This is the current GBP-CAD mid-market exchange rate. The Total Cost of buying foreign currency in the above table is calculated as the sum of all fees and the exchange rate margin, which is the difference between the provider's exchange rate and the mid-market GBP-CAD exchange rate.
Whenever you are researching a particular exchange rate you are actually interested in two currencies as the value of a currency must always be quoted relative to a second currency.
So it follows that if you are determining the best time to transact, in this case the GBP vs CAD, you should pay attention to both British Pound Sterling and Canadian Dollar news and forecasts.
20-February-19: Given Brexit uncertainties, 2018 wasn’t too bad of a year for the pound. Although it lost 7.5 percent of its value against the US dollar, it only lost 1.9 percent against the euro and gained nearly 3 percent against the Australian dollar.
In early 2019, the pound has been resilient, having gained several percent against most of the other G10 currencies despite UK politics being in a state of disarray and with all Brexit options still on the table. Sterling remains well down when compared with its recent history though: at the time of writing, against the US dollar it was 12 percent lower than levels prior to the UK’s EU referendum in June 2016.
Pound forecasts are futile given uncertainties over Brexit but estimates can be made for different outcomes. Currency analysts at HSBC said in February that sterling would be valued at levels near US$1.10 in the event of no-deal, near US$1.45 with a deal and at US$1.55 should Article 50 be revoked and Brexit cancelled. GBP/USD was quoted at US$1.305 at the time of this report.
7-February-19: January was a fantastic month for the Canadian dollar. A gain of 4 percent relative to the US dollar took USD/CAD away from 19-month highs near C$1.365 into the low C$1.31s.
A recovery in the oil market has played a big part in the loonie’s 2019 recovery. By the time of this report, oil had gained nearly $12 per barrel, or 23 percent, on 2018 lows. The price of oil remains vital to Canada’s economy; it had fallen by as much as 40 percent in the October-December period.
Going forward, risks to the Canadian dollar include, of course, oil, and the return of global trade tensions.
Towards the end of 2018, Goldman Sachs predicted a strong energy market rebound in 2019 — more so than has already been realised — and this would underpin Canada’s currency.
In February, Westpac reaffirmed its view that the Canadian dollar would be an outperformer in 2019. Canada’s growth picture is more secure than those of the eurozone, UK or Australia, Westpac believes, and as a result, the Bank of Canada will be more hawkish this year relative to other G10 central banks, driving CAD appreciation.
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