attention to both Australian Dollar and Swiss Franc news and forecasts.
Following a flash crash in early January, which saw the Australian dollar briefly trade at a 10-year low of $0.674, the Aussie recovered to $0.73, but then, as it had done before the flash crash, it commenced with a slow and steady decline, and it was back at $0.705 in mid-March and was predicted to fall further.
In February, HSBC predicted a year-end AUD/USD rate of $0.66. In March, Westpac and JP Morgan were slightly more upbeat and argued for $0.68.
Fuelling lower exchange rate forecasts is the Australian economic story, for which major themes include a housing market slump, Chinese growth and the US-China trade spat. The RBA slashed growth forecasts in February and markets are now pricing in 1-2 interest rate cuts this year.
Another Aussie exchange rate worth mentioning is AUD/GBP, which sank in mid-March to its lowest level in nearly 3 years, at just £0.53. The Australian dollar has been unable to compete with the pound of late, since the latter benefits every time the British government fails to make a decision on how to deliver Brexit (every time Brexit appears less likely or to be delayed).
9-February-19: The Swiss National Bank continues to reaffirm its commitment to an ultra-loose monetary policy, which includes negative interest rates and a willingness to intervene in FX markets to weaken the “highly valued” franc.
Since the second quarter of last year, the franc has been the European currency of choice for traders, which makes sense given the euro and sterling-negative effects of Brexit, the Italian recession and Italian budgetary problems. In early 2019, the franc has generally depreciated, however. Like the yen, euro, krona and other low-yielding currencies, the franc has been sold to fund carry trades.
EUR/CHF has traded between Fr1.12 and Fr1.15 since last August and it traded near to the centre of that range at the time of this report, at Fr1.132. The franc had been as weak as Fr1.2 ten months ago.
Against a strong US dollar, the franc has weakened over the past twelve months from Fr0.92 to parity (Fr1.0).
Recent forecasts from Citibank have USD/CHF falling marginally to 0.98 over 6-12 months. In January, UBS predicted EUR/CHF at Fr1.15 by mid-year.
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