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    Exchange Rate Forecasts

    AUDUSD has fallen back to the key 0.7000 level the first half of May, this seems to be due derives to the escalating concerns over the impact of strict Covid lockdowns on Chinese companies.

    In early May the BoE’s (UK central bank) gloomy economic forecasts has increased pressure on Sterling. The pound plummeted against most currencies when the BoE raised rates by just 25bps contrasting with the rate hike of 50bps by the US Federal Reserve.

    Due to the Eurozone’s reliance on gas from Russia, the euro is vulnerable to the events in Ukraine with EUR/USD dropping to 1.05 — a 5-Year low at the end of April, whereas it had been approaching 1.15 in early February.

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